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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights Tips - Knights to edge Dogs in a scrappy one?

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 01 Jul 2023
Jeremy Darke 01 Jul 2023
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  • Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights predictions for Sunday’s NRL game (14:00 AEST)
  • The under has hit in 6 of the last 7 games between Canterbury and Newcastle
  • Which team will break their 3 game losing streak?
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bulldogs knights
Newcastle Knights and the Canterbury Bulldogs (Getty Images)

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights Tips


NRL on Sunday kicks off with two teams struggling for form with both the Bulldogs and the Knights heading into this game on three-game losing streaks. 
  • Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Form
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
  • Newcastle Knights Form
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List

A loss this week for either team will pretty much ensure that they can close the book on 2023 and start looking ahead to next season, if they haven't already. 

The Knights just have a little more attacking strike power than the Dogs which will give them the edge and help them cover the 2.5 points as favourites. I am following the trend of the under, trusting in history to cash me in. 

Kalyn Ponga and Lachlan Fitzgibbon are my try scorers with the Doggies leaking four pointers to fullbacks and second-rowers.

  • All the Bulldogs losses at Accor have been by double digits. 
  • The under has hit in 8 of the last 10 games between Canterbury and Newcastle
  • The Bulldogs are second last in the standings for both points for and points against.
  • The Bulldogs have conceded 5 tries to opposing fullbacks in their last 3 games.
  • Canterbury have conceded 6 tries to opposing second-rowers in their last 6 games.

Head to Head 


Since 2019, it has been a pretty even head-to-head battle between Canterbury and Newcastle with the Knights winning four games to the Doggies' three victories.

Although the head-to-head result is close the game results are not, with a margin of six points or more in the last seven games. 

Also to note, the under has hit in six of the seven matches played since 2019.

Canterbury Bulldogs Form


The Bulldogs have been on struggle street all season after suffering some key injuries early in the year. 

Both their attack and defence has had it's problems placing second last in the standings for both points for and against. 

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News


Khaled Rajab is set to make his NRL debut, partnering up with Matt Burton in the halves for the first time with Karl Oloapu making way.

Max King secures a starting spot in the front row, replacing Chris Patolo. Harrison Edwards makes a comeback after recovering from a concussion.

Raymond Faitala-Mariner is listed in the reserves and could potentially join the team at the last minute.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List


1. Hayze Perham
2. Jacob Kiraz
3. Jake Averillo
4. Paul Alamoti
5. Josh Addo-Carr
6. Khaled Rajab
7. Matt Burton
8. Max King
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Tevita Pangai Junior
11. Jayden Okunbor
12. Jacob Preston
13. Kurtis Morrin

Interchange

14. Harrison Edwards
15. Ryan Sutton
16. Franklin Pele
17. Jackson Topine

Reserves

19. Reece Hoffman
20. Kyle Flanagan
21. Corey Waddell
22. Braidon Burns
23. Raymond Faitala-Mariner

Newcastle Knights Form


The Knights showed some real form and grit at the beginning of the year but have really struggled to put in a full 80 minutes to get wins on the board.

Although the Knights have lost the last three games a win has been in reach, having let it slip through their fingers with some poor defensive periods.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Dane Gagai has been ruled out through injury with Enari Tuala taking his spot in the centres. 

Lachlan Fitzgibbon returns from a head knock, pushing Dylan Lucas to the reserves. 

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Dominic Young
3. Enari Tuala
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Tyson Gamble
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Kurt Mann
15. Jacob Saifiti
16. Jack Hetherington
17. Mathew Croker

Reserves

18. Dylan Lucas
19. Brodie Jones
20. Lachlan Miller
21. Jack Johns
22. Adam Clune

Verdict

The Knights will scrape by in this one beating the Dogs as favourites by 2.5 points. The game will not be one for the highlight reel, so expect the under to hit here as it usually does between these two teams. 

Ponga and Fitzgibbon will cross for the Knights, as Canterbury leak most of their tries to fullbacks and second-rowers.

Best Bet: Knights -2.5 Handicap Line $1.72 at Boombet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Under 43.5 Total Points $1.95 at Unibet Australia - 2 Units
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Kalyn Ponga Anytime Tryscorer $2.90 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Lachlan Fitzgibbon Anytime Tryscorer $4.80 at dabble - 1 Unit
Knights -2.5
Handicap Line
$1.72 - 3 Units
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Canterbury Bulldogs v Newcastle Knights