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Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters Tips - Manu to run riot in return against Raiders

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Last updated: 22 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 22 May 2024
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  • Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 12 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 3:00 PM at GIO Stadium
  • Despite recent wins, Raiders' defensive stats indicate potential struggles.
  • Experts favor betting on Roosters and the Over in total points.
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Joseph Manu
Joseph Manu is expected to score against the Raiders (Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction


Canberra and Sydney are two teams at the top of the mid-tier. A few inconsistent performances throughout the season brings uncertainty into the predictions but it also allows value if you are sure of your narrative.
  • Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Canberra Raiders Team News
  • Canberra Raiders Team List
  • Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Roosters Team News
  • Sydney Roosters Team List
  • Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

Looking at statistical measures that often contribute to winning the Raiders are much further down the rankings than the Roosters. This says to me they have been a bit lucky in their wins so far and sometime will no doubt revert to the mean. Whilst they are still over their expected win total in line with games played i will fade them.

Sydney have a team that is potent at every position and with the return of Manu will be too hard to handle defensively for the Raiders.

  • Canberra allow 5.1 Linebreaks per game 5th most of all teams as well as 1424 Run Metres per game, 9th in the NRL
  • Sydney allow the fewest Linebreaks at 3.8 and 4th least Run Metres at 1382 per game
  • 4 of the 5 most recent Roosters wins over the Raiders have gone Over the Game Total
  • Joseph Manu scored a double in both of his previous two matches against Canberra

Head to Head 


These two teams have met in 8 regular season games and 2 finals games since the beginning of the 2019 season. The Finals head to head is 1-1 but the Roosters won the 2019 Grand Final which puts them at the advantage.

In their 8 regular season games Sydney lead 5-3 in the Head to Head but have not won since 2021 with Canberra winning the last two games straight.

The Over has hit 5-3 since 2019 with the Winning Margin finishing 1-12 in 6 of the 8 games played. 

Canberra have covered the line in their last two wins with the total record being 4-4 across the period. 

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-22-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
37.55-53-13-3

The Raiders were coming off the bye into Magic Round and took on the Bulldogs in a Friday night thriller. Somehow they came away with the win. Canterbury won pretty much every statistical measure in the game but couldn’t convert it into points as the Raiders ran out 4 point winners 24-20.

Canberra had only 46% of Possession, 43% of Territory, gave up 1500 Run Metres along with 6 Linebreaks, 38 Missed Tackles and 38 Tackles Inside 20m to the Dogs. Tell me how?

Canberra Raiders Team News


Fullback Jordan Rapana and forward Joseph Tapine will both play after receiving fines for their indiscretions last weekend. Josh Papali’i wasn’t so fortunate though and will have a sit on the sidelines with Peter Hola coming into the 17 and Emre Guler starting.

Canberra Raiders Team List


1. Jordan Rapana
2. Nick Cotric
3. Matt Timoko
4. Seb Kris
5. Xavier Savage
6. Ethan Strange
7. Kaeo Weekes 
8. Emre Guler
9. Danny Levi
10. Joseph Tapine
11. Hudson Young
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Morgan Smithies

Interchange
14. Tom Starling
15. Ata Mariota
16. Trey Mooney
17. Peter Hola

Reserves
18. Albert Hopoate
19. Zac Woolford
20. Simi Sasagi
21. Michael Asomua
22. Hohepa Puru


Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-24-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
$23.827-42-54-0

The Roosters were outlasted by the Sharks last weekend after giving up a 24-18 halftime lead to lose 38-30. It was the old “tale of two halves” for the tri-colours having the lions share of the Territory and holding out the Sharks on their goal line for multiple sets in the first half. After the break though the flow had stopped and Cronulla were able to capitalise on the work they had put in earlier in the game.

Sydney concede the least amount of Linebreaks per game with an average of 3.8 but allowed the Sharks to break the defence 7 times in this loss.

Sydney Roosters Team News


Joseph Manu returns from concussion protocols with Fetalaiga Pauga reverting to 18th man. Connor Watson will miss some time with a throat injury replaced on the interchange by Sandon Smith. Victor Radley will play in the second row this weekend with Naufahu Whyte starting at lock which sees Nat Butcher named in the reserves.

Sydney Roosters Team List


1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Joseph Suaalii
4. Joey Manu
5. Dom Young
6. Luke Keary
7. Sam Walker
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Brandon Smith
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Angus Crichton
12. Victor Radley
13. Naufahu Whyte

Interchange
14. Sandon Smith
15. Egan Butcher
16. Spencer Leniu
17. Terrell May

Reserves
18. Fetalaiga Pauga
19. Nat Butcher
20. Siua Wong
21. Zach Dockar-Clay
22. Ethan King

Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

How to watch Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 12?

You can watch the Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 12?

To buy tickets to the Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 12 game check the NRL website or the official Canberra Raiders site.

Verdict

The Roosters will be far too strong for the Raiders in this one and will rack up a solid score. Expect Joey Manu to feature heavily. Roosters wins generally coincide with higher totals in this match up so the Over is the best play on the narrative.
Best Bet1: Sydney 13+ Winning Margin @11/10 at bet365 Australia - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 43.5 Game Total @9/10 at Neds - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Joey Manu Anytime Tryscorer @8/5 at TAB - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Joey Manu First Tryscorer @14/1 at TAB - 1 Unit
Sydney 13+
Winning Margin
@11/10 - 3 Units
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Over 43.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Joey Manu
Anytime Tryscorer
@8/5 - 1 Unit
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First Tryscorer
@14/1 - 1 Unit
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Canberra Raiders v Sydney Roosters