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Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys Tips - Green Machine expected to cover short line in high scoring game

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Last updated: 11 Jun 2024
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Ryan Tucker 11 Jun 2024
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  • Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys expert predictions for Friday’s Round 15 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 6:00 PM at GIO Stadium
  • Raiders are fresh after a bye week, while Cowboys showed lackluster defense last week.
  • Key betting trends favor the Raiders with a strong chance to cover the short line.
NRL Best Bets for Thursday and Friday night footy.

Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys, Round 15 2024 - Expert Prediction


Games between the Raiders and Cowboys have been thrillingly close over the past few seasons and another nail biter is expected in this one with Canberra expected to take the win and break the Cowboys 4 game win streak against them.
  • Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys, Round 15 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Canberra Raiders Team News
  • Canberra Raiders Team List
  • North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North QLD Cowboys Team News
  • North QLD Cowboys Team List
  • Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 15 FAQ’s

At this point of the season some teams have had two byes whilst the Cowboys are still yet to have their first. Their defence was lethargic last week and it is hard to see them reversing that energy deficiency in one week with the bye now so close.

Canberra on the other hand had the week off last weekend and will be coming into this game fresh and with two weeks of researching the Cowboys. Take them to cover the short line. 

  • Canberra are 7-5 ATS this season whilst the Cowboys are 4-10
  • The Cowboys miss the 4th most Tackles per game at 33.9
  • Both of these teams are top 4 in Run Metres per game
  • Forwards have a high strike rate in tryscoring against the Cowboys with 6 of the last 13 tries conceded coming from opposition forwards.


Head to Head 


These teams have met 7 times since the beginning of the 2019 season with North Queensland winning 5 of those including the last 4 in a row. 

5 of the last 7 games have all finished with Winning Margins of 6 points or less. The 1-12 Margin is hitting at a 56% rate in all games played this season.

Since 2019, 5 of the 7 games played have gone Under the Game Total including the last 3 in a row. 

The Cowboys have a 5-2 ATS record. 

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-24-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
$427-54-13-4

The Raiders had the luxury of the Bye last weekend and have used the time to recuperate after a hectic first half of the season. 

Prior to their bye in round 13, Canberra were able to secure a Golden Point victory over the Dolphins with Jordan Rapana the man of the hour. The stand-in fullback levelled the scores in the 77th minute with his first field goal then was instrumental in stopping a Dolphins try in extra time before slotting the final 1 pointer to win the game for his team.

It is a game the Raiders should have lost with statistics showing they underperformed compared to their opponents. The Dolphins missed 4 opportunities to win the game in extra time. 

Canberra Raiders Team News


Hudson Young missed the last Raiders game before their bye due to Origin. He returns to the lineup pushing Ata Mariota back to the pine and Simi Sasagi to the reserves.

Canberra Raiders Team List


1. Jordan Rapana
2. Nick Cotric
3. Matt Timoko
4. Seb Kris
5. Xavier Savage
6. Ethan Strange
7. Kaeo Weekes 
8. Josh Papalii
9. Danny Levi
10. Joseph Tapine
11. Hudson Young
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Morgan Smithies

Interchange
14. Tom Starling
15. Ata Mariota
16. Trey Mooney
17.  Emre Guler

Reserves
18. Albert Hopoate
19. Zac Woolford
20. Peter Hola
21. Simi Sasagi
22. Hohepa Puru


North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-21-42-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-12
13+
-$7.810-43-44-3

The Cowboys will be the last team to have their first Bye next week in round 16 and it couldn’t come sooner with a host of players having a large workload around the Origin period. 

North Queensland were out ran, out played and out scored last week against the Warriors giving their opposition 60% of the Territory as well as 56% of Possession across the 80 minutes. The Cowboys were only able to Run for 1136m themselves, around 300m less than the league average per game whilst giving up 1683m to their opposition. 

North QLD Cowboys Team News


Murray Taulagi and Reece Robson return after not backing up from Origin duties. Braidon Burns goes straight back to the reserves along with Harrison Edwards.

Jeremiah Nanai comes back into the starting line up with Kulikefu Finefeuiaki going back to his normal bench role. Griffin Neame also starts from the interchange with Jordan McLean returning to the starting side.

North QLD Cowboys Team List


1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Kyle Feldt
3. Valentine Holmes
4. Villiami Vailea
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Tom Dearden 
7. Chad Townsend
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Reuben Cotter
11. Heilum Luki
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Jason Taumalolo

Interchange
14. Sam McIntyre
15. Thomas Mikaele
16. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
17. Griffin Neame

Reserves
18. Braidon Burns
19. Harrison Edwards
20. Tom Chester
21. Jaxon Purdue
​​​​​​​22. Jamal Shibasaki

Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 15 FAQ’s

How to watch Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 15?

You can watch the Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 15 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 15?

To buy tickets to the Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 15 game check the NRL website or the official Canberra Raiders site.

Verdict

Canberra are fresh from a bye and the Cowboys just look tired. The defensive efforts for the Cowboys last weekend were woeful and I don't see it getting much better against a determined Raiders attack. Green Machine to cover with a lot of points on offer!
Best Bet1: Canebrra -2.5 Line $2.00 at bet365 Australia - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 48.5 Game Total $1.91 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Hudson Young Anytime Tryscorer $3.00 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Hudson Young First Tryscorer $17.00 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Canebrra -2.5
Line
$2.00 - 3 Units
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Our bet365.com.au referral code is BESTBETS. bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers but can be used during registration. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.Call Gambler's Help; National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+

Bet at bet365 Australia
Over 48.5
Game Total
$1.91 - 2 Units
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18+. T&Cs apply

Bet at Elitebet
Hudson Young
Anytime Tryscorer
$3.00 - 1 Unit
Referral Code BESTBETS
Great odds on Australian racing

Our bet365.com.au referral code is BESTBETS. bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers but can be used during registration. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.Call Gambler's Help; National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+

Bet at bet365 Australia
Hudson Young
First Tryscorer
$17.00 - 1 Unit
Referral Code BESTBETS
Great odds on Australian racing

Our bet365.com.au referral code is BESTBETS. bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers but can be used during registration. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.Call Gambler's Help; National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+

Bet at bet365 Australia

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Betting Slip | 14 Jun 2024

Canberra Raiders v North Queensland Cowboys