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Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons Tips - Low score helps Dragons cover against the Broncos

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 10 Jul 2024
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Jeremy Darke 10 Jul 2024
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  • Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 19 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 7:35 PM at Suncorp Stadium
  • Several key players missing will impact scoring for both teams
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Jez's best bets for Saturday and Sunday's round 19 NRL games.

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons, Round 19 2024 - Expert Prediction


Plenty of big names missing makes this matchup a bit of a fizz and will affect the scoring for both teams. This game promises to be a tight contest that will be advantageous to St George covering the line as the underdog and the game total going under. 
  • Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons, Round 19 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Broncos Team News
  • Brisbane Broncos Team List
  • St George Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • St George Dragons Team News
  • St George Dragons Team List
  • Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons NRL 2024 Round 19 FAQ’s

Brisbane are on a five-game skid and have been struggling with the ball in hand, unable to win the territory battle against their opponents in the absence of their star halfback Adam Reynolds. 

The Dragons have been hit and miss but were able to take advantage of Penrith in round 13 when they were missing their origin players and got an unlikely victory.

It will be a similar story hear with either team able to put up any amount of points to pull away from their opponent which will see the Dragons cover and the total stay under 50.5

With Brisbane missing a couple of key forwards look for Jacob little to take advantage of some tired defence on the Brisbane line and sneak over for a good valyue anytime tryscorer. 

  • The Dragons have beaten Brisbane in 3 of their past 5 matches at Suncorp Stadium.
  • Brisbane have lost 4 of their past 5 games at Suncorp Stadium
  • Brisbane average just 11.6 points per game in their past 4 matches.
  • Opposing hookers have scored on Brisbane in their past three matches.

Head to Head 


The Broncos got a comfortable 40-18 victory over the Dragons in the only meeting between the two clubs last season.

Brisbane have won the past two games at Suncorp Stadium however they have just a 2-4 record against St George since the 2019 season.

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-50-52-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-59.48-82-65-3

Brisbane have lost five games on the trot after another 14-6 loss to the Penrith Panthers in round 18. 

The attack of Brisbane has been stale to say the list since halfback Adam Reynolds has been sidelined. The Broncos have averaged just 11.6 points per game over the past 4 weeks failing to build any real pressure on their opponents accumulating an average of just 37.5% of the territory in their past 4 matches.

The Origin period has been tough for Brisbane and they will be glad to see the end of it after the next round of games.

Brisbane Broncos Team News


Brisbane will be without Reece Walsh, Selwyn Cobbo, Patrick Carrigan and Payne Haas who are all out on Origin duty. Tristan Sailor, Kotoni Staggs, Jordan Riki and Blake Mozer all come into the side. 

Josh Rogers will replace Jock Madden who suffered a hamstring injury last weekend. 

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Tristan Sailor
2. Corey Oates
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Deine Mariner
5. Jesse Arthars
6. Ezra Mam
7. Josh Rogers
8. Corey Jensen
9. Billy Walters
10. Xavier Willison
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jordan Riki
13. Tyson Smoothy

Interchange
14. Blake Mozer
15. Kobe Hetherington
16. Josiah Karapani
17. Martin Taupau

Reserves
18. Va'a Semu
19. Cory Paix
20. Israel Leota

St George Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-876-103-15-7

The Saints have impressed this season but they were certainly put back in their place last week against the Roosters, going down to Sydney City 42-12 at Allianz Stadium.

The Dragons were in it at 14-6 down at the break but a second half collapse or better yet, masterclass from the Roosters saw the Chooks run away with it. The Dragons were outmuscled with just 37% of the territory in the second half with the Roosters totalling 444 run metres more than the Dragons after the break giving them no real opportunity to score points.

The worrying sign for the Dragons is their inability to keep games close when they start to trail, with 7 of their 8 losses all by 13+ margins. 

St George Dragons Team News


Zac Lomax and Ben Hunt will play for their respective states and will miss the match. Mikaele Ravalwa and Jesse Marschke will be their replacements.

Raymond Faitala-Mariner comes back into the side with Luciano Leilua moving to the pine. Hame Sele will also join the interchange bench with Fa’amanu Brown dropping out. 

St George Dragons Team List


1. Tyrell Sloan
2. Christian Tuipulotu
3. Moses Suli
4. Max Feagai
5. Mikaele Ravalawa
6. Kyle Flanagan
7. Jesse Marschke
8. Francis Molo
9. Jacob Liddle
10. Jack de Belin
11. Raymond Faitala-Mariner
12. Jaydn Su'A
13. Tom Eisenhuth

Interchange
14. Hame Sele
15. Luciano Leilua
16. Toby Couchman
17. Ben Murdoch-Masila

Reserves
18. Jack Bird
19. Savelio Tamale
20. Fa'amanu Brown
21. Ryan Couchman
​​​​​​​22. Michael Molo

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons NRL 2024 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons NRL 2024 Round 19?

You can watch the Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons NRL 2024 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons NRL 2024 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons NRL 2024 Round 19 game check the NRL website or the official Brisbane Broncos site.

Verdict

This game will not see enough point to go over the game total of 50.5 and will help the Dragons cover the line as the underdog.

Brisbane have leaked tries to opposing hookers in their past three games an Jacob little is a good chance for a try and gives great odds.
Best Bet1: Dragons +6.5 Handicap/Line @6/7 at Bet Right - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 50.5 Game Total @6/7 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Jacob Liddle Anytime Tryscorer @18/5 at Boombet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Jacob Liddle First Tryscorer @33/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Dragons +6.5
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@6/7 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 13 Jul 2024

Brisbane Broncos v St George