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Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans Tips - Broncos to defeat gallant Titans in close game

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Last updated: 23 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 23 May 2024
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  • Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 12 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 2:00 PM at Suncorp Stadium
  • Expert tip: Closer game than expected, Broncos predicted to win by a small margin.
  • Key stats: Broncos scored less than 20 points in 2 of last 3 games; Titans 5-0 ATS in last 5 games.
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Ezra Mam
Ezra Mam expected to score a try against the Titans. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction


The relative form of these two teams gives the expectation of a Broncos rout. But it is difficult to exclude the success the Gold Coast have had against Brisbane even through tough periods.
  • Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Broncos Team News
  • Brisbane Broncos Team List
  • Gold Coast Titans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Gold Coast Titans Team News
  • Gold Coast Titans Team List
  • Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

My tip in this game is that it will be closer than the bookies and public expect. Very few times over the past 5 years have any team demolished the other and with the Broncos scoring less than 20 points in two of their last three games without Adam Reynolds it gives more weight to the Titans being able to keep it close. 

Brisbane by a small margin is the tip of the day here.

  • Brisbane have scored less than 20 points in 2 of their last 3 games this season as well as in 2 of their last 3 against the Titans
  • The Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Home teams are winning at a 62% rate this season
  • Ezra Mam has scored a try in 3 of his last 4 games against the Titans


Head to Head 


The Broncos and Titans have met on 10 occasions since the beginning of the 2019 season. Interestingly the win record sits at 5-5 with the Gold Coast having the most recent success winning 18-12 in the Round 17 match up last season.

The Game Total has gone Over in 7 of the last 10 games including 4 of the last 6. Brisbane failed to cover in a 2022 victory but otherwise each team has covered the line in their respective wins over the last 10 games, 6-4 to the Gold Coast.

The largest Winning Margin over the previous 10 games is 22 with only 3 games finishing with 13 or more points as the Margin.

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-12
13+
-$9.46-52-25-2

The Broncos scored two tries within the first 12 minutes of their game against Manly at Magic Round and then the scoring completely dried up. The Brisbane defence was able to hold the Sea Eagles at bay for the majority of the match giving little leeway in terms of Run Metres, Linebreaks and Missed Tackles.

The effect of not having Adam Reynolds was very real in this game as the Broncos lacked the direction and creation around the field.

Brisbane Broncos Team News


Billy Walters returns taking his place at hooker which sees Tyson Smoothy revert to the interchange and Blake Mozer to the reserves. 

Reece Walsh also makes his comeback pushing Selwyn Cobbo back to his regular centre position where he is partnered by Josiah Karapani with Kotoni Staggs being ruled out with injury.

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Reece Walsh
2. Corey Oates
3. Josiah Karapani
4. Selwyn Cobbo
5. Deine Mariner
6. Ezra Mam
7. Jock Madden
8. Corey Jensen
9. Billy Walters
10. Payne Haas
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jordan Riki
13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange
14. Tyson Smoothy
15. Xavier Willison
16. Kobe Hetherington
17. Jack Gosiewski

Reserves
18. Josh Rogers
19. Fletcher Baker
20. Blake Mozer
21. Martin Taupau
22. Jaiyden Hunt


Gold Coast Titans Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-35-03-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-12
13+
-$364-62-40-4

The Titans had every right to win the game against the Knights last weekend with the majority of the Possession 55% aswell as 1612 Run Metres. The Titans also had ample opportunity in Newcastle’s red zone being tackled 31 times Inside 20m. 

The 39 Missed Tackles though were significant in Newcastle gaining momentum and getting into tryscoring range. The Gold Coast will need to ensure their discipline is in order if they are any hope of toppling the Broncos.

Gold Coast Titans Team News


Aaron Schoupp has signed mid-season with Manly opening the door for Tony Francis to make his debut on the wing.

Josiah Pahulu starts in the front row bringing Joe Stimson onto the bench with Jaimin Jolliffe out with injury.

Kieran Foran has been named in the reserves as he nears a comeback.

Gold Coast Titans Team List


1. Keano Kini
2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira
3. Brian Kelly
4. Jojo Fifita
5. Tony Francis
6. Chris Randall
7. Tom Weaver
8. Moeaki Fotuaika
9. Sam Verrills
10. Josiah Pahulu
11. David Fifita
12. Beau Fermor
13. Klese Haas

Interchange
14. Keenan Palasia
15. Isaac Liu
16. Erin Clark
17. Joe Stimson

Reserves
18. Jacob Alick-Wiencke
19. Kieran Foran
20. Iszac Fa'asuamaleaui
21. Arama Hau
22. Jaylan De Groot

Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2024 Round 12?

You can watch the Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2024 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2024 Round 12?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Broncos vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2024 Round 12 game check the NRL website or the official Brisbane Broncos site.

Verdict

The Broncs will continue to be hampered by the loss of Reynolds keeping their score lower than usual. They will still win but by a small margin. Expect the Total to go Under and Mam to cross for a four pointer.
Best Bet1: Brisbane 1-12 Winning Margin @12/5 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 49.5 Game Total @7/8 at Bet Right - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Ezra Mam Anytime Tryscorer @6/4 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Ezra Mam First Tryscorer @14/1 at TAB - 1 Unit
Brisbane 1-12
Winning Margin
@12/5 - 2 Units
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Our bet365.com.au referral code is BESTBETS. bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers but can be used during registration. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.Call Gambler's Help; National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+

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Under 49.5
Game Total
@7/8 - 2 Units
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Bet at Bet Right
Ezra Mam
Anytime Tryscorer
@6/4 - 1 Unit
Referral Code BESTBETS
Great odds on Australian racing

Our bet365.com.au referral code is BESTBETS. bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers but can be used during registration. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.Call Gambler's Help; National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+

Bet at bet365 Australia
Ezra Mam
First Tryscorer
@14/1 - 1 Unit
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Betting Slip | 26 May 2024

Brisbane Broncos v Gold Coast Titans