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Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos NFL Tips - Denver Defence Dictates Discussion

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Last updated: 12 Dec 2024
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  • Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos Expert NFL Tips for Week 15
  • Kick Off is at 8:25 AM (AEDT) at Empower Field at Mile High
  • Denver's defense is strong against the run and poised to halt Indianapolis' ground game.
  • Indianapolis relies heavily on rush plays, but Denver's stout defense is ranked 3rd in the NFL for fewest rushing yards allowed.
  • Denver Broncos are favored to cover, bolstered by winning streaks in recent home games.
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Denver Broncos
Broncos spirit squad carry flags accross the field to celebrate a Denver Broncos touchdown. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images)

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos NFL Tips


This game could effectively decide which of these teams makes the playoffs. The Colts have the better clutch player in Anthony Richardson but Denver are a better team and it will be their defence that gets them across the line in this one.
  • Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos NFL Tips
  • Head to Head Record
  • All Time Record
  • Most Recent Matchup
  • Statistical Rankings
  • Indianapolis Colts Form
  • Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends
  • Denver Broncos Form
  • Denver Broncos Betting Trends
  • Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Frequently Asked Questions

Indianapolis like to run the ball and have had success doing it this season, they rank 11th in Rush Play % and average 4.4 yards per attempt, 12th in the league. They now meet a defence that holds teams to just 3.8 yards per attempt which is 3rd best in the NFL.

Denver are built to stop teams running and should have no qualms locking up Jonathan Taylor with this Colts rush offence being extremely one dimensional. They have also held opposition QB’s to an average 85.1 passer rating which has them inside the top 10. 

The only way Indi are winning this game is some superhuman effort from Richardson. I don’t see it happening and considering we only need to lay 3.5 I am siding with the Broncos in this one.

Denver to cover at home keeping Indi Under their team total and Jonathan Taylor Under his Rushing Total.

  • Denver have won and covered in 3 straight home games.
  • The Broncos have kept opposing Rush Offences under 100 yards in 6 of their last 7 games.
  • Indianapolis have struggled to win this season when playing difficult Rush Defence units.
  • Denver have held opponents under 19.5 points in 3 of their last 4 games as well as 9 of 13 on the season.

Head to Head Record


All Time Record


Indianapolis Colts lead all-time series 15-14.

Most Recent Matchup


DateResult
Oct 6, 2022
IND 12 @ DEN 9

Statistical Rankings


StatINDDEN
Points Scored/Game20.5 (22nd)23.5 (14th)
Points Allowed/Game22.9 (18th)18.0 (2nd)
Pass Yds/Game192 (26th)209 (21st)
Rush Yds/Game118 (14th)111 (20th)
Def. Pass Yds/Game232 (26th)221 (20th)
Def. Rush Yds/Game147 (30th)94 (6th)

Indianapolis Colts Form


The Colts had their bye last weekend and now are refreshed with their sights set on their first play-offs berth since the 2020 season where they finished with a 11-5 record but crashed out in the Wild Card round.

In their most recent matchup Indianapolis edged out the Patriots with a 25-24 victory scoring a touchdown with 17 seconds remaining and converting the two point play to take the win. 

Indi had just 109 yards passing on 24 attempts but churned up the grass running for 144 yards on 34 attempts, Jonathan Taylor and Anthony Richardson sharing the load exclusively. 

This season the Colts have been inconsistent on the scoring end, ranking 22nd in points per game at 20.5. They are 14th in total rush yards indicating their penchant for the run over passing. Defensively they allow 22.9 points per game, 18th in the league and allow the 2nd highest number of rush yards per game at 147.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends


TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
IND6-7-08-5-06-7-03-4-03-3-0

Denver Broncos Form


The Broncos are coming off their bye and are currently in the box seat for the final Wild Card spot in the AFC. They have a 73% probability of making the cut which increases to 89% with a win this week or goes down to 47% with a loss. 

They have won 3 in a row and 5 of their last 7 including a last start victory over the Browns in week 13 posting a season high 41 points to take the win. The defence took 3 Interceptions in the game as well as sacking the Browns QB 3 times but allowed 32 points and 497 passing yards.

Bo Nix completed just 18 of 34 passes for 294 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT for a 65.7 passer rating. He has though been integral to a number of victories for the Broncos this season with his astute running game.

On the season Denver rank 14th in points scored, averaging 23.5 per game while giving up the 2nd fewest to their opponent at just 18.0 per game despite the 32 from last game. They rank 6th in opposition Rush Yards and 19th in opposition Pass Yards while being in the 20’s in both offensive categories.

Denver Broncos Betting Trends


TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
DEN8-5-010-3-08-5-04-3-04-2-0

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos start?

Kickoff between Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos is at 8:25 AM (AEDT), Monday 16th December

What channel is Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos on?

You can watch Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos on DAZN

Verdict

Denver to cover at home keeping Indi Under their team total and Jonathan Taylor Under his Rushing Total.
Best Bet1: Denver -3.5 Line $1.88 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Colts Under 19.5 Team Total $2.05 at Bet Right - 2 Units
Best Bet3: J Taylor Under 76.5 Rush Yards $1.90 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Denver -3.5
Line
$1.88 - 1 Unit
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Rush Yards
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Betting Slip | 15 Dec 2024

IND Colts @ DEN Broncos