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Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Tips - Chiefs wrangle the Texans

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 15 Jan 2025
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Jeremy Darke 15 Jan 2025
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  • Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Expert NFL Tips for Week Divisional Round
  • Kick Off is at 08:30 AM (AEDT) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Both the Texans Team Total and the Game Total expected to hit the under.
  • Preview, stats, head-to-head, team news & more
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Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs expected to control the tempo of the game. (Photo by Aaron M. Sprecher/Getty Images)

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Tips


The Chiefs will strangle the Texans by running the ball, going over their team attempts while holding the Texans under 16.5 points and the game under the total.
  • Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Tips
  • Head to Head Record
  • Houston Texans Form
  • Houston Texans Betting Trends
  • Kansas City Chiefs Form
  • Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
  • Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Frequently Asked Questions

The reward for Houston winning as the underdog in the Wildcard Round is a trip to Arrowhead, where their playoff run will stop. The Chiefs had a week’s rest and will be well prepared for Houston, who are without their offensive weapon Tank Dell. 

The Chiefs defence are going to take the life out of this game and not give anything to the Texans offence that is still struggling. 

With the ball Kansas City will control the game and the clock with their run offence and do enough to get victory. Mahomes will be clutch and the run combination of Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco will keep the first down marker moving.

  • C.J Stroud is 5-6 straight up in open air stadiums with a completion percentage of 59%.
  • Patrick Mahomes threw for 260 yards against the Texans this season.
  • The Chiefs allowed just 19.2 points per game, which ranks 4th in the NFL.
  • The Chiefs rushed 29 times against the Texans in week 16.

Head to Head Record


All Time Record

Kansas City Chiefs lead all-time series 10-5.

Most Recent Matchup
DateResult
Dec 21, 2024
 HOU 19 @ KAN 27

Statistical Rankings
StatHOUKAN
Points Scored/Game21.9 (19th)22.6 (15th)
Points Allowed/Game21.9 (14th)19.2 (4th)
Pass Yds/Game207 (21st)222 (14th)
Rush Yds/Game112 (15th)105 (22nd)
Def. Pass Yds/Game201 (6th)218 (18th)
Def. Rush Yds/Game114 (11th)101 (8th)

Houston Texans Form


Houston won as the 2.5-point underdog in Los Angeles when they took down the Chargers 32-12, but you could say that Justin Herbert and L.A beat themselves more than the Texans dominated them.

C.J Stroud had a solid Wildcard match with 282 yards passing and one touchdown, but he did throw a pick. Joe Mixon also broke for 106 yards on the ground. The fact is though, L.A turned the ball over 4 times, one being a pick-six by Eric Murray. 

Houston’s offence still struggled scoring just two touchdowns despite Herbert gifting them the ball and to make the performance even more underwhelming despite the win, John Metchie and Mixon both lost fumbles. 

The positive is of course the defence that forced 4 interceptions from Herbert and does remain the biggest strength of the Texans heading into the match against the Chiefs, especially if they can force some uncharacteristic turnovers by Mahomes.

Houston Texans Betting Trends


TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
HOU11-7-08-8-27-10-15-4-06-3-0

Kansas City Chiefs Form


The Chiefs are once again right where they want to be when they get their first taste of the NFL Playoffs on Sunday. Home field advantage at Arrowhead in January is priceless for the Chiefs and you can expect them to run through the motions as per usual.

The Chiefs season has been full of close wins but they are a different beast in the playoffs.

We can expect them to control the ball and shut down the run, which thy have done to their opponents all year, giving up just 101.8 rushing yards per game which is ranked 8th in the NFL. 

If the Chiefs are vulnerable anywhere it is in the secondary, where they have given up yardage, saying that they have faced an average of 33.5 (20) passing attempts per game and only given up 9.9 yards per completion, which is 12th in the league. 

The Chiefs we have seen in the season will not be the Chiefs we see in the postseason.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends


TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
KC15-2-08-9-07-10-07-2-08-0-0

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs start?

Kickoff between Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs is at 08:30 AM (AEDT), Sunday

What channel is Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs on?

You can watch Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs on DAZN

Verdict

The Chiefs will strangle the Texans by running the ball, going over their team attempts while holding the Texans under 16.5 points and the game under the total.
Best Bet1: Under 42.5 Game Total $1.90 at picklebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Texans Under 16.5 Team Total $1.87 at Betr - 2 Units
Best Bet3: KC Over 24.5 Rushing Attempts $1.87 at Betr - 2 Units
Under 42.5
Game Total
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Texans Under 16.5
Team Total
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KC Over 24.5
Rushing Attempts
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Betting Slip | 18 Jan 2025

HOU Texans @ KC Chiefs