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Newmarket Betting Tips - Selections for Day 1 of the July Festival

jon-vine
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Last updated: 11 Jul 2024
Jon Vine 11 Jul 2024
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  • Newmarket July Festival starts Thursday with three Group races
  • Top tips include Space Legend in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes
  • Lead Artist is a strong contender in the Sir Henry Cecil Stakes
Expired
calandagan
Space Legend (centre) stays on for second behind Calandagan (right) in the King Edward VII Stakes. (Getty)

Newmarket's popular July Festival kicks off on Thursday and three Group races headline the program.
  • Newmarket Racing Tips - Thursday, July 11
  • Race 1 - Bahrain Trophy Stakes Tips
  • Race 2 - July Stakes Tips
  • Race 3 - bet365 Handicap Tips
  • Race 4 - Princess Of Wales's Stakes Tips
  • Race 6 - Sir Henry Cecil Stakes Tips

Our best bets for day one are included below.

Newmarket Racing Tips - Thursday, July 11


Race 1 - Bahrain Trophy Stakes Tips


Kinesiology's withdrawal means that just four runners will contest the opening race of the July Festival. Soft ground will certainly suit Ancient Wisdom, who won the Futurity Trophy on heavy last autumn, but I'd still rather take the favourite on with the progressive 5. SPACE LEGEND.

William Haggas' colt kicked off this season with a hugely impressive maiden triumph on soft ground at Leicester and Space Legend has since suffered a narrow defeat in the Cocked Hat Stakes before following the superb Calandagan home in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Space Legend still looked very green during both of those defeats, so I'm happy to mark up his performances and this extended trip should be no problem for James Doyle's mount, while returning to softer conditions should suit too.

Race 2 - July Stakes Tips


An interesting renewal of the July Stakes, despite just six featuring in the field. Whistlejacket - the beaten odds-on favourite in the Norfolk Stakes - is the only runner in the field with proven form on genuinely soft ground, so it's no surprise to see Aidan O'Brien's juvenile topping the market.

I've come down on the side of 1. AIN'T NOBODY who beat my two selections when scoring in the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Kevin Ryan's star went into that Listed sprint on the back of an impressive maiden win at Carlisle and built on that performance with a one-length triumph over Gabaldon and Aviation Time.

Sands Of Mali won the Champions Sprint on soft ground and Ain't Nobody's Dam was a six-furlong specialist too, finishing a close second in the 2020 Silver Wokingham anbd I'm expecting Tom Eaves' mount to relish this step up in trip.

Race 3 - bet365 Handicap Tips


A low weight and a high draw have often been the recipe for success in this three-year-old sprint handicap. I like the chances of 12. SERGEANT WILKO, who'll carry just 8-10 and has been drawn nicely in stall nine. 

A winner on soft ground as a juvenile, Kevin Ryan's sprinter kicked off his three-year-old campaign with a four-length demolition on the all-weather at Newcastle.

Sergeant Wilko was last seen winning a competitive little race at Leicester in May, where Oisin Murphy's mount again seemed to relish a cut in the ground.

Off just a three-pound higher mark, I'm hoping to see Sergeant Wilko challenge.

Race 4 - Princess Of Wales's Stakes Tips


The ground is currently soft enough for Hamish to be at his best. Although the forecast looks dry from Wednesday morning, there should still be some juice in the ground on day one and that performance at Epsom makes Tom Marquand's mount the one to beat.

Arrest has never been a horse that's interested me and Kieran Shoemark's mount represents little value, based on what he's produced this term. In contrast, I'm a big fan of Giavellotto, but he's at his best on quicker ground and Oisin Murphy's mount has a penalty to shoulder too.

At the prices, I will take a chance on 6. TIME LOCK, who burst onto the scene with a power-packed victory in the Dubai Stakes in September.

Harry Charlton's mare took a while to get going under Ryan Moore in the Jockey Club Stakes on her reappearance, eventually finishing second as the 11/8 favourite.

It was impossible to tell whether Time Lock had improved for that run in the Coronation Stakes at Epsom, where Charlton's five-year-old didn't handle the track at all and was eased down two furlongs from home.

Time Lock will be much happier back at Newmarket and she does handle a bit of ease in the ground, while with Ryan Moore back in the saddle, I wouldn't be surprised if she challenged for the victory.

Race 6 - Sir Henry Cecil Stakes Tips


Given how well he asserted in the closing stages of his maiden win at York, 3. LEAD ARTIST looks well up to Listed class. 

John and Thady Gosden's colt ran well when second on debut in the Wood Ditton, before trouncing a classy field - which included Wood Ditton winner, First Conquest - on his most recent outing.

Kieran Shoemark's mount always travelled well and powered five lengths clear of his rivals during the final two furlongs at York and while the form of that race hasn't worked out that well, it was a really smart performance from Lead Artist.

Dubawi's progeny go on any sort of ground and his dam, Obligate ran up to a high level in France as a three-year-old, claiming both of her victories on juicy turf, so he's certainly the one to beat.

Verdict

Our top tips for day 1 of Newmarket's July Festival are:

Best Bet1: Lead Artist To Win @165.00 at Boombet - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Space Legend To Win @190.00 at Boombet - 4 Units
Best Bet3: Aint Nobody To Win @450.00 at betM - 4 Units
Best Bet4: Sergeant Wilko Each Way @900.00 at betM - 2 Units
Lead Artist
To Win
@165.00 - 4 Units
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Space Legend
To Win
@190.00 - 4 Units
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Aint Nobody
To Win
@450.00 - 4 Units
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Sergeant Wilko
Each Way
@900.00 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 11 Jul 2024

Newmarket July Festival - Day 1 Preview