Race 1 - 1:10PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP Tips (1300 METRES)
1. CULTURAL AMNESIA improved as his first preparation wore on where after just missing at start two behind a subsequent dual Group winner in Thermosphere, broke through in fine style over the seven furlongs at Kensington.
Tipped out following an attempt in the Group One Sires Produce, the son of Snitzel recorded a nice victory first-up this spring when well supported late ($5.50-$3.90) and got stronger as that wore on. The extra 100m is a tick and he was scratched from an easier assignment on Friday for this.
Although he was rather fortunate to record a second win, the professionalism of 1. Smart Image was on show early and was well in the market when failing behind North Pacific prior to a spell. The two trials leading into this have been good but hardly breathtaking. Interested to see what the market does with him.
only saw a little daylight fresh but that was enough to record a soft win at Gosford. The form is a little suspect around that race but she still accounted for older opposition. Including 4. Black Duke
at a decent price ($13.00 @ PlayUp
), a galloper that wasn't suited by 1000m first-up but still stuck to the task well.
Race 2 - 1:45PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP Tips (1500 METRES)
Interesting contest and if there's any petrol left in the tank after three runs in what is still his first racing preparation, then 8. ELLSBERG has to go on top after sticking on gamely in the Group Three Spring Stakes at Newcastle on November 14.
Following a debut win in a strong Warwick Farm Maiden that rated well for that October 14 card, he picked himself off the campus at start two when tackling a slightly stronger race to what he finds here. The near side blinker now goes on as a result of him laying-out last start and Tim Clark can dictate this up front.
His biggest threat comes in the same Aquis Farm colours via 7. Toscanini. This Maher & Eustace-trained colt has looked quite raw but has still delivered two stylish victories this spring. This is a little harder but he's still seemingly on an upwards spiral.
I think the winner comes the above two although 6. Joliette
could be the big improver third-up. She was plain fresh on a heavy track but stuck on fairly here on November whilst if Toscanini is a leading hope then 9. Guru
surely isn't the worst despite the bolters odds ($35.00 @ Sportsbetting
). Was only a length off him at Hawkesbury.
Race 3 - 2:20PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 3 HANDICAP (1800 METRES)
A tough Highway with a stack of chances but leaning towards the Provincial form of 1. DEADLY IMPACT who after doing plenty of work at Canterbury on November 13 and capitulating as a result, looked to be back on track with an honest effort as runner-up at Kembla Grange.
Although he is drawn out, the speed is a bit of a query here and the best option for Keagan Latham would be to take the initiative and roll forward, especially as this four-year-old doesn't have an electric turn-of-foot. He was only narrowly defeated by a subsequent city winner in Nyami three starts back which is certainly good enough for this.
6. Eva's Deel at least should have run a drum in the Highway on 'The Gong' program where she saw nothing but backsides late. The daughter of Dundeel has shown an ability to settle closer in prior attempts and should eat up the 1800m.
8. Can Do It won about the worst Provincial Maiden you'll see on November 18, but still did it by a big space and he's another than can settle handy as can 4. All Over Magic. The mile might've just seen him out at Kembla Grange but with a good map again off potentially a slower tempo here, he has enough class to figure again.
KINGSTON TOWN CLASSIC DAY: Ascot Race-By-Race Preview
Race 4 - 2:55PM DE BORTOLI WINES HANDICAP Tips (1800 METRES)
The preparation looked to be going perfectly for 6. ATLANTIC KING with a great return run followed-up by a strong second-up victory when defeating Gone Bye, who franked the form with a big win via his next outing.
Whilst he was disappointing last start at Kembla Grange, the step back to 1500m worked against this gelding on that occasion as did settling back off a wild tempo where this big bloke just couldn't pick-up his feet. Up to 1800m is a tick and we ideally want to see a more positive Jason Collett here.
I'm a little surprised they're pushing on with 8. The Eleanora given he got that black-type win in the bag via the Group Three Spring Stakes at Newcastle but fronts up again and there's no reason why he can't take this out if that form is held.
With a better gate, blinkers on and three kilo weight swing on The Eleanora from that contest, 11. Namazu gets his chance to turn the tables and also including stable mate 12. Dhakuri. This may have come a little soon but he looks a promising stayer and perhaps one Godolphin are eying off for a Derby campaign with in the autumn.
Race 5 - 3:35PM IRON JACK HANDICAP Tips (1400 METRES)
The only query with 5. EDISON is just how much work he'll have to do to cross early as otherwise, this well-bred four-year-old looks perfectly placed bringing that Through The Cracks form (twice) to a weaker Benchmark 88 where he should be about ready to peak now third-up from a spell.
By Fastnet Rock and out of a daughter of Group One winning mare Unearthly (who produced Invest; an Australasian Oaks winner), Edison has won his last two third-up attempts and was only reeled in late at Newcastle after making a strong gallop up front. With projected improvement off that, he looks awfully hard to beat here.
7. Enchanted Heart is well up in class from Benchmark 78 level, the last of which was against her own sex when narrowly denied by Great News. The form around Edison reads a lot better than those references but with a six kilo drop in the weights and potentially the last look at them, she has to be respected.
Other than 10. Bigboyroy
who was completely blessed second-up albeit does map for a similar run-in transit here, this field does fall away with perhaps 9. Onslaught
the pick of the outsiders ($21.00 @ bet365
). Is up in grade but the extra trip suits following a nice return and he has decent second-up stats.
Race 6 - 4:15PM SKY RACING ACTIVE HANDICAP Tips (2000 METRES)
They've been kind enough to schedule the weekly Sydney staying lottery in the first leg of the Quaddie once more and in this near on impossible one to work out, I felt the Waller-trained 4. ACROSS DUBAI was potentially the overs of this field.
Now in his second Australian campaign and following an inconsistent start to the spring, there hasn't been a whole lot to fault in his last three performances (since the racing ear muffs were removed) where he was luckless on October 14 and has stuck on in his last two outings. Drops to a Benchmark 78 and with the Thomas Stockdale claim, he's a chance.
6. Gone Bye saluted by a big space as our best bet on the November 13 program from Canterbury and the extra 200m here won't worry him. The query is how much that last start on a leader-biased circuit flattered him as he couldn't have had a better run. Is no world beater but there's still some upside there.
13. Significance is as talented as any of these but is a very hard galloper to get a gauge on. His two career wins have both come by more than seven lengths but has looked flat in most other attempts and have to include the in-form 7. Accountability although he looks right at his top now with 59kg.
VIC RACING: Pakenham Cup Day Preview & Selections
Race 7 - 4:55PM MEMBERS CHRISTMAS HANDICAP Tips (1100 METRES)
In a competitive race, I'm siding with the Snowden-trained 5. POETIC CHARMER at big odds who although appears as though he could find the 1100m a little slick on return, he's much been a much-improved galloper in 2020 and the two trials leading into this have been outstanding.
A first-up winner last prep over 1200m before recording a victory in this grade two starts later, the son of Your Song has impressed in two November heats and with speed around him in barrier eight, Bowman can position up around midfield and get a tow into it late.
2. Eleven Eleven is an interesting returner and another that has been working strongly at the trials. He doesn't have any first-up form and whilst this is the likely first blowout ahead of a Magic Millions campaign, this is the easiest task he's faced in some time and class could get him home.
13. Hulk is slowly starting to redeem his supporters and has a fitness edge over many key rivals. This is a decent leap from Benchmark 78 level though but drops in the weights for the class rise and have to respect last start winner 10. Mo's Crown who did score comfortably at Kembla Grange. He's capable of progressing further.
Race 8 - 5:35PM QUINCY SELTZER HANDICAP Tips (1350 METRES)
3. SAUSEDGE was a very reliable galloper early days and after threatening to potentially be a stakes-class mare following a big win at Rosehill last spring, has become quite costly although to be fair, she hasn't had any luck in two runs so far this spring.
Following a big drift ($5.00-$9.00), the daughter of Shamus Award made a meal of the start which cost her a certain victory and although jumped better second-up, couldn't get out and balanced up until it was all over via the $100,000 Snake Gully Cup. She can sprint off any tempo and is worth another chance back against her own sex.
Returning off a little break is the very honest 2. Invinciano who although isn't well weighted with 59kg arriving off some lower rating events, she's one who'll at least settle handy to the speed with tricky maps for many of her key threats. Will get her chance if it turns into a sprint home.
was group-placed last campaign and caught the eye late in a recent Gosford trial. She's now under the care in-form trainer Annabel Neasham and if they're making ground out wider, 8. St Covet's Spirit
comes into calculations at long odds ($17.00 @ Palmerbet
) off a fair return which she should only improve off. Her autumn form around Dawn Passage, Rubisaki and Subpoenaed reads very well for this.
Race 9 - 6:10PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP Tips (1200 METRES)
Whilst she was still competitive last campaign, 10. DUNBRODY POWER has returned to her best this preparation and third-up now off an enormous effort at Kembla Grange, this five-year-old appeals as the best each-way chance on Saturday's Rosehill card.
The 1100m was as short as she wanted it first-up but class got her there just in time and stepping out to the 1200m on November 21, picked herself up after enduring a tough run to still savage the line over the concluding stages. Drops two kilos coming out of mares' grade but I'm not convinced this is all that much harder and she's drawn to pounce late under Bowman.
Another who made a stack of ground on that Kembla Grange meeting was 8. Golly I'm Lucky
and this six-year-old has put together a pretty handy record although most of it has been at a lower level. He has won three of four second-up attempts and should be respected here at a fair price ($15.00 @ bookmaker.com.au
1. Big Parade was backed as if unbeatable first-up as a gelding and stopped as if shot over the concluding stages there. He did go very hard and the blinkers have now been removed as a result. Including the lightly raced 12. Rammstein who is up in grade with a tricky gate but seemingly has more upside than most of these.
ROSEHILL QUADDIE TIPS: