RANVET HANDICAP Tips (Race 4)
Warwick Farm Next Best Bet - Race 4 No. 6 Sixgun
Trainer Mark Newnham has prepared 14 winners at Warwick Farm over the last 12 months at an excellent strike rate of 27.5% and he teams up with Josh Parr here, a very successful combination with 23 winners recorded at 21.1% for this season.
A full brother to multiple Group winning sprinter Splintex, Sixgun created an immediate impression last winter when rattling home on debut at Canterbury on a Heavy 9 track, putting more than five lengths on the talented Rocketing By in the process, a winner of the 2021 Inglis 3yo Sprint.
Despite putting in some decent efforts following that, they have elected to geld the son of Snitzel who following two April trials, the last of those a second in a fast run heat behind the subsequent Hawkesbury Gold Rush winner in Embracer, he should be ready to produce fresh.
XXXX HANDICAP Tips (Race 5)
Warwick Farm Best Bet - Race 5 No. 3 Gemmahra
Although she is drawn out, this mare will roll forward irrespective and at Warwick Farm where it can be an advantageous to find the middle to wider lanes when it's wet, it at least allows Campbell Rawiller to find the best ground and/or ride to how the track is playing.
Gemmahra is on the seven day turnaround following a second over the 1550m at Canterbury, an event in which she did lead at a strong tempo and it played into the hands of the eventual winner Media Starguest, who she was also spotting 4kg to, so the 2.5kg drop now with the claim is crucial.
What adds further merit to last weeks performance is the space put on the other on-pace runners in Sally Pops and La Jolie Fille, two runners that were well beaten, finishing towards the rear of the field while overall, this race doesn't appear to be any harder.
TAB HANDICAP Tips (Race 7)
Warwick Farm Value Bet - Race 7 No. 2 Zegalo
Following a pair of quiet jump-outs at Flemington, this Chris Waller-trained import was sent out as a $9 chance in his Australian debut on the January 23 program from Randwick and he was disappointing, finishing eighth of nine and beaten 10 lengths.
It was noted post-race that he was ideally looking for a surface with give in it and he got that on February 17 when delivering a much-improved performance, working home with 61kg for an eventual fourth-place finish in what was comfortably the worst part of that track (inside).
Like many imports, we expect improvement in their second campaigns as they acclimatize better and in two trials (the first in a strong heat), there hasn't been much to fault about the recent work from Zegalo who finds his most suitable assignment since making the move.