BOWERMANS COMMERCIAL FURNITURE HANDICAP Tips (Race 4)
Warwick Farm Roughie - Race 4 No. 8 Isorich
Traditionally a hard galloper to catch for punters, but a marvel for connections this veteran has been over a long journey, with nearly $740,000 prize money accrued over an incredible 126 start career and he isn't hopeless here despite the long odds
A dual city winner in 2020 that was hard to miss at Newcastle on December 19 when making good inroads from an uncustomary rearward position, he's faced unsuitable soft tracks in two of his last three outings and was wide in the most recent of those runs, in a much stronger affair to what he faces here.
Two starts back over 1300m, which has always been a stretch for Isorich, he was only beaten in the last stride by Snitzify, who franked that form with a win in this grade on February 17 and a return to that form would give a sniff in a race of this strength.
ROBRICK LODGE HANDICAP Tips (Race 5)
Warwick Farm Best Bet - Race 5 No. 2 Exotic Ruby
With 12 winners at a strike rate of 25% on his home track over the last 12 months, trainer Bjorn Baker always needs to be respected at Warwick Farm and now fourth-up, it's about D-day for this mare who is plummeting in grade from a Group Two contest.
A lightly raced daughter of Snitzel that was very competitive early days around subsequent Stakes winners Subpoenaed and Pandemic, Exotic Ruby was specked at a price in that Millie Fox Stakes ($13.00-$11.00) where she did pull up lame after racing three-wide the trip, so there were definite excuses.
Her summer return was hard to miss with a strong second to Lillemor (narrowly beaten in a Benchmark 88 at her next start), who she was only a stride or two off nabbing and second-up, was only rolled by the in-form Vulpine who nearly prevailed in a strong Benchmark 78 on February 20.
HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP Tipsw (Race 6)
Warwick Farm Value Bet - Race 6 No. 9 Alakahan
He has ground to make up on La Grisa from their February 10 clash, but with the benefit of a 2.5kg weight swing along with a 2200m second-up performance under the belt, this lightly raced gelding should only strip fitter from that last outing.
While we need to respect the favourite coming back in trip and onto firmer ground, 2600m back to 2200m on the seven-day turnaround isn't easy and aside from that mare, most of this field do look well exposed so the upside is perhaps with this five-year-old who has drawn perfectly in 10 given he does need to build momentum.
Admittedly, it was only a Set Weights Class 1 but Alakahan did stronger as that first Australian preparation wore on which culminated in as big win at Newcastle and off a low rating which sees him carry the minimum after claim, is more than capable of a stringing a few together at this level.
TAB HANDICAP Tips (Race 8)
Warwick Farm Next Best Bet - Race 8 No. 11 Fashchanel
By I Am Invincible and out the dam Elegant Fashion, a Group One winning mare, this four-year-old safely accounted for subsequent city winners Steel Diamond and Amoretti early last campaign before tapering off a little, but the trials and fresh run indicate she's returned well.
Up 5kg and carrying a 60kg impost second-up is no easy feat, but it did take what looks a stakes-class Harmony Rose to roll her on February 17, a filly she was spotting 2.5kg to and in the effort prior she's run into the handy April Rain, another who will be progressing well past 78 level and that opponent had a fitness edge.
Coming out of that fast run affair second-up, Fashchanel should be nearing in on a peak run now and despite technically going up in grade a little, on paper at least, it isn't necessarily that much harder while all the way back to 55.5kg with James McDonald keeping the ride, she can get away with this.