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Rosehill Betting Tips for November 2, 2024 - Race-By-Race preview for Golden Eagle day
- Rosehill features a ten-race lineup on November 2 with key insights and race tips provided
- Highlighted selections include Lambay, Allapercanto, and Nonconformist, among others
- Notable bets are 'Left Field' for each-way at 6.50 and 'Ambassadorial' to win at 3.85
Expired
The Golden Eagle headlines Saturday's Rosehill meeting. (Getty)
Rosehill hosts a ten-race program on Saturday and our preview for November 2 is included below.
- Rosehill Tips November 2
- Race 1 - 12:10PM TAB Highway Handicap Tips (1400m)
- Race 2 - 12:45PM TAB Handicap Tips (1300m)
- Race 3 - 1:20PM Cerrone Handicap Tips (2000m)
- Race 4 - 2:00PM Kia Handicap Tips (1300m)
- Race 5 - 2:40PM Four Pillars Midway Tips (1500m)
- Race 6 - 3:20PM Toyota Forklifts Handicap Tips (1100m)
- Race 7 - 4:00PM Russell Balding Stakes Tips (1300m)
- Race 8 - 4:45PM James Squire Golden Eagle Tips (1500m)
- Race 9 - 5:20PM Rosehill Gold Cup Tips (2000m)
- Race 10 - 5:55PM City Tattersalls Club Handicap Tips (1500m)
- Rosehill Quaddie Tips:
Rosehill Tips November 2
Race 1 - 12:10PM TAB Highway Handicap Tips (1400m)
Best: 8. Lambay. There was clearly an opinion of Lambay early, with short starting prices in his first five appearances and that included two runs for Chris Waller last spring.
He broke through for the Jones & Joseph stable as a $1.35 fav in April, although it was hardly a convincing victory and the gelding rounded out that prep in two handy country races.
Lambay was heavily supported first-up at Canberra on October 11, where he finally put a field away and for this second-up Highway assignment, he carries 3.5kg less.
Value: 11. Yareakh. He's been mostly thereabouts without winning since a debut triumph at Scone and that includes five competitive runs over spring/early summer last season.
Yareakh finished in the money via his October 11 return at Port Macquarie, where the five-year-old just lacked a turn-of-foot late over 1200m, but it was still a sound effort.
The form around that Class 1 has stood up, with three subsequent winners already produced from that race and he was only narrowly beaten second-up over this trip last prep.
Race 2 - 12:45PM TAB Handicap Tips (1300m)
Best: 7. Allapercanto. This Team Hawkes mare worked well without being knocked about in a slick Rosehill trial on October 18 and 1300m against her own sex is a good starting point.
Allapercanto was consistent over two preps in her three-year-old season, with only two finishes outside of the top four and the first of those was in a Listed event.
The latest was on heavy ground before a spell (was coughing post-race) and via her last fresh run, she was third behind Lady In Pink (subsequent Group 2 winner) and Rhapsody Chic (83 rater).
Value: 2. Gently Rolled. It was just an even fresh effort visually, however, her closing sectionals in that October 12 performance were respectable and she has no winning fresh form.
Gently Rolled hasn't finished out of the money in three second-up tries, which includes a win in this grade at Randwick last campaign before taking out a BM78 over this track/trip.
She beat Kintyre via that success, a galloper who won back-to-back Group races later that prep and Nash Rawiller stays aboard from the return (he and Bryce Heys strike at 27%).
Race 3 - 1:20PM Cerrone Handicap Tips (2000m)
Best: 5. Ambassadorial. His form was mostly mixed either side of consecutive wins at start two and three, however, Ambassadorial has opened his third prep with two good runs.
After a fresh win on October 7, he had to settle for a third-of-thirteen finish second-up when remaining at a mile, but it was another solid effort and I feel he's looking 2000m now.
His task is also aided by carrying 3.5kg less for Saturday's third-up attempt, while being by Fiorente and out of a Big Brown mare, he's bred to eat up the extra distance here.
Value: 1. Lauding. This Ciaron Maher-trained galloper has been freshened-up since producing a shocker over at Rosehill on September 28 and he's also down in grade off that tilt.
Barring a winter defeat at Caulfield on a Soft 7 surface, Lauding had been consistent in Australia prior to that recent 1900m showing and Ben Melham takes back the reins.
Melham was in the saddle for his first two Australian wins, which included a 2040m Moonee Valley triumph with 61kg and he saluted in this grade only three starts back.
Race 4 - 2:00PM Kia Handicap Tips (1300m)
Best: 3. For Victory. Given he got over longer trips last time in, with back-to-back triumphs in the 1800m-1900m range, For Victory is big odds first-up in this 1300m BM78.
I'm not sure he gets a strong 2000m and the five-year-old has been competitive multiple times over shorter trips, which includes a slashing Australian debut over 1350m.
The winner of that race (Wategos) was airborne at the time and he rounded out his last prep with a hat-trick of stakes placings, while For Victory's last trial on October 18 was encouraging.
Value: 6. Gundy Bridge. He's had plenty of issues, hence the seven-year-old being so lightly raced and he's trialled up three times ahead of his debut for the Sam Kavanagh yard.
The ex-Waterhouse & Bott runner was a spruik horse early, with three big wins recorded over 2021 and 2022, and he was produced off long lay-offs ahead of those short preps.
The market still respected Gundy Bridge despite the drop in form last year, but he's a proven fresh performer and his talent isn't the concern in what's a very weak BM78.
Race 5 - 2:40PM Four Pillars Midway Tips (1500m)
Best: 9. Piraeus. The knock is the two rough starting prices compared to what he is third-up in the Four Pillars Midway, however, it was hard to miss his second-up performance.
Piraeus sustained a wide and circling run via an October 12 Midway won by Alabama State and the son of Merchant Navy ran the fastest last 800m/600m/400m and 200m of that race.
Although the extra 100m is in his favour third-up, 1500m is still a touch on the short side for Piraeus, but he should be strong at the end of what's predicted to be fast-run event.
Value: 17. Arale. An interesting runner on stable debut for Kerry Parker is Arale, who contested stakes races last campaign and that prep opened with a first-up win.
She beat a useful Kenyada via that Canterbury 1550m success, so 1500m for this fresh assignment isn't a negative and the six-year-old has completed two lead-up trials.
With this being a 500k feature for Midway horses, connections aren't here for a prep run on return and off her best form, Arale can easily measure up in a race of this strength.
Race 6 - 3:20PM Toyota Forklifts Handicap Tips (1100m)
Best: 15. Left Field. I'm happy to take the each-way odds for Left Field, a resuming four-year-old from the Brad Widdup yard who has completed two spring ahead of this.
She wasn't quite as effective in two winter outings on heavy ground, but the daughter of Deep Field showed a slick turn-of-foot first-up in March before placing at Listed level.
Despite being arguably the most progressive sprinter in this field, she's on the 54kg minimum and providing they can make ground, she could be dangerous late off a hot speed.
Value: 4. Dollar Magic. She's no world beater, but Dollar Magic is as honest as they come, with top three finishes via 14 of her last 15 starts and that includes a win in this grade.
The six-year-old got the better of Jedibeel in that last triumph in May and the form around that runner-up has stood up (Jedibeel won two of his next three in stronger races).
Dollar Magic opened her spring with a third over this track/trip and with a map that has her getting a suck run off a strong tempo, she has to be one of the main hopes.
Race 7 - 4:00PM Russell Balding Stakes Tips (1300m)
Best: 4. Sunshine In Paris. She appealed as a strong each-way chance in The Everest and while unsuited in that second-up tilt, Sunshine In Paris still ran the fastest closing splits of that feature.
An awkward beginning and early bump forced her to settle at the back of the field, while with Coal Crusher and Phearson both included this event, they could set a strong early clip.
The daughter of Invader should be unbeaten at Rosehill (only miss was a huge/unlucky second in The Galaxy) and third-up at 1300m, she can atone, although the mare will need some luck.
Value: 5. Lady Laguna. The Sydney Stakes rated well on Randwick's Everest card and Lady Laguna charged home with the race-fastest last 200m of the consolation event.
That October 19 performance followed an even return effort and now fitter with two runs under her belt, we want to see Tyler Schiller push forward from a wide barrier.
Lady Laguna a Group 1 WFA winner over this trip and she almost made it a feature double in autumn when just missing in the George Ryder Stakes, so she isn't lacking class.
Race 8 - 4:45PM James Squire Golden Eagle Tips (1500m)
Best: 19. Ascoli Piceno. Japan's leading two-year-old filly in 2023 was unbeaten in three starts as a juvenile, which includes a Group 1 triumph in the Hanshin Juvenile Fillies when completing a hat-trick.
Ascoli Piceno brought up her fourth career win last start when successful on September 8 and that followed two runner-up finishes at Group 1 level to open the calendar year.
Behind a smart Jantar Mantar, she almost fell in the NHK Mile Cup two starts back when checked at a key stage and it was impressive that she picked up late after that.
Trainer Yoichi Kuroiwa isn't fazed by the wide barrier on Saturday and with the 'Magic Man' Joao Moreira in the saddle, Ascoli Piceno is a deserving fav in The Golden Eagle.
Next Best: 12. Lazzat. This unbeaten French raider made it six-from-six when breaking through at Group 1 level on August 4 and that victory was a comfortable one, with the gelding winning by three lengths.
The average winning margin across his six wins is over three lengths and the four-year-old has been successful on all surfaces, with his biggest wins coming rain affected tracks.
Lazzat has a very high cruising speed and a fair turn-of-foot, which is always a big advantage at Rosehill and all three anti-clockwise attempts have resulted in easy wins.
The overseas form behind him hasn't exactly stacked up in regards to subsequent winners being produced, however, he's been in a race of his own via most of those runs.
Value: 11. Port Lockroy. Raw ratings again don't read well for Port Lockroy in a set weights feature, however, he's clearly much more capable than his number reflects and he's building nicely.
Six furlongs proved a touch too sharp via a slashing return effort and while he wasn't quite as dynamic second-up, he did have to overcome trouble in that second-up tilt.
I'm confident that there's a nice race in Port Lockroy at some stage (looks a perfect Stradbroke horse) and a middle barrier for this third-up assignment is another positive.
The Neasham & Archibald-trained entire has X factor and with a clear look at them late from off the speed in a high pressure affair, he's worth an each-way ticket at a huge price.
Race 9 - 5:20PM Rosehill Gold Cup Tips (2000m)
Best: 2. Nonconformist. On an each-way basis, I'm sticking with Nonconformist, who will contest the Rosehill Gold Cup third-up off two strong Sydney run to open his prep.
While Kovalica was building momentum behind when making his move from the rear, I felt Harry Coffey was just caught napping at a key stage in the Hill Stakes second-up.
Nonconformist still picked up late after finding trouble and with that last run that following a lovely return in a good form race behind Buckaroo, he looks ready to peak here.
Value: 10. Saganti. It'll be interesting to see what the market does late with this Group 3 placed French import, who goes straight to 2000m for his Australian debut attempt.
The Price & Kent (Jnr) stable often get to the bottom of a horse early and with four European runs completed from April to July this year, Saganti has somewhat of a platform.
His Group 1 performance in his last appearance had some merit, where the grey made inroads after a tardy getaway and the entire had shown tactical speed prior to that run.
Race 10 - 5:55PM City Tattersalls Club Handicap Tips (1500m)
Best: 9. Bullets High. This is quite a strong BM78 to finish the program, with a host of progressive types in the line-up and Bullets High is one of those with upside.
He was a work in progress early for Joe Pride, with two wins from his first seven starts before a failed shot at the stumps via the Queensland Derby and he was spelled after that.
I'm wary that he could be flat second-up, but the fresh victory was impressive when coming from off the speed in a Warwick Farm race that otherwise favoured the on-speed brigade.
Value: 15. Cosmic Lad. Nothing went right via his return showing on October 23, where Cosmic Lad jumped awkwardly before hunting from the inside to find a position.
He was looking for a run on straightening and unfortunately, the gaps never presented for the son of Adelaide, who found trouble at the 200m and he was held-up from there.
With such a low rating of only 60, Anthony Cummings could've found a much easier race, although he's on the 52kg minimum and the youngster did show ability early.
Rosehill Quaddie Tips:
Race 7: 3,4,5
Race 8: 2,11,12,16,18,19
Race 9: 2,3,4,8,10
Race 10: 1,9,15
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Verdict
Our best & value bets for Saturday's Rosehill meeting are:
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