Race 1 - 11:35AM PETER KAFATARIS HANDICAP Tips (1300 METRES)
Perhaps the safest way to go is 1. KOBE ROCKS, but this is an extremely open race. A very honest ex-Kiwi, he does drop from 1400m to 1300m which looks the knock although hard fit and as arguably the best wet-tracker in the field, it may suit especially with a sit off a strong speed. He's a proven weight carrier and the winkers now go on.
8. Zorocat has been consistent this campaign with her only finish outside the top three coming in the Inglis Guineas two back, where she still whacked away. Well placed with a drop in grade and seven furlongs sees her out, so the 1300m is a tick.
I liked the Australian debut of 5. Key
who was then a little plain on June 5, but she was going 1100m-1400m. They likely ride her a little colder here to allow her to finish off. Has claims at a big price ($15.00 @ bet365
) off that fresh effort.
Not really sure what to do with 10. Patino Ruby away from Country/Highway level, but the intent to settle more forward is the right call. Carries no weight and she may just get that suck run from gate five.
Race 2 - 12:10PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 2 HANDICAP Tips (1400 METRES)
6. MONTEREY STAR has his fair share of ability and hasn't missed a step off a massive lay-off. It was a big return when racing quite keenly first-up before a second-up victory and with cover/better draw, he wins the May 22 Highway quite comfortably. From a low draw and carrying just 53kg, is the one beat here, providing he handles the most testing surface he's faced.
The wet track won't worry 7. Packers Bond
, a galloper that recorded two big wins early last spring before a poor summer. Was specked at big odds fresh when rattling home late over 1200m and the 1400m suits. A leading chance at double figure odds ($12.00 @ betstar
3. The Drover has been a model of consistency over his last two preparations and in his first Highway tilt on June 12, found the line well for second despite being well held. They should be more positive this Saturday from a better draw.
Although 4. Being Naughty has a wide gate to overcome, this gelding is yet to run a bad race and has kept boxing-on either side of two wins this campaign. Kathy O'Hara likely pushes forward from barrier 13.
Race 3 - 12:45PM BOOKMAKERS RECOGNITION DAY STAYERS CUP Tips (3200 METRES)
The only winner over two miles in this field is 1. SWEET THOMAS who comfortably saluted in this race last year with 60kg and is carrying that same impost here for what is a slightly weaker field if anything. Building nicely off three efforts so far this preparation, the veteran is going every bit as well this time around and he's a stayer that handles any conditions.
I've never been able to catch 4. Kaapfever who despite having not attempted any contest past 2400m, is seemingly one of the very few going well enough to win this. He drops a whopping 9.5kg off his May 14 attempt where he finished off well for second.
5. Feel The Rush was ticking quite well after two spring performances where he couldn't get out of his own way. Although disappointing on May 29, he was appreciating the spaces between runs prior to that.
6. Terwilliker hasn't been disgraced in two attempts in this race and it was much improved effort fourth-up at Warwick Farm. Top three/four hop, but I couldn't back him to turn the tables on Kaapfever from that.
Race 4 - 1:20PM BARRY COOK HANDICAP Tips (1800 METRES)
While we'd prefer 5. LA GRISA on a firmer surface, she has been close on a Heavy 9 and back against her own sex on Saturday, the grey is well placed. After smashing the clock on resumption behind Mubariz, she was flatter second-up albeit was set a monster task. That recent form reads well for this grade and expect them to settle closer from a better draw.
Chris Waller trains half of this field and longest in the market is 3. SAVIGNE who will be suited by this rise in trip. The second-up effort at Caulfield was good before getting too far back on June 12. Can lob handier from gate five.
4. Zing is in calculations by default given her recent consistency, but she's had her chances via those last two efforts and the extra furlong (hasn't won past a mile) is a genuine query. Too short at around $2.10 for mine.
1. So Wicked relished the drop in grade on June 16 and is starting to build quite a handy record around this distance range. With 60kg and given her last four wins have come at 72 level, she isn't well weighted although is back to Mares grade here.
Race 5 - 1:55PM GARRY BURGESS HANDICAP Tips (1500 METRES)
With a more genuinely run 1500m affair, 6. CADENABBIA may just find his right set-up, as he did second-up in the spring before a Group Three tilt. The tongue-tie went on prior to his fresh win at Warwick Farm and was completely unsuited there via his latest when attempting a run off a crawling tempo. Doesn't need to lead, but can roll across and ideally find a back to follow.
Winning three races in his second racing preparation was the honest front-runner 2. Knight who needed the run fresh in a BM78 and was only reeled in via the last few strides second-up. That was easily his best effort to date on heavy ground.
The favourite 3. Wairere Falls bring easily the best form lines coming back to BM72 grade with an unlucky second to Great House two back before being safely held as runner-up last Saturday. I still think he's more effective on Soft 5/6 going.
7. Maccomo seems to run the same race whether it be in town or in a Country Class 2 and is generally thereabouts. The Randwick mile will test him, but with 53.kg after the claim, he can again give a sight.
Race 6 - 2:30PM TAYLOR CIVIC STAKES Tips (1400 METRES)
Feels like yet another Sydney winter Stakes raffle, but don't mind the placement from Joe Pride with 8. THREEOOD who hasn't been knocked around by a big autumn campaign, so she may be the one here with a bit of upside. The return was good despite being cricket score odds in Brisbane and while there's a gap between runs, the June 11 trial was excellent.
We've seen plenty of 5. Wandabaa over the autumn and winter, a mare that deserves a black-type win and she would've got that victory first-up with more intent. Relishes the wet tracks, but jumps straight to 1400m.
9. Fender won his first two autumn starts in Brisbane and certainly had excuses third-up when racing three-wide throughout in the BRC Sprint. Still yet to win past 1300m, which is the knock, but he is a more effective galloper on soft/heavy ground.
hasn't won since the stone age, but he's consistently thereabouts while this looks a Chris Waller set play off a hard run mile fresh and now back to 1400m. He's one for the exotics at a longer quote ($21.00 @ Sportsbet
Race 7 - 3:10PM KEITH FREE OAM HANDICAP Tips (1800 METRES)
After recording a big win in his second Australian start, 10. GREAT HOUSE failed in two subsequent efforts although it's certainly worth respecting the $2.50 SP against Yonkers and Realm Of Flowers. Class overcame the 1500m trip first-up and the rise to 1800m along with staying on wet ground is ideal. Is the most progressive runner in the field and he's down to 55.5kg. Best of the day.
1. Opacity is the clear threat to the favourite, but does now rise 6kg off that third-up victory although he's a proven carrier than generally holds his form. Great House has more class, but this four-year-old is a little more genuine.
We got the cash out of the handsome 5. Mubariz on June 5, a galloper that's in career best form and is only three runs into his preparation. He does go up 4.5kg now and faces two pretty handy market elects. It's his biggest test to date.
As we saw with Joe Pride via Stockman, he has a good record with backing these middle distance/staying types up in winter and the astute trainer is aiming for the same with 4. Brutality. This runner is getting pretty costly, however.
Race 8 - 3:50PM ACY SECURITIES HANDICAP Tips (1400 METRES)
Despite being completely unsuited, 5. ULYSSES was excellent on resumption. Rattling off easily the fastest closing sectionals of his June 12 event, he was forced to settle further back over 1200m from a sticky draw before launching late. 1400m second-up is a plus, but the big query is the state of the track come Race 8 if it hasn't dried out a little more on the current Heavy 8 reading.
2. Canasta is another galloper that won't be performing any rain dances although he somewhat broke his poor wet track record with a Soft 7 romp last campaign. Going well and if he gets control up front here, he'll take catching.
is limited, but honest and last winter he recorded five consecutive placings before breaking a big winning drought fresh in the spring. He goes into the exotics at decent odds ($17.00 @ Sportsbet
) despite being better suited at Randwick.
What do we do with 7. Blondeau? Won in slick time first-up and a fortnight ago, found a very winnable race on paper, but could only manage a third to Cisco Bay. The favourite will drift on his current quote unless they can make ground.
Race 9 - 4:30PM WARREN WOODCOCK HANDICAP Tips (1100 METRES)
The returning 8. PERIGORD makes some appeal. A galloper that we haven't seen trial prior his last two fresh attempts, he's had two hit outs ahead of this return with an eye-catching one on June 4 before bumping into Group One winner Savatiano who was wound up on June 18. This gelding's worst first-up finish was a fourth, with two wins and two placings from his other tilts.
Bursting to win a race is 6. Hulk who now with three runs under the belt, looks better suited stepping back to the 1100m. A runner that always needs that bit of luck running, a lot will depend on how the inside is playing (has drawn gate two).
12. Destination should've beaten Wild Ruler last spring, a colt that has won another three Stakes races since then. This Godolphin three-year-old returns as a gelding and he could well blow a BM78 field away. The betting may tell the story with him off one trial.
5. Dunbrody Power
is an underrated mare with a good fresh record and she bolted in on a soft track at Randwick in December. She's always been more comfortable drawn outside of runners, so gate nine is a tick and she warrants respect at decent odds ($14.00 @ TopSport