Race 1 - 11:25AM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP Tips (1200 METRES)
Brett Cavanough has opted for the Highway over a Listed tilt in Brisbane with 7. PATINO RUBY, a filly who had drawn wide in that Doomben event. The big query is the six furlongs for the first time given her prior three attempts were over shorter sprints, the last of those on February 16 when defeating Miss Kono over 900m, who won at Provincial level either side of that.
8. Luminoso was brave behind Green Flash before upsetting Osamu at a short quote, a galloper who has placed twice at Stakes level and broke through at his next start. He was a little plain at Wyong, but from a low draw and a kinder map, should respected off that prior form.
Hard to knock to consistency of 3. To The Nines, a gelding who has won three of five starts and ticked the 1200m box at Goulburn in a brave win over Egyptian Missile, who had some fair form lines. Fit, in-form and from a good draw, he has to be a chance.
1. More Sundays contested arguably a stronger Highway on April 24 and he sustained a wide run on that occasion. Is superbly in after the 3kg claim although his racing pattern does him no favours.
Race 2 - 12:00PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP Tips (1300 METRES)
While 7. OVERMANN was disappointing, he was tipped out following that fourth on debut behind the impressive Acrobat. Recording a fast last 600m/200m on resumption, he was brave when ridden a little too aggressively second-up with Astrologer enjoying the suck run and they've gapped the rest. The prior form around the winner reads well enough and he draws for lovely run under Tommy Berry.
Doing well to split the Waller army that's engaged here although I do think 5. Greater Harlem will be the best of them in time. Loved the debut behind Overpass and that form ties in through his stable mates from Gosford. He's drawn terribly in 14, however.
1. Conexy was a city winner in Brisbane last November, albeit it was an ordinary race. The return was only fair at Gosford but on what is likely to be firmer footing on Saturday, he can improve. Is another that has to overcome a poor barrier.
With 1300m in mind, the Gosford effort from 3. Kalino
was sound after making a meal of the start. He's at least an each-way chance here at a double figure price ($10.00 @ BlueBet
) with a cleaner getaway.
Race 3 - 12:35PM CELLARBRATIONS HANDICAP Tips (1500 METRES)
I quite liked the April 20 trial of 3. SERENA ahead of her Australian debut and she didn't disappoint, finding the line well for an eventual fifth-place finish over the 1300m at Hawkesbury. With a low rating which sees her drop to a BM72 and only go up 1kg after Tom Sherry claim, the extra furlong and low draw are both positives on Saturday. Open race, but she's over the odds.
Another at a decent price ($11.00 @ TopSport
) is 4. Wairere Falls
who won over this distance first-up with 60kg last time in and was scratched from the midweeks at Kensington to run here. A small field with speed does suit as he can camp off them and launch late.
6. Kobe Rocks is very honest and has found a winnable race. He had excuses fresh and then battled on well second-up. Lacks the turn-of-foot to be competitive with Australian sprinters, so the step up in trip is a plus.
Couldn't bring myself to back a last start 58 winner although the Maher & Eustace import 8. Saint Of Katowice has been dominant twice this autumn and plummets in the weights.
Race 4 - 1:10PM ACY SECURITIES HANDICAP Tips (1200 METRES)
Bolting in first-up at Gosford was 6. BLONDEAU and the time for that 1200m contest stacked up superbly for that entire Gosford meeting. A Waller-trained gelding that handles all conditions, he put in a clear personal best there and a rating of only 74 means he's still well placed at 78 level. A repeat of that fresh performance sees this three-year-old win quite comfortably again.
Blondeau put 2. I Am Power in a pocket at a key stage in that last contest and although he wouldn't have won irrespective, it was a good Australian debut from this ex-Hong Kong galloper. Firmer footing on Saturday should help.
3. Snowfire has his fair share of ability and as a rising five-year-old with just the 11 starts to his name, we'll get a better gauge on his ceiling this winter. While 1200m might prove a little sharp, he's better than 78 grade.
7. Charretera doesn't win out of turn but he's generally thereabouts as a regular off-season performer and did prevail in this grade over the spring. He finishes in top three more often than not.
Race 5 - 1:45PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP Tips (1200 METRES)
Leaning the way of 6. EXOTIC RUBY in what is about the most open race on the program. While she boxed on fairly first-up, the daughter of Snitzel is much more effective on a firmer surface which she'll find on Saturday and from barrier seven, can settle just off the leaders under Jason Collett. Was runner-up to Vulpine second-up in the summer, a mare that won a Group Three two starts later.
5. Cafe Royal won four of her first five starts at Country and Provincial level before coming to town last winter, where she didn't handle the heavy tracks. This mare bolted in fresh at Newcastle despite doing plenty of early work and draws kinder here.
Breaking a little winning drought second-up was 7. Turnstyle and she did it in style, bolting in by more than four lengths on May 12. This is harder, but she's proven in all conditions and should get a nice run on the speed.
9. Redoute's Image
arguably should've beaten Salina Dreaming and The Face first-up last campaign, which reads well enough for this and she then contested some handy races leading up to the Magic Millions. A winning chance at a fair quote ($16.00 @ bet365
Race 6 - 2:25PM DE BORTOLI WINES HANDICAP Tips (2000 METRES)
The debut win of 9. GREEN FLASH had merit as he did plenty wrong and this expensive colt been building quite well in two subsequent efforts, albeit he has looked quite dour, including the last performance when stepping to the 1550m when catching the eye with a second to Grace And Harmony, who won a Listed race following that. It's a quick rise in trip, but we'll get a better gauge on him here.
2. Maranoa is out of Faint Perfume, a VRC Oaks winner and the last start Wagga Guineas win was strong, with the three-year-old pulling away again on the line. The favourite will go straight to the front and look to run his rivals ragged once again.
I've got time for 10. Quiet Michael, a progressive three-year-old stayer who might be a prep away and has a wide barrier to overcome. He backed-up the Canterbury fresh effort with a much deserved Maiden win at Hawkesbury, although that was a weak field.
17. Rebel Rama has kept improving as this campaign has wore on, winning her Maiden two starts back before savaging the line on April 22. With another gap between runs, I suspect this is the final hit-out ahead of a QLD Oaks tilt.
Race 7 - 3:05PM LORD MAYORS CUP Tips (2000 METRES)
A winner of this race back in 2019 was 3. GREY LION and he's following that same third-up pattern in 2021, competing in the Doncaster Prelude fresh before going 1500m-2000m in the JRA Plate. He can carry weight, as was evident in Brisbane over the spring and has had a final hit-out with a Randwick trial on May 13. Perhaps the one ready to peak and from gate five, can get a lovely midfield run in transit.
14. Parry Sound arguably should've won third-up when sustaining a long run, only to be touched off by Avion Fury who he was spotting 5.5kg to and she had some decent form lines earlier in the autumn. Decent step up from a 78 albeit it's not the strongest Listed event.
A bit of a smokie at a double figure quote ($16.00 @ Sportsbet
) could be 4. Costello
, a gelding that was fair fresh in a fast run Hawkesbury Cup. He has no first-up form, but has recorded two wins and a pair of seconds from five second-up attempts to date.
13. Knights Order
was plain first-up in the Wagga Cup although it wasn't a dissimilar fresh effort to the spring performance, one he bounced off to win second-up when heavily supported ($18-$9). Respect if any moves come from his current quote ($17.00 @ PlayUp
Race 8 - 3:45PM XXXX HANDICAP Tips (1500 METRES)
We expected this sort of price second-up for 7. OPACITY, a galloper who with no fresh form but should've finished closer when resuming at Hawkesbury. Held-up an in restricted room for much of the run home, he won second and third-up last autumn/winter before a disappointing spring. Goes from a 78 to an 88, but is better placed dropping 2kg with a senior hoop going on.
No idea what to do with the favourite 11. Ellsberg, who after getting some pressure applied, was quite plain second-up in the Hawkesbury Guineas. Belted the subsequent QLD Guineas winner prior to that and would clearly be the one to beat here off that performance.
saluted at big odds fresh and although this is harder, he did that quite comfortably with 60kg. Plummets in the weights here and has good second-up form. He's big odds once again ($23.50 @ Sportsbetting
I expected a little more from 8. Kirwan's Lane fresh given how that event played out, but he can improve, having been in the money via all second-up attempts to date. Avdulla is back on, who was aboard for an 88 win over Spirit Ridge in the spring.
Race 9 - 4:25PM RANVET HANDICAP Tips (1800 METRES)
In quite a strong 78, I'm interested to see how 6. TOORADIN stacks up here, with the powerful Maher & Eustace camp taking the son of Americain interstate for the first time. He showed promise over a long first preparation and given plenty of time following that, has gone back-to-back to start this autumn. Well in after the claim and he may even be more effective on a firmer surface.
1. Approach Discreet is another Victorian visitor crossing the border and he did so with success last preparation, albeit over 2400m. Won his prior third-up tilt over this trip and has been building well this time in. May want it wetter, though.
It looked as though 16. Travest was destined for bigger things following a big first-up victory last winter, but he just never went on with it. Broke a decent drought when saluting at Warwick Farm last start and that may just be the confidence booster he needed.
5. Steely is in super touch, backing up a brave second-up win with a more brilliant effort at Hawkesbury. Has a good turn-of-foot, it's just whether can display that over this longer journey with a 2,5kg penalty from that May 1 success.