Race 1 - 11:30AM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP Tips (1500 METRES)
Would've loved 6. DON'TFORGETMONICA drawn out a shade more although they don't need to be anywhere near as negative, so hopefully just a few pairs back on the fence. She worked home well in restricted room at Hawkesbury off a freshen-up and drops a whopping 5kg, carrying just 51kg after the claim. With a pinch of luck, she's right in the finish again.
Just getting the better of the top selection on May 1 was 10. Saintly Sunrise who is racing consistently although does have a poor overall strike rate. Can win but you're getting around 6/1 compared to the 40/1 a fortnight ago.
Another who struggles to win but is always thereabouts is 3. Perfect Pitch who last saluted on this meeting 12 months, in a stronger Highway to what he faces here. Is well in at 55kg after the claim considering his rating.
is much more capable than his quote ($20.50 @ Sportsbetting
) suggests. Beaten as favourite by Temoin Chaud on a leaders circuit two back, a useful mare, he won't know himself with 54kg. The blinkers now go on.
Race 2 - 12:05PM TURANGGA FARM WOODLANDS STAKES Tips (1100 METRES)
This is a bit of a raffle although with a cleaner getaway, 7. SHIHONKA defeats Billiondollarbaby on debut, a filly who remained unbeaten on that occasion following a win over Port Louis, who was well backed in the Group One Champagne Stakes, a feature where he was excellent without any luck. Tim Clark stays aboard for this black-type tilt.
Looking very professional in all of her trials has been 11. Sachello who after going through her work nicely behind the speedy Capital Reign, won at Rosehill in good time on April 27 (second fastest 900m heat that morning). Respect any moves for her at a price.
What do we do with 4. Headliner? Should've finished a little closer to the eventual Golden Slipper on debut before being safely in the Pierro Plate, with the wet track being attributed to that performance. Her most recent trial was sound.
9. Tidal Impact won like Secretariat on debut back in March, albeit it was at Coonamble and has bolted in via a May 5 trial from Newcastle. Interesting runner that isn't short on early toe.
Race 3 - 12:40PM JOHN MESSARA HANDICAP Tips (2000 METRES)
Up to 2000m, dropping in grade and now drawing a gate, we'll have better read on 3. LACKEEN this Saturday. Off a good trial, he was heavily supported on his Australian debut, but the track pattern was against and after excuses on March 25, worked home well at Canterbury. The subsequent trial was good and expect him to settle closer from a good draw.
9. Blaze A Trail could well be on a QLD Derby path and the 1600m second-up effort was terrific, working home strongly with 60kg, an effort he can really launch off. The wide gate and wet track are the queries.
While she doesn't win out of turn, 1. Welsh Legend is generally thereabouts and has been freshened-up following a Group Three attempt. 60kg is a decent leveller, but her form from last autumn reads superbly for this.
14. Mr Gee
is another with a QLD Derby nomination and following a shocker fresh, improved with the blinkers going at Hawkesbury. He looks ready to eat up the 2000m third-up and has claims at decent odds ($13.00 @ Sportsbet
Race 4 - 1:15PM EMIRATES PARK DENISE'S JOY STAKES Tips (1100 METRES)
This is an absolute lottery. It's the biggest test to date for 16. NAGS TO RICHES but this is well worth a shot at the stumps for some black-type. With a slightly more aggressive ride at start two, she would be unbeaten and the Gosford return was strong, doing all the work herself yet was still pulling away on the line. Gate one and 53.5kg, there's enough in her favour.
Godolphin filly 4. Mollycoddle won three of her last four starts last time in with the defeat being a second to Private Eye, who saluted in the QLD Guineas a fortnight ago. The market indicated she'd need the run fresh, but was still too classy. Hard to knock.
On a drier surface, 7. Newsreader would be shorter in this contest, a filly that has strong early form and finally got on the board in the Magic Millions Maiden before an easy win at Canterbury. Her lead-up trials have been excellent.
8. Rock My Wand
is the other way around, i.e. limited on top of the ground but is Stakes class on a wet track and she'll need a testing surface at 1100m. Her second trial was decent and she can give this a shake at a good price ($18.00 @ WinnersBet
Race 5 - 1:50PM INGLIS 3YO GUINEAS Tips (1400 METRES)
The map and exposed form goes the way of the returning Prime Star, however, I do believe 2. EXOBOOOM is a more talented galloper and one with upside going forward. The knock is staying at 1400m off that Hawkesbury Guineas win, a field with arguably a bit more depth to it, but he's back in form and has a fitness edge over the favourite. He can win again.
As mentioned, 1. Prime Star is the obvious with his Spring efforts through Peltzer and in the autumn, defeated Ole Kirk before a third to Aegon. Perhaps that three-year-old form isn't that flash this season, but it's still the best credentials here and resuming at 1400m is a tick.
is starting to deliver on his early promise, now furnishing as a gelding and while it appeared unsuitable dropping in trip with the big weight second-up, he saluted. This is obviously harder, but he is flying and draws for a good run on the speed at a double figure price ($14.00 @ PlayUp
Interested to see how 5. Ahead Start
measures up here as one of the more talented Highway winners we've in a while. Confident he's better than Country level and can acquit himself well despite the bolters quote ($21.50 @ Sportsbetting
Race 6 - 2:30PM VINERY LUSKIN STAR STAKES Tips (1300 METRES)
The unbeaten run for 7. LOST AND RUNNING was ended by subsequent Takeover Target Stakes winner, Enchanted Heart, but allowed to stride more freely following that, proceeded to bolt in the last from Randwick on April 24. He plummets down to 53.5kg for what is a very modest Listed race and he should control proceedings. Short enough, but should be winning.
While he is tactically versatile, the returning 4. Bandersnatch should be rolling across with the favourite as there's no other speed on paper. Never really has him pegged as Stakes class, but he found a new level in summer. I quite liked his May 7 trial behind Eduardo.
1. Eleven Eleven always takes a run or two and after a TJ Smith attempt fresh, was wide throughout on April 24 while third-up here, draws for a much softer run in transit. He recorded a winning hat-trick prior to a spell.
While 11. St Covet's Spirit
struggles to win, she is very consistent and the extra furlong following a fair return behind Embracer will suit. She's good value for the exotics ($51.00 @ BlueBet
Race 7 - 3:10PM KIA ORA STUD ORTENSIA STAKES Tips (1100 METRES)
Returning as a gelding for the Waterhouse & Bott camp was 5. EMBRACER who bolted in with the Hawkesbury Gold rush despite racing wide albeit aided by a slow tempo with just 53kg on his back. Five more runners arrive from that contest and it is hard to see any of them turning the tables. Barrier is seven is about perfect for Tim Clark and staying at 1100m second-up is a tick.
13. Fituese is a little ripper and is undefeated from three first-up attempts, including a victory over Masked Crusader last spring. Has trialled well and is the logical threat although off the map, Embracer should be favourite for mine as this mare will be spotting him a start.
Doubt 14. Adelong bridges the two lengths from that Hawkesbury race, however, she has a decent weight swing in her favour and she is more effective on a wet track. Definite top three chance, especially if she crosses.
Another that will appreciate rain affected ground is Godolphin mare 15. Varda although she has drawn poorly and is getting close to her mark (hasn't finished top three in four black-type attempts to date).
Race 8 - 3:50PM TIE THE KNOT HANDICAP Tips (1100 METRES)
Open race although back to 78 grade, I'm surprised at the price for 1. BLACK MAGNUM who has been competitive all preparation in higher grade, After finishing in the money first and second-up, he drew out in that Hawkesbury Gold Rush and wasn't disgraced. With a better gate, this gelding runs at least top four there and if that was the case, he'd be half his current quote in this.
The speedy 3. Mr Mosaic proved too slick first-up before contesting a strong 88 behind Lost And Running and Enchanted Heart, with that form well and truly franked. Is one dimensional but back in grade and freshened-up, he should give a big sight.
Tommy Berry built a good rapport with 5. Hulk last campaign, finishing in the money via his first five runs which included two victories and had enough by the time Boxing Day rolled around. He hasn't finished outside the top two in five first-up attempts.
4. Salina Dreaming has been very flat in her last two second-up efforts, which have both followed wins, so I wouldn't be in a hurry to sack her following the April 24 flop. She's another coming down in grade.
Race 9 - 4:30PM LES BRIDGE HANDICAP Tips (1400 METRES)
If it wasn't for his second-up flop last campaign, you'd just about declare 16. COUNT DE RUPEE here. The Marway form from his April 25 return is standing out strongly, with those two clearing out on the rest of the field on that occasion and that winner subsequently bolted in with the Wagga Town Plate. He's always looked a seven/eight furlong galloper and steps out to 1400m for the first time.
Boxing on strongly first-up at Hawkesbury was 15. Vitesse who always improves with the run and she was a second-up winner last campaign at Rosehill. She'll look to push forward and in a thin race, should be thereabouts with even luck.
has now had three runs back from long spell and out of all the Waller runners engaged in the last, it's the one I'd most respect any moves for at a price ($18.00 @ Palmerbet
). Drop in grade/1400m are both ticks and she looked to have a big future prior to her setback.
was completely unsuited fresh at 88 level and stepping up to 1500m with a drop in grade, rallied strongly to grab third on the line second-up. Definite top three/four hope at long odds ($23.00 @ Sportsbet
), especially if we get another upgrade on the track.
ROSEHILL QUADDIE TIPS: