Race 1 - 12:35PM CATANACHS HANDICAP Tips (1900 METRES)
Best - 4. GREAT HOUSE. Following a fair Australian debut over the mile at Flemington, this Chris Waller-trained import exploded at start two over the 2000m at Rosehill, benefiting from a hot tempo set by Vadiyann on January 30 and powering late to put a big margin on Harpo Marx, who was in very consistent form at the time.
Despite stepping up to a Benchmark 88 last start, the son of Galileo was favourite and although being forced to sustain a wide run from the rear, looked to have it won when looming at the 150m. There was a tendency for him to hang in via the run home, so the blinkers go on and he finds a much weaker race. Does look the obvious and I think he starts even shorter.
Value - 8. PICARO. Doesn't have the same upside as Toscanini, a three-year-old rival that he clashes with again following his narrow defeat on February 17 but given Picaro was held up rounding the turn and attempting to get out to the better part of the track, if you swap the runs with the eventual winner, the results probably flip around.
That does make the price discrepancy between the two gallopers quite large ($5.50 v $19) and while they're technically up in grade, that allows this five-year-old a drop to 57kg without having to claim, making the engagement of Nash Rawiller even more significant. He always tends to be big price and is a genuine top three hope again.
Race 2 - 1:10PM CERRONE MAGIC NIGHT STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
Best - 1. QUEEN OF WIZARDRY. Struggling to warm to or even split most of these Sydney fillies making up this Group 3 line-up, so looking for one with a bit more scope for improvement, especially as this autumn wears on and while this two-year-old looks as though she'll come into her own over a little more ground, I do think she can strike here fresh.
Shuffled back throughout the run via her debut and held-up until the 300m, it looked an impossible task but balancing up late, rattled home to prevail in a brilliant victory. then despite being in the worst part of the track, Queen Of Wizardry runs a clear second in the Magic Millions if it weren't for Baby Wong and Ruby Kisses falling into her lap in the straight.
Value - 9. GIRL MANIA. The value for a bet lies with our top selection but while this is a massive ask stepping straight to Group level off a Provincial Maiden attempt, this isn't a vintage line-up and although it might not be now, I do think this a galloper with a future who may be able to run a cheeky race at cricket score odds.
Prepared by the Jean Dubois stable who had the very talented See You Soon competing last autumn, a filly that never fulfilled her potential, Girl Mania was a big drifter in that debut run ($6-$11) where she was back and then working three-wide just to get into the race. Prior to that, she had shown a nice turn-of-foot late in a fast run trial at Hawkesbury.
Race 3 - 1:45PM BOWERMANS COMMERCIAL FURNITURE PAGO PAGO STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
Best - 6. HILAL. Really tough two-year-old race to line-up where the colts and geldings potentially make a late Golden Slipper bid. Off the Blue Diamond run, a race that produced the Todman Stakes winner Anamoe and Artorius, who's well and truly a leading contender for next Saturday's feature, Ingratiating has to be the favourite with clearly the superior form.
The query I do have with the Godolphin colt is a hard run 1200m along with a soft track for his first-time on the "other leg", but none of those factors will worry this son of Fastnet Rock who was a brilliant debut winner before going to the Group Two Skyline. While never in winning calculations, he rattled off clearly the fastest last 600m of that event. Does have brilliance that many of these might lack.
Value - 15. AWE. A stable mate to Hilal and one of the more interesting runners in this field as one of just two first starters, but we have managed to see him twice at the trials ahead of this assignment where following February 11 heat where he did catch the eye late albeit was well held, the last hit-out on March 4 was superb.
The overall time was nothing flash but Jay Ford couldn't have made him chase any softer with the colt cruising home under his own steam and almost managed to grab the win despite little effort. Stiff ask to come straight to a competitive Group Two and he'll likely go back, but certainly respecting the aggressive placement from the Hawkes yard.
Race 4 - 2:20PM BISLEY WORKWEAR SKY HIGH STAKES Tips (2000 METRES)
Best - 4. COLETTE. Following a slower start in the spring, the 2020 ATC Oaks winner thrived once she found a wet track with victory in the Golden Eagle and was able to continue that form first-up this campaign, winning the Apollo Stakes in dominant fashion, running the fastest late splits and 600m of that contest.
Despite narrowly going down to Verry Elleegant in an entertaining Chipping Norton Stakes, you'd be doing well to find a runner in Australia that would roll the champion mare when she's in striking distance and in for the fight. This is infinitely easier, she's superbly weighted under these conditions and I suspect only an off-day beats her.
Value - 3. THE CHOSEN ONE. While they were under very different conditions of a 2400m Handicap, you can tie his form in through Verry Elleegant last spring via the Caulfield Cup, a feature he ran a gallant third in before a fourth-place finish in the Melbourne Cup behind the dominant Twilight Payment who made it a true staying test.
The son of Savabeel is quite versatile being a Listed winner over a mile early and prevailed over 1700m first-up last spring. His main knock is perhaps a flat one second-up off a good return in New Zealand but they've spaced his runs out and the March 4 trial at Rosehill was particularly eye catching. If there's a threat to the favourite, then he's clearly it for mine.
Race 5 - 2:55PM CITY TATTERSALLS CLUB MAURICE McCARTEN STAKES Tips (1100 METRES)
Best - 9. WANDABAA. Could make a genuine case for at least half a dozen of the nice acceptors in this sprint but clearly the pick from the trials/jump-outs has been this four-year-old, a super consistent mare that had been working through the lower grades quite well before a string of three placings at Stakes level via the back-end of her last campaign.
While she was close up in and with a shade more luck, could've have quite easily have won at least one of those events, she does look much better placed over these shorter sprint trips where she can be saved for one run and dash home late. Needing a black-type win on the resume, her trials have indicated that she's ready to fire for what looks a genuine target.
Value - 6. ALBUMIN. His two performances this campaign, where he started with a runner-up behind Pandemic (listed winner at his next start) and then Sirius Suspect (competitive in the Group One Newmarket) do read quite well for a race of this nature but off a six week freshen-up, this striking grey was quite plain last start in the Southern Cross Stakes.
While he did have to make use of the barrier on that occasion, Albumin was ridden a little upside down and although he can handle some sting out of the ground, a Soft 7 isn't his forte. This six-year-old saves his best for Rosehill and with a quieter ride from a wider draw, I wouldn't be surprised to see a decent turnaround here, especially if the track isn't too wet.
Race 6 - 3:35PM CHANDON PHAR LAP STAKES Tips (1500 METRES)
BEST - 9. IMPECUNIOUS. While it was only a Class 1, it was an arrogant Australian debut victory over 1200m back in December which saw the Busuttin & Young stable spell this filly straight away with loftier autumn goals in mind and resuming in the Group Two Armanasco Stakes on February 20, it's fair to say she should've gone back-to-back.
After settling back in that small field, the outside passage never presented early in the straight which forced Glen Boss back to inside, where he was chopped out of a run then picked herself up when it was all over to only go down half a length. I do think she has a higher ceiling than these Sydney three-year-old's in this line-up and any rain won't worry her.
VALUE - 5. YALETOWN. A lightly raced three-year-old and while it's hard to say where his ceiling is, there's no doubting his toughness where after a Provincial Maiden victory on debut, he was tipped out before resuming off just one trial in the Canberra Guineas Preview where he ran into the in-form Mollie Nails, who was coming off a seven and a half-length win.
That's not exactly vintage form lines but we do see the Waterhouse & Bott yard use that Canberra route regularly with their talented younger gallopers and despite being clearly headed in that first-up attempt, there was plenty to like about the way he fought back. Honest, on-pace and fitter now, he can give a big sight in an event does appear to lack speed.
Race 7 - 4:15PM COOLMORE CLASSIC Tips (1500 METRES)
Best - 9. FORBIDDEN LOVE. From a soft midfield run in transit on February 27, Forbidden Love was able to explode late under Nash Rawiller and drawing the same barrier in three for Saturday's Coolmore Classic, he can take up a similar position if not settle a pair or so closer, dependent on how the track is playing.
With the ability to handle any surface and having put together a very consistent record now, the daughter of All Too Hard has tactical versatility along with a sharp turn-of-foot, two big strengths to have in any race let alone over the 1500m at Rosehill. The query is whether she can get close to replicating such a big peak performance, but for now, is the one to beat.
Value - 11. ALL SAINTS' EVE. Resuming in the Group Three Liverpool Stakes on February 27, it did look just another barrier trial for All Saints' Eve who was eased back to the rear early and in the straight, was behind a wall of runners before diving back to the inside, where she just peaked a shade late in what was the worst part of the track.
The daughter of Sacred Falls comes from an excellent family and with this winnable major on the calendar, it's a race that trainer John O'Shea would have her set for. From barrier seven in the big field, Brenton Avdulla can settle closer on a mare that can handle any conditions under foot, albeit ideally not a really heavy track, as it brings a few more rivals further into it.
Race 8 - 5:00PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS AJAX STAKES Tips (1500 METRES)
Best - 11. CRIADERAS. This half-brother to Hauraki and Kidnapped (Group One winners) made the leap rather quickly to much stronger company in just his second racing preparation but with a horrible racing pattern, has been his own worst enemy to date which couldn't have been more evident in the Villiers when attempting to qualify for the Doncaster,.
Painfully for his fans, that was again on display first-up in the Liverpool Stakes, however, I felt he could've easily have tacked on a shade and been a little closer in that event, so there was some pilot error that did prove costly. For a galloper that needs that bit of luck, he doesn't seem to be getting any of it but his day is looming. Main knock is there's not much of a price for the risk.
Value - 7. I AM SUPERMAN. Although the last trial leading into his Flemington return was quite strong, this five-year-old just didn't find the right set-up in that February 27 contest where he was covering ground and spotting 5kg to the fit Morvada, who was superbly rated up front under Damian Lane in that Group Three.
We've seen I Am Superman win twice in Australia off stronger tempos, including one over this track and trip last spring, so with the free rolling Buffalo River along with Greyworm being drawn out in this contest, he can cross to camp just off then be the first challenger in the straight. Drops 2.5kg off that and overall, just looks to get a few more favours with the race shape.
Race 9 - 5:40PM CELLARBRATIONS HANDICAP Tips (1350 METRES)
Best - 8. LINA'S HERO. The most open race on the Rosehill meeting is the last, an event where the market could warm late to any number of these runners and while it is a very competitive Benchmark 88, I was a shade surprised by the opening price of this talented gelding, who first-up off a return from Hong Kong, put in a nice display on February 27.
Prior to being sold, we saw the son of Elvstroem dominate in two Victorian outings, giving galloping lessons to Mighty Boss (Group One winner) and All Too Royal, who won seven more races including a Listed affair. It's obviously hard to return to that sort of potential but the fresh run was a definite pass mark and up in trip from a good draw, he should be respected.
Value - 11. ACCESSION. A genuine stakes class galloper as a two-year-old, it will take plenty of the Chris Waller magic to turn around the fortunes of Accession who really mixed his trial form prior to the return performance, putting in a bit of a shocker on February 5 before leading and winning a heat six days later in good time.
While it was somewhat inconclusive given the winning margin, he should've finished closer in that fresh outing where after being beaten for speed early, had nowhere to go in the straight before finishing off strongly when finally, out. Through Black Magnum and Handle The Truth over the Canberra Carnival, the form has form has stood up okay and they were runners he arguably should've beaten home.