Race 1 - 11:20AM TAB Highway Plate Tips (1800m)
3. LIFE WELL LIVED has won three of four this prep and the last two have been by big margins, with the latest a Dubbo Class 2, which he easily could've won by another few lengths. He does need galloping room, so not all that perterbed by the draw and Bowman is an excellent booking. Lightly raced and has less convictions than most of these.
7. Alloway was six weeks between runs when winning over 2000m at the provincials two back, so not worried about the space between runs off BM64 placing on June 30. Should settle in the first two or three pairs.
There's a decent gap between runs for 2. Zadig, who won a Highway on June 11 and that race has produced multiple winners. Has had a tick-over trial.
16. Brainzes was flying prior to his last effort, which although was a little plain, that winner did bolt in by five lengths.
Race 2 - 11:55AM Midway Handicap Tips (1800m)
While the 1800m is still a query with 7. ADIOS STEVE, he's in career best form and with four runs this time in including one over this trip, he won't get a better chance to run it out. Lacked the turn-of-foot of Chateaux Park after leading on July 20, but still put a margin on third and will perhaps appreciate a trail off Highly Desired here.
1. Highly Desired dictated and won comfortably last start at the midweeks, while he looks to get control once again from the front. Hasn't placed in four runs so far around this distance range, which is the knock.
4. McCormack hasn't won two years, but is as talented as any of these and has placed in his last two Midway attempts over a mile. Should be thereabouts.
8. Butch'n'bugs is racing well and has drawn out in his last four runs. Can he land a few pairs closer from barrier one?
Race 3 - 12:30PM RMHC Sydney Handicap Tips (2400m)
There are seven runners between $5.50 and $9 in an 11-horse field, so expecting plenty of swings come the jump. Leaning slightly towards 1. CADRE DU NOIR, who been building well in two runs from a long break and now gets J-Mac, who was aboard in his first winter trial. Is a proven weight carrier over this trip and handles all conditions.
2. Our Candidate broke a long drought at Grafton and will appreciate meeting this lot back on firmer going, as he doesn't quite handle heavy. Will have confidence now and gets relief after the 3kg Dylan Gibbons claim.
5. Marakopa was five weeks between runs on July 27 and was honest with 60kg, while spotting 5kg to the winner. In good touch and will run the trip.
7. Forest Dreamer had his chance at Caulfield, albeit sustained a run off no speed and the first two home there are progressive.
Race 4 - 1:05PM Jockey Celebration Handicap Tips (1400m)
While it's never easy for an early three-year-old against more seasoned rivals, 13. CONQUEROR is facing four-year-old's at BM72 level, so is hardly racing experienced hard nuts. Trialled well and the debut win over Seven Veils (Group 2 winner), She's Extreme (Group 1 winner) and Alpha One (unbeaten this prep) does jump off the page.
4. I've Bean Tryin' looked a good thing in the July 3 Highway and duly saluted. I suspect they're trying for a Kosciuszko slot, which although is over a sprint trip, class would take him a long way if he was to run.
Ability got 10. Coodarady home in a debut win last year, where he was raw. Straight to a BM72 off such a long break, Waller clearly has an opinion of him.
1. Cacaofonix got home fairly on Australian debut and the extra furlong is a tick. Carries 3kg less here and draws kinder.
Race 5 - 1:40PM Bisley Workwear Handicap Tips (1300m)
2. EQUATION was scratched from winnable race last Saturday and assuming they didn't want to resume on a Heavy 8. After a terrific three-year-old season, he wasn't the same horse in spring and is now gelded. Hasn't been knocked around in his last two trials and 1300m is close to his right trip. All of his wins have come on soft tracks.
While 5. Niffler did win a midweek mile race over summer, around seven furlongs is her right range, so the freshen-up and drop in distance is a tick. She was strong late in a July 29 trial and J-Mac is back on.
Despite solid efforts at stakes level in spring, 1. Grace And Harmony
is better placed coming back through the grades for now. Big price ($16.00 @ Palmerbet
) in a BM78.
7. Pizarro is going well, but the form around him is suspect and he only drops half a kilo for a rise in grade. Too short.
Race 6 - 2:15PM NSW Jockeys Reunion Handicap Tips (1000m)
Landed on 6. SMIRNOVA in a competitive dash, with this four-year-old perhaps better suited to the short course sprints after two 1200m runs to round out the autumn. Had won her first three and then was a good thing licked at The Valley before contesting stronger races. She's professional and is well placed first-up at benchmark level.
Not sure what to make of 1. Maotai, who looked group class after winning a strong BM78 in Feb, but has been quirky since and played up prior to his recent trial. Has a stack of gear changes, including the ultimate one.
4. Van Giz didn't run out 1400m late last prep and will be suited around the 1000m-1200m range. She's very honest and will look to chime in late.
8. Leo has a huge peak figure over this track/trip, which came somewhat at random off country form. Has trialled up well.
Race 7 - 2:55PM Recovery Partners Premier's Cup Prelude Tips (1800m)
While up in grade off a BM78 win which was run to suit, the return of 12. ALCYCONE was still arrogant, with 60.5kg first-up on a heavy track. Drops a whopping 9.5kg here and this is hardly a shot at the stumps from Godolphin, with this gelding having strong prior form, including a runner-up to Mr Brightside second-up last prep.
6. Lord Ardmore was well rated by Bowman when winning as our best bet at Rosehill on July 16. Was 1300m to 1800m second-up and five weeks between runs, so there should be plenty of improvement to come.
1. Arapaho drops in trip, which is a query this deep into a prep, but only goes up 1.5kg off his Grafton Cup romp. Perhaps more upside with his rivals, though.
9. Grove Ferry
stuck on fresh before over-racing at Grafton. Clark back on is a big tick and he can improve at a price ($23.00 @ BetRight
Race 8 - 3:35PM Expedo Missile Stakes Tips (1200m)
1. COUNT DE RUPEE was aggressively placed earlier this year, going first-up into a Newmarket and then the TJ Smith Stakes. Bounced back in Brisbane and will have residual fitness, having raced in May. If it's around a Soft 6, he'll be more suited than Forbidden Love and off their July 26 trial, this gelding appeared to work a little stronger.
2. Hilal will get over more ground, but was forward in a lead-up trial and does draws well. Arguably should've beaten Anamoe in autumn, when chasing the Godolphin star home on the worst going in the Hobartville.
3. Forbidden Love was superb last prep, although those set-ups were favourable, taking on mainly milers on very testing tracks. Happy to oppose at around $3.
5. Gem Song
was unlucky in the Ramornie and Phobetor won this last year off the same pattern. He's the pick of the bolters ($19.00 @ bet365
Race 9 - 4:15PM NSW Jockeys Association Handicap Tips (1600m)
Although he was ultimately outclassed third-up behind Alcyone, 10. FIORDLAND picked up again late in that July 16 event, where he was initially flat and off the bridle when chasing a good speed, so the mile should be ideal now. His second-up win was strong, when sustaining a long run and he should be suited by a softer tempo here.
1. Bonnie Mac was on the 53kg minimum when taking out a BM88 on Australian debut and now goes up 7.5kg for a drop in class. There's not much speed, which will allow Bowman to land safely in the first few pairs.
Given they've been spacing the runs of 2. Contributingfactor, the seven-day turnaround now is interesting. Talented and can handle the rise in grade.
6. Casino Kid made the blackbook after his first-up effort, but has been scratched three times subsequently (setback?).
Race 10 - 4:50PM Verto Handicap Tips (1200m)
While this is a slightly stronger BM78 to the one scheduled for July 23, we'll stick with the same two, starting with 11. SUNRISE RUBY, who let down with a powerful finish first-up and at 36.04,rattled off easily the fastest last 600m of that July 9 contest. Barrier 10 is perfect as she'll camp off them and attack the middle/wider lanes late.
resumed in that same July 9 race and outside Sunrise Ruby, she was the run of that, settling at the rear and against the pattern. Can land closer from gate two and is worth at least a saver at the price ($21.00 @ Neds
1. Glittery has won either side of a second-up flop, but had excuses there when back in a leader dominated affair. Up in grade, so carrying an extra 3kg is a knock.
8. Lady Banff is hard to catch, but has been competitive in stronger races and two of her three wins have come first-up.