Race 1 - 12:35PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP Tips (1600 METRES)
7. MIKADO has been a good pick-up for the Joanne Hardy stable, winning three of his first five starts for the new yard before attempting a metro BM75 in Brisbane, where he was only beaten a length after racing three-wide throughout. Has had a sound tick-over trial since that September 4 outing and making his own luck on the speed, he can give a good sight.
1. Whatsin joined the Dean Mirfin yard in June and has been very consistent over five outings, getting home in an August 14 Highway and off a freshen-up, was again strong at Bathurst. Unknown at the mile, but she's seemingly looking for it.
4. Bahamut improved in his second prep, winning two races last autumn and although it was a weak event, resumed with a soft victory at Lismore when carrying 60kg. He has upside and J-Mac takes the reins on Saturday.
may be the blowout ($27.00 @ Sportsbet
), a gelding that is suited to the mile third-up after making ground on September 14. His autumn form around Muswellbrook, Takissacod and Temoin Chaud reads well.
Race 2 - 1:10PM MIDWAY HANDICAP Tips (1400 METRES)
1. CATAPULT was one we were with last start off a "trial" at Kembla and well supported late, was tracking into it okay, but couldn't get clear from the 400m to the 200m. It was a tough card to making ground out wide on and with interference, he's been beaten under two lengths. This is an absolute raffle, although with the speed on, don't be surprised if the market finds him again.
12. Akhtar appreciated a colder ride second-up, where he got there in the last stride to nail Dufresne, who bolted in with a Rosehill maiden on Wednesday. Carries just 54kg here and a sit just off a strong speed should suit him at Randwick.
10. Different Strokes hasn't finished outside the top three, recording two wins to date. Has less convictions than most of these, albeit he has been beating a few plodders and is still in his first racing prep. Looks a little short here at around $3.50.
11. Too Good To Be Tru
was a gelding we specked on July 24, a race he briefly had shot to bits before hitting the wall late. Tipped out and resuming straight at 1400m could be a little set play. Can win at decent odds ($21.00 @ Sportsbet
Race 3 - 1:45PM CERRONE HANDICAP Tips (2000 METRES)
7. SOLAR APEX had some handy three-year-old form, but could never put it together and resuming as a gelding this spring, has looked a completely different horse, winning a pair or 72's comfortably. The form has stacked up from the fresh win through Shibli (won his next two) and from gate seven under J-Mac, he'll aim drop in behind the leaders. More depth here, but he's flying.
2. Herman Hesse has won two of his first three Australian starts in Victoria, going up in the weights, but down in grade to defeat Noble Heights and Angelic Scent, who both have ability. He gets good relief after 3kg claim from Laura Lafferty.
16. Olympic Gaze
is better than his rating suggests, although a BM88 last week was still strange placement, yet he got home okay. Has found a decent BM78, hence his price ($21.00 @ TopSport
), but the 2000m will suit and he's not without a sniff.
3. Yiyi benefited from the weight scale in an average BM88 two weeks ago, technically coming down in grade now, but it's arguably a stronger race and he carries an extra 5.5kg. Is holding his form, however.
Race 4 - 2:20PM HEINEKEN 3 STAN FOX STAKES Tips (1500 METRES)
2. COASTWATCH is one of the better second stringers for this three-year-old crop, a son of Fastnet Rock that won the Ming Dynasty before boxing on for third in the Golden Rose. That form stands out clearly in this event and they've wisely scratched from the Caulfield Guineas (never winning that). Only query is a regression now at start five of the prep, coming out of a brutally run race.
6. Cotehele bolted in on return at Goulburn and is a colt that did show plenty of promise early (big debut win, nice run in the Sires's at start three). Could well be the one in this field that still building versus more exposed rivals.
5. Hilal improved second-up and although there some excuses, he was awful in the Golden Rose. At his best, I think he's more talented than the favourite, but has a big task bridging the gap from a fortnight ago.
5. Akihiro is very genuine, albeit it's a little hard to line his form up now he's back against his own age group. J-Mac back on Coastwatch after partnering him all campaign probably answers that question, however.
Race 5 - 2:55PM POLYTRACK ROMAN CONSUL STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
2. PAULELE could be on an Everest audition for the Godolphin, albeit it would need to be a strong win to warrant that. He ran slick time when romping in in with Rosebud fresh, spotting 6kg to the Golden Rose winner in the process. Wide and with the Rosehill rail on fire, there was plenty of merit to his run behind Home Affairs and is much better suited at Randwick (unbeaten here).
4. Gleneagles is one of the more underrated three-year-old's of this crop that David Payne is keeping to sprint trips for now. He produced just about effort of the race in an unlucky Run To The Rose attempt. The recent tick-over trial was excellent.
9. A Very Fine Red
looks a little over the odds ($16.00 @ bet365
) off that Heritage Stakes, where he was hard to miss late. Up to 1200m is a plus and drawing gate one again, they may look to be a pair or so closer (box-seat) this time around.
1. Sword Of State was a highly rated NZ two-year-old that raced wide throughout via that Heritage Stakes, and that was off a poor trial. Under the set weights conditions and jumping from gate three, there is a lot more in his favour here.
Race 6 - 3:30PM BENTLEY ANGST STAKES Tips (1600 METRES)
3. KIKU worked through the grades over her second and third preps, bringing up a group victory in the autumn. The trial leading into her September 25 return indicated she'd need the run, but has still performed well without luck, not getting clear until the 150m and was only hitting top gear at the 50m. Should only improve off that and she looks to have found the perfect race to bounce back in.
9. Mirra Vision was dominant in a July 31 victory before a six-week let-up. resuming with a close second in the Tibbie Stakes. Will push forward and has been well placed by the Snowden's, allowing her to build confidence in some lower grades this prep.
11. Le Lude
hasn't won in four attempts at the mile, albeit has saluted over 1800m, so that stat is misleading. In a muddling affair, her effort was good any in that Tibbie Stakes and looks close to a peak now. She's one for the exotics at big odds ($35.00 @ Sportsbet
1. Amarelinha has to be respected as a Group One winner, but she'll need to improve off a fresh run that was a little plain and gate nine with 59kg is a big leveller under these conditions. Kiku should start the clear favourite over her.
Race 7 - 4:10PM SILVER EAGLE Tips (1300 METRES)
2. EXOBOOM is the forgotten runner, albeit it's a strong line-up with a stack of chances, hence a good, competitive market. This gelding sailed straight past Ellsberg in the Hawkesbury Guineas and should've won the Inglis Guineas following that (three-wide throughout). In no man's land fresh over 1100m, but the lead-up trial was good behind Entriviere and the 1300m is a big tick.
14. Vangelic battled on well fresh before having the favours in the Golden Pendant. At least a handful of these will go past her in the Golden Eagle (should she head there), but this mare has another run on a few key rivals, which could prove crucial here.
8. Count De Rupee was a strong first-up winner at Kembla and on the clock, that BM78 stacked up superbly (home faster than the Sheraco and Run To The Rose). Strangely, the form out of that contest has been terrible though.
12. High Supremacy is a query dropping from 1400m back to 1300m, but needs the run here before the Golden Eagle. He got the chocolates for us fresh and we look closer to seeing the best now from this classy four-year-old.
Race 8 - 4:50PM MOET & CHANDON SPRING CHAMPION STAKES Tips (2000 METRES)
2. PROFONDO would've gone back-to-back in the Gloaming Stakes if Robbie Dolan hadn't given him a crack with the left. with that move forcing the three-year-old to veer in aggressively, hence costing him the race. Outside of the winner, I can't see the Spring Champion victor coming from that lead-up event and of that quinella, this colt is the most talented, albeit is still learning the caper.
is one to consider if looking outside the Sydney form. With the blinkers coming off, this filly took a sit and bolted in with the Toowoomba Guineas, showing a turn-of-foot a lot of these rivals don't have. Has X factor and is a good price ($21.00 @ TAB
1. Head Of State received a 10/10 from J-Mac to win that Gloaming and while I think Profondo will give him windburn if the penny drops, that could still be six months away. This colt is currently the most professional of this line-up.
6. Raging Bull
showed ability in the winter over shorter trips and is prepared by David Payne, who was won two of the last four editions of this race. Fancy he's more a VRC Derby prospect, but is still huge odds ($46.00 @ Sportsbet
) for a top three/four hope.
Race 9 - 5:30PM THE NIVISON Tips (1200 METRES)
5. MINHAAJ makes her stable debut for John O'Shea, a runner who started her career with two dominant wins before a slight regression in her three-year-old year. Her two lead-up trials behind Classique Legend were strong and in such an open race, it may just simply come down to who gets the right run, which she maps to get, trailing the leaders from gate two.
1. Sweet Deal has been a superb competitor for connections, a now seven-year-old that has accrued over $1.5 million in prize money. Is consistently thereabouts in these mares' races, especially under set and penalties conditions.
12. Belluci Babe is a query at this level, albeit has always threatened to get there and following some unlucky winter efforts in strong 78's, resumed with a victory at Gosford. Unbeaten second-up and perhaps one targeted for this.
2. Rocha Clock will show her best over seven and eight furlongs, but is another that's become a rock-solid performer in these class of races and the two September trials were very good. Look for her late off a good speed.
Race 10 - 6:05PM DYSON SPRINT Tips (1000 METRES)
3. ON THE LEAD caught the eye late fresh after a tardy getaway and with a better gate, he likely beats Belluci Babe when covering ground at Gosford. In his last Randwick outing, he's finished second to Wild Ruler (subsequent Group One winner), beating a handy Andermatt in the process. J-Mac sticks and peaking third-up now from a good draw, this is D-Day.
5. Kinloch was a galloper we caught over the winter, a Kris Lees-trained entire that is still working through the grades. Will get over further, but is versatile and the blinkers go on off a strong second trial. Looks ready to produce fresh.
6. Just Field
is a bit of a tease, albeit all three of her wins have come first-up and coming with one run at 1000m from out wide, she may give this a shake at a price ($14.00 @ bet365
), especially if they're getting off the fence late ib the day.
12. Marnix should be $7-$8 on ratings, but we often see these lightly raced four-year-old's spike fresh at BM78 level on the 52kg minimum. Not sure what to fo with him, so more inclined to respect the betting late.