Race 1 - 11:50AM MIDWAY HANDICAP Tips (1000 METRES)
4. CAPITAL REIGN was raw in his first campaign, and has really matured this time in, going through the grades at country level before beating more seasoned open class sprinters in the Hurricane on Newcastle Cup Day. Although wary of a regression off a third-up peak, he's a straight forward sprinter that makes his own luck and is well suited to the short course dashes.
1. Lancaster Bomber placed over this track/trip first-up in June behind Malkovich which is superb form for a Midway. Had chances in subsequent efforts, yet remained competitive and off a good speed, finds a winnable race, arriving off a freshen-up.
10. Fox Fighter
plummets in the weights off a BM64 win at Hawkesbury and did show potential via some handy two-year-old events earlier in the year. May just get the suck run through from gate three and is a chance at decent odds ($15.00 @ Palmerbet
5. Ashema was stakes placed multiple times in her two-year-old season and was just fair on resumption at Gosford, albeit that race did have a little more depth. She's another that will look to blend in late off a strong speed.
Race 2 - 12:25PM KEENELAND GIMCRACK STAKES Tips (1000 METRES)
2. COOLANGATTA was impressive from the trials, a filly from the Maher & Eustace stable who prepared Enthaar to bolt in with this race last year. Camping just off the leaders in a September 20 heat, she comfortably went through her gears, stretching out nicely for a soft win, but wasn't knocked about. Enthaar sat wide under J-Mac 12 months ago and he may be forced to do the same here.
4. Drisana is by Merchant Navy and the first foal out of Broadband, who was a talented juvenile and this girl is a big, strong type like her mum. Was dropped back with the early speed drawn outside of her via a recent trial, a heat she come from the rear to win.
11. Wild Botanica was more tradesman-like than the above two in her heat, although she did run faster time overall and importantly responded to riding. She looks to get a lovely run from gate two.
7. Okami Miss is a little pocket rocket from the Clarry Conners yard, who chased Wild Botanica in that above heat. Jumped well, took a position without any fuss and picked up late. Looked professional.
Race 3 - 1:00PM ARROWFIELD BREEDERS' PLATE Tips (1000 METRES)
4. KIBOU is prepared by the Waterhouse & Bott yard, who are absolutely airborne at the moment and this colt bolted in with a September 20 trial, working through the gears nicely late for Regan Bayliss. Out of a half-sister to Mic Mac (dual group winning sprinter), Kibou has drawn out, but it'll likely be handlebars down and he does look well primed, albeit it's a very open affair.
wasn't as stylish as a few of these, but looked a ready-made runner in his trial win. After travelling well with cover, there was a minimum of fuss when easing out at the 300m and responded when asked for an effort at the 100m. He's decent odds ($21.00 @ bet365
13. Victory Moment reminds me so much of his sire Spieth, i.e. a very raw, but extremely talented chestnut that no idea what he was doing, yet pick up his rivals with ease. Has a bit of a high head carriage which was the knock, but there was a touch of class.
12. Spacewalk was hustled up early in a small Hawkesbury field, but travelled beautifully after taking the lead and recording an easy win. An athletic type who has drawn poorly, he looked quite the professional in that September 21 heat.
Race 4 - 1:35PM TAB HANDICAP Tips (1600 METRES)
2. KISS THE BRIDE was ridden with intent third-up to win stylishly over the Randwick mile on September 18. He does now go up 2.5kg, although I'm not in a hurry to jump on any that finished behind him there and is a proven weight carrier under, winning with 60.5kg over a staying trip last year. Will look to roll forward again and is a galloper that generally holds his form.
4. Al Mah Haha
caught the eye late at Kembla behind Love Tap, who beaten a length at Group Two level last week and defeated Night Of Power, who was close to rolling Ellsberg on that same card. Hard to catch, but that form reads well for this at a double figure quote ($13.00 @ TopSport
8. Wairere Falls has been up a long time now, although continues to perform consistently and was a strong winner over the 1500m here three starts back. Could sprint sharply now down in the weights, but doesn't want too much rain.
1. Just Thinkin' never came up in the autumn and while he was safely held, the return run in the Cameron Handicap at Newcastle was a pass mark. Sharply up in the weights, but this is clearly much easier and he draws well for Nash.
Race 5 - 2:10PM YULONG HILL STAKES Tips (2000 METRES)
8. DUAIS was the way I was leaning at the price, albeit it was hard to split the top three market elects. The daughter of Shamus Award improved as her three-year-old season wore on, which culminated in a dominant QLD Oaks win and her 1500m return in the Cameron Handicap was excellent. Tuning up for a Caulfield Cup attempt, she's perhaps the one with the most upside in this field.
1. Think It Over is the safest elect, no doubt, a six-year-old that is turned into a genuine WFA runner, improving out of sight to get to this level. Had excuses in the George Main and stuck on....just not sure he's one to be taking even money about against a few on the up.
2. Keiai Nautique got the better of Think It Over via his Australian debut and was strong late in the Makybe Diva, but they just went too slow. 2000m the query, but they shouldn't go hard in the small field, which may bring his turn-of-foot into it.
looked to be tracking beautifully off his fresh run at Kembla, which followed two good trials, but his subsequent two runs have been terrible. The blinkers now go on for the roughie ($81.00 @ Neds
) of this field.
Race 6 - 2:45PM ACY SECURITIES PREMIERE STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
1. MASKED CRUSADER looked the rising star of our sprint ranks off an excellent fresh win at Caulfield and while his colours were lowered in The Shorts, he was set an impossible task from so far back and got home okay considering. If this gelding is to roll Nature Strip and co in The Everest, then some better habits need to start now, which means not settling in the next postcode early.
5. Rothfire returned from a long lay-off in The Shorts where although he was completely unsuited chasing fresh on a Soft 7, I thought he stuck on pretty well considering his time off the scene. Interesting to see if he improves here.
4. Jonker has a shocking Randwick record, although he should be better suited back around a bend after looking a little lost up the Flemington straight. He's a few rungs off the first two if they bring their best, but will likely lead and give a sight.
7. Lost And Running was wide in The Shorts, so there were technically some excuses, although it was still a terrible first audition against the big boys and was beaten at the 400m. His lead-up trials were excellent, so not completely dismissing him.
Race 7 - 3:25PM DARLEY FLIGHT STAKES Tips (1600 METRES)
1. FOUR MOVES AHEAD was the best two-year-old filly last season, but John Sargent was never going to have her peaking early with this Flight Stakes in mind. Fitness gave out fresh and after working home in the worst ground on September 4, she won the Tea Rose Stakes third-up, the traditional lead-up. I'd love for her to settle a little more, but she has class, tactical speed and handles any conditions.
8. Von Trapp
should be improving as the distances increase and looks one of the few in this line-up that will be suited stepping to the mile. Produced arguably the run of that Tea Rose Stakes (outside the winner) and is an each-way chance at big odds ($21.00 @ TAB
2. Mallory was blocked for a run at a key stage fresh and was excellent second-up, sustaining a wide run to finish third in the Furious Stakes. She had her chance against Four Moves Ahead last start, but was still very good and maps for a lovely run here.
6. Latino Blend
got home as runner-up to Swift Witness in the Silver Shadow and was a month between runs when midfield in the Tea Rose. She should have improvement from that September 18 lead-up and is worth including for the exotics at a bolters quote ($34.00 @ Sportsbet
Race 8 - 4:05PM TAB EPSOM Tips (1600 METRES)
10. ARAMAYO backed up a nice return behind Zaaki to produce easily the run of the Bill Ritchie Handicap, spotting weight to the winner and stable mate Atishu, who he has a 3.5kg swing on. Sustaining a wide run behind a quinella who had every favour, he's ready to peak now at the mile third-up and while Chris Waller has five chances in the Epsom Handicap, this looks the pick of them.
7. Icebath could well start favourite in the Epsom if Randwick gets into a testing Soft 6/7 (or worse) range. While she has been tracking along well this prep, Icebath is clearly lengths better on wet ground and has a nice flatform if the rain comes.
17. Sky Lab
arguably should've beaten Mo'unga in the Rosehill Guineas and has a 6.5 kg swing on the top weight from that autumn clash. He was enormous with zero luck in the Cameron Handicap and is a genuine chance at a decent price ($19.00 @ PlayUp
12. Private Eye has been targeted towards this and looks so well-suited dropping to 51kg under the Handicap conditions over the Randwick mile which is a big tick. Just wonder if a few of these have gone past him now?
Race 9 - 4:45PM HEINEKEN METROPOLITAN Tips (2400 METRES)
8. MONTEFILIA arrives to The Metropolitan off the back of an eye-catching effort from off the speed behind She's Ideel, who had the gun run throughout via the Kingston Town Stakes. Yet to prove herself past 2000m, we will well and truly find out now whether Montefilia can run out that trip as a more seasoned and stronger mare now, who has had a more conventional lead-up.
14. Entente won't be bothered with whatever the conditions are, although is backing up for a third week in a row, which is my main query, albeit the Waterhouse & Bott yard are absolutely flying. He's not short on class and draws for a lovely run.
12. She's Ideel brought up a much-deserved win on September 18 and is tracking towards this target assignment. The knock is the 3kg weight swing against her versus Montefila, who's a classier mare, albeit this is the proven 2400m horse of the two.
isn't the easiest to catch, but he's produced some cracking runs in better races, motoring home for a one-length defeat in the Turnbull last year. The Flemington run on September 11 was a belter with 61kg and he has claims at a fair price ($34.00 @ Sportsbet
Race 10 - 5:20PM CLEANAWAY HANDICAP Tips (1200 METRES)
3. ROCKETING BY now has weight to carry, but he's an underrated sprinter who recorded back-to-back Randwick wins last summer. He was bludging following that, so the blinkers went on prior to his last winter run in Brisbane where he flew home. His two lead-up trials were just fair, albeit the blinkers weren't applied in either of those heats and off a strong speed, he can figure at a good price.
12. Gravina is a strange horse, a son of Sebring that was only ticking along in some modest races before bolting in and saluting like a superstar here back in May. It was a solid first-up effort on September 18 and with any improvement, this looks a nice race for him.
10. Never Talk was only a stride off winning a stakes race in February and did pull up with a slow recovery at Kembla last start. At her best, this looks a really nice set-up with just 54kg off a strong tempo, but just not 100% sure where she's at.
1. Big Parade was back to his thieving ways in the Theo Marks, although certainly respecting the odds-on SP in a group race, now coming back to benchmark level. No doubt talented when on, although I can never trust him.