One at huge odds is 5. BELLASTAR who had excuses first-up last time in when shuffled back early via the 60k Queen Of The North then defeated Texas Storm following that, a galloper who was subsequently runner-up in a Highway before a fair effort at Group level. Was a $5 chance in a Country Qualifier before being tipped out, over a trip she doesn't run (1400m). Trialled superbly, and draws for a soft run. Overs.
Wouldn't at all be surprised if 11. Ahead Start was the best horse out of this race in time. The debut win at Moruya was classy and in good time for Maiden grade before a Heavy track just pulled him up late at start two. He drops 3.5kg off the fresh victory at Wellington and draws well.
12. Ceasefire is unbeaten and is another three-year-old that's well weighted/placed at this time of year, carrying only half a kilo over the minimum. Did look stronger on a wet track via the debut but still went Maiden to Class 2 level comfortably.
7. Katgully Red
was only beaten a length in a Metro 72 last start off a good freshen-up, and prior to that, her worst efforts were all on wet tracks. Was runner-up in a Highway before bolting in with one on February 6. She's another at a big price ($26.00 @ betstar
Race 2 - 12:35PM MOSTYN COPPER J H B CARR STAKES Tips (1400 METRES)
There's no speed on paper, so Tommy Berry may need to be more positive early on 2. KIKU who is aiming to remain unbeaten this campaign, completing a winning hat-trick via her first Stakes attempt, and is back against the fillies now. Handles all conditions and although drops to 1400m, a mile is far as she wants it anyway. It was a very brave effort when sustaining a wide run a fortnight back.
4. Geist was stakes-placed multiple times in her first campaign but had some softer kills this preparation, recording back-to-back Provincial wins then was luckless in three further attempts. She recorded the fastest last 600m of the PJ Bell Stakes, making good ground from the rear.
1. Matchmaker should've won her Australian debut on the Kensington circuit then was flat albeit unsuited behind Isotope and co second-up before winning that PJ Bell Stakes. Has a nice turn-of-foot, but does she run out 1400m?
Lightly raced Coolmore mare 5. I Say Hello deserves this black/type attempt. She was a little lucky to go back-to-back at Hawkesbury but was tough the start prior and the seven furlongs looks ideal now.
Race 3 - 1:10PM ACY SECURITIES FRANK PACKER PLATE Tips (2000 METRES)
As the market suggests, this is a race of three and we'll lean the way of 3. HIGH SUPREMACY, who was an ugly watch in the Carbine Club Stakes, when bolting for a run but was held-up before launching when it was all over. He'd trialled superbly prior to that effort, where he was a month between runs, and is the one rising in trip/potentially peaking compared his main threats coming back from the 2400m Australian Derby.
The key threat coming back from that Derby is 1. Lion's Roar who although went close to prevailing in that feature, will be better suited back to firmer ground. A Group One winner three starts back, he's clearly the one to beat on paper but has had a few big peak runs now.
While 2. Khoekoe was honest in the Derby, he just didn't stay, and is much better suited as a 1600m-2000m galloper for mine. He's only had three runs this campaign, with a near six-week gap into the Rosehill Guineas, so there may still be some upside there.
Perhaps 5. Real Peace is the pick of the rest. He bounced back with a third-up win when down in grade, where he was 1400m to 2000m. Some of his Spring form reads well.
Race 4 - 1:45PM SHARP EXTENSIVE IT JRA PLATE Tips (2000 METRES)
It was a steep ask making an Australian debut in a Doncaster Mile, especially from barrier 19 where under the circumstances, it was a superb ride from Regan Bayliss on 1. ZAAKI to find a passage and rattle home aboard the import, who recorded one of the fastest last 200m splits of the entire meeting. He can settle much closer (led and won his previous trial) and this is easier. The bookies haven't missed him, however.
Given how effective he was in the Albury Cup with a bunny to chase, it made sense for 5. Entente to adopt similar tactics on April 3, where although honest, he had every chance behind Shared Ambition. Suspect they'll try to lead this, and he's capable of bouncing back.
Nothing went right in the Australian debut for 8. Zeybrek
, who along with running over 1400m, a trip that's much too short, that was further compounded when he missed the start. Got home well considering and could be the big improver here at a price ($13.00 @ WinnersBet
2. Hang Man is back up in the weights, but can't be going any better in Melbourne, winning three of his last four outings including a last start victory over Persan, who would nearly be favourite in this. This is his first Sydney visit.
Race 5 - 2:20PM TAB HALL MARK STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
It's a raffle but 4. DEPRIVE isn't without an each-way chance a double figure quote. He hasn't been beaten far in two runs this time in, and was the run of the race in the Star Kingdom Stakes, where he was held-up until the 50m, producing the fastest last 600m/400m/200m when very strong past the line. Just always needs that pinch of luck, hence the odds but has an excellent overall record at Randwick.
8. Eleven Eleven has no winning first-up form and returned in the TJ Smith Stakes where he wasn't disgraced, given he was always going to need the run. This gelding bounced off a midfield fresh effort in the summer to then record a winning hat-trick. Is very genuine.
Although he's a hard runner to catch, this is comfortably the easiest assignment 1. Victorem has faced all preparation. After a fair fresh attempt behind Masked Crusader, it was revealed post the Canterbury Stakes that he was suffering from cardiac arrhythmia.
Aside from The Galaxy performance when outclassed by Eduardo, 6. Easy Eddie
has been thereabouts either side of that effort and was held-up at a key stage in that Star Kingdom Stakes. He's worth thought for the exotics at decent odds ($19.00 @ Palmerbet
Race 6 - 2:55PM MOËT & CHANDON CHAMPAGNE STAKES Tips (1600 METRES)
READ: Full Champagne Stakes Preview
1. CAPTIVANT is building towards this Champagne Stakes tilt and although he was narrowly shaded by Hilal in Sires' Produce Stakes. Getting a good surface on Saturday can see him turn the tables over the mile and from barrier one, they can be much more positive early. Peter & Paul Snowden prepared King's Legacy to win last year's Champagne Stakes and there is similarities with this colt.
Outside of the first three home in that Sires', 13. Queen of Wizardry
was clearly the pick of the rest with this 1600m feature in mind, finding the line strongly despite not being in winning calculations but now finding a firmer surface, can peak third-up at a fair quote ($12.00 @ TopSport
While there's perhaps some queries at a mile now deep into his first racing preparation, 2. Hilal is definitely one of the leading hopes, as the market reflects. His debut win was sensational and he's had some bad luck since then. Has a class edge over the majority of these.
is an athletic and long striding type who pulled out plenty to win a Kembla Grange Maiden on debut before attempting the Mile in last Saturday's opener from Randwick. He had no favours last week when well backed and the winkers now go on. Is the pick of the outsiders ($21.00 @ BlueBet
Race 7 - 3:35PM SCHWEPPES ALL AGED STAKES Tips (1400 METRES)
At 34.19, 2. MASKED CRUSADER rattled off easily the fastest last 600m of that entire April 10 meeting from Royal Randwick, and they were coming in at decent intervals after the first three home. The last five All Aged Stakes winners have all come through the TJ Smith Stakes, and he was comfortably the best performance in that sprint feature outside the winner.
If there's a forgotten about galloper here then 7. Imaging
is likely it. Completely unsuited dropping to the 1200m second-up via the Newmarket Handicap. he should've won the Group One CF Orr Stakes first-up prior to that. He's at least one for the exotics at a good price ($19.00 @ Sportsbet
While she has had plenty of favours, it's hard to ignore current winning streak of 10. Savatiano who recorded her inaugural Group One victory last start in the Canterbury Stakes. Racing her on the fresh side is clearly the key and she'll put herself close to the speed from gate six.
While this is obviously much tougher, it does feel as though 12. Prague
has been searching for this 1400m trip the whole preparation and with a cleaner getaway, can fill a top three/four slot at a fair quote ($21.00 @ bet365
Race 8 - 4:15PM YARRAMAN PARK HANDICAP Tips (1400 METRES)
The query is that 14. NUDGE remains at 1400m now third-up, but there's no doubt she's flying, and now plummeting to 52kg, this is her chance to strike from a better gate, which we're hoping Kathy O'Hara takes advantage of. On a tough April 3 meeting from Rosehill to be making ground on, she was enormous, recording a slick 34.08 for her last 600m (easily the race fastest). Just need her to settle closer.
We'll get a better gauge now on 4. Bottega who is dropping in grade third-up. He was only pipped late first-up in the worst part of the Newcastle track, where he defeated the subsequent Doncaster winner before boxing on but being clearly out-sprinted in the Doncaster Prelude.
9. Starspangled Rodeo was assisted by that on-pace track at Rosehill although still spotted them weight when leading throughout and won't know himself here with 55.5kg. Not sure there's any improvement left but he's in career best form and makes his own luck.
The two lead-up trials from 6. Phasitos were only fair albeit many of the Godolphin runners work in a similar fashion. Hasn't won in nearly a year but has been very consistent in similar company and has only finished outside the quinella once in seven 1400m attempts.
Race 9 - 4:55PM FUJITSU GENERAL SPRINT Tips (1200 METRES)
The market currently has three runners in single figures (all $6 or under) but it feels a much more open race than that. 15. MORE PROPHETS is a lightly raced mare who looked to go to a new level in that second racing preparation, bolting in at Warwick Farm before being tipped out. Hope she stays around the six/eight-furlongs, where her turn-of-foot can be on show. Perhaps QLD Carnival bound with a good return here?
12. Salina Dreaming was heavily supported in December, defeating The Face and the form around him is starting to stack up really well. She was then flat second-up, which is my main query here, although did pull up with some excuses. This mare drops 6kg off the last start Warwick Farm victory.
The winning run for 2. Lost And Running ended at Canterbury, where he had every chance when just reeled in late by Enchanted Heart, who is double figures in this race. Obviously, a winning hope but short enough considering the weight along with this being his first try at 1200m.
was second-up off a 15-month spell when defeated three and a half lengths into second behind Lost And Running on March 25. There's a 4.5kg swing in her favour from that clash and she can improve at a big price ($23.00 @ BlueBet
RANDWICK QUADDIE TIPS: