Race 1 - 12:40PM TOKYO CITY KEIBA FIREBALL STAKES Tips (1100 METRES)
Best - 1. WILD RULER. While there's a query on his ability to be a genuine Group One performer outside of age restricted races, there's no knocking the professionalism of this colt who did everything right last spring, winning his first two starts before a third behind two smart fillies in September Run and Swats That, who are leading contenders in the Newmarket Handicap.
Much like the lead in to his last campaign, the two most recent trials of Wild Ruler have been faultless, leading in his first hit-out before electing to take a trail in the most recent where despite the narrow margin, did work through the line stronger than Doubtland. Settled in the first three if not leads from barrier one - he's the safest.
Value - 2. MAMARAGAN. A Group Two winner on debut last autumn before going straight in to a Golden Slipper against a pair of slick juveniles in Farnan and Away Game, running third on that occasion then attempted the Group One Sires, a feature he arguably should've won, but still beat home a classy trio in Ole Kirk, Aim and Glenfiddich.
The early three-year-old campaign is where it fell away with a failed Golden Rose path before a shot at the stumps when back to the 1200m in the Coolmore. Aimed at the sprint trips now, his first trial was excellent but didn't respond in the latest. His best chance is rolling forward, which is what he has done in those recent heats. Maybe the forgotten one here.
Race 2 - 1:15PM UNSW TODMAN STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
Best - 1. PROFITEER. This will be the biggest shaping race with the betting markets for the Golden Slipper given the top three in futures betting for the two-year-old major all lining up here and without a firm opinion of where those three all sit currently against each other, from barrier one we'll lean the way of the impressive Inglis Millenium winner.
While the form from that restricted contest doesn't tie in at all well around some his rivals here, all you can do is win and that he did, running them along at a good clip under Hugh Bowman and put a massive space on his opposition in the process. Can he do that with more pressure and better juveniles in pursuit? We'll find out on Saturday.
Value - 3. ANAMOE. A two-year-old that does give the impression he'll perhaps furnish more into a Sires/Champagne horse should he get deeper into the autumn, which won't be easy to do given he was on a Blue Diamond campaign albeit did only have the two runs in Melbourne this campaign, where he was sensationally backed to win that last start feature.
Following a luckless debut and then an excellent Merson Cooper win, Anamoe arguably should've prevailed in his first three starts (beaten a pimple in the Prelude fresh). Blinkers now come off and while this is his first-time racing on the "other leg", away from Caulfield and to the bigger surrounds of Royal Randwick is a positive. He's over the odds currently.
Race 3 - 1:50PM YARRAMAN PARK REISLING STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
Best - 1. SWIFT WITNESS. Following a three-length win in slick time via the Aquis Gold Jewel at start two, this Waterhouse & Bott-trained filly was sent out as favourite in the Magic Millions 2YO Classic seven days later, a back-up that she didn't appear to handle, with the daughter of Star Witness also getting inconvenienced early in that contest and did have heat stress post-race.
Off a little freshen-up, she was sent to the trials on February 16, which although visually wasn't great, it was a blowout and it is worth noting that the blinkers weren't there, a gear change that provided the desired result with that big win on January 6 (back on for race day). Unsure on whether she's bounced back (betting?) but she's the starting point for what is a tough race.
Value - 9. TRIFACCIA. By I Am Invincible and of the stakes-winning dam Mascareri (a full sister to four-time Group One winner Appearance) is this big, raw and long striding Godolphin filly who had no idea what the racing caper was about in her Randwick-Kensington debut, where she over-raced badly at the rear and was sent for home off a slow speed a long way out.
Despite doing just about everything wrong throughout the entirety of that 1100m event, the effort for third had plenty of merit and she only arrived off the one trial this campaign (worked well when leading in her spring heat). She's a work in progress but with a stack of natural improvement to come and finding a firmer surface, this filly could jump out of the ground at start two.
Race 4 - 2:25PM RANDWICK CITY STAKES Tips (2000 METRES)
Best - 7. MOUNT POPA. We could be shooting ourselves in the foot by taking on the in-form Sacramento, a galloper that makes his own luck on the speed and hasn't done a thing wrong this campaign but with perhaps a little more upside along with coming out of a race does appear a little better, this is the one projecting towards a peak run.
Off one quiet trial and missing a run, the late betting drift suggested Mount Popa would be in need of the gallop fresh, a hard run contest that he looked to have won at the 300m, but fitness just gave out late to Shared Ambition, who is a live Australian Cup chance after placing behind the in-form Paradee. That does read better than Sacramento's recent form.
Value - 8. ENTENTE. Ideally, he's perhaps a run short but with this campaign starting out at a mile and now going to 2000m, compared to the spring where it was 1200m to 1500m, it might suggest this classy gelding is a little more forward and with 61kg, his fresh performance in the Canberra Mile when spotting 7kg to winner was tough and he now plummets to 53kg.
A lightly raced son of Dundeel that went straight from a Provincial Maiden to win a Group Three over this track and trip last autumn, he progressed last spring as a four-year-old from a Benchmark 88 to a Port Macquarie Cup and was tipped out after a Geelong Cup tilt. Has done most of it on ability to date and they clearly haven't gotten to the bottom of him yet.
Race 5 - 3:05PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS CHALLENGE STAKES Tips (1000 METRES)
Best - 1. NATURE STRIP. As a five-time Group One winner and still the most talented sprinter in Australia when he's in the mood, this enigmatic speedster does receive his fair share unfair criticism considering his record and without giving yourself a headache trying to work him out, there simply just seems to be a time and a price to back him at.
Nature Strip has lost his last two starts when starting $1.50 or under, the first of those being the 2020 Lightning Stakes, a feature he was able to win this year and the Concorde Stakes last spring where he again had his colours lowered by Gytrash. At WFA level over 1000m, he's clearly the one to beat but as a betting proposition? His untrustworthy history says no.
Value - 8. WRITTEN BEAUTY. Even with the popular favourite, this filly is arguably the most interesting runner in the race as now against the likes of Nature Strip, Eduardo etc, we can perhaps get a better gauge as to where she could potentially end up and with the three-year-old allowance, does have a 4.5kg weight pull on the more seasoned males in this field.
Tipped out after getting a black-type victory last spring, she resumed off just the one trial on February 6 where while it didn't look pretty for those that took $1.30, the victory had plenty of merit given she did over-race on a very slow tempo. With more speed engaged here, she should be able to settle kinder under Tommy Berry, which they'll need to do at this level.
Race 6 - 3:45PM FUJITSU GENERAL WENONA GIRL QUALITY Tips (1200 METRES)
Best - 6. EMANATE. Certainly, short enough at an odds-on quote for what is her first attempt at stakes level but is following what wasn't a dissimilar path set by stable mate Tailleur, who was fit coming off a big Benchmark win to beat some classy one's resuming while down in the weights and the second-up win at Rosehill was enormous.
At 33.27, she's recorded almost the fastest last 600m for that entire February 20 meeting. Following a perfect midfield trail under Rachel King, Emanate was able to extend strongly over the last 150m and pull away for the softest of victories on the line. Good draw again and with that turn-of-foot, she goes on top again but is facing some genuine Group class mares here.
Value - 4. SEASONS. While she's not getting any younger as a rising seven-year-old, this Les Bridge-trained mare is still so lightly raced and we only need to go back to the first two performances of her last campaign, which were both luckless, to be giving her a genuine hope here at a huge price.
Sent around over the 1100m fresh, she was travelling strongly but was badly blocked for a run until late (should've won) and following that in the Sheraco Stakes, was put back into a pocket at a key stage and should've finished much closer to Haut Brion Her, who was good in The Everest and then only narrowly beaten by Gytrash. That's very good form for a mare's race.
Race 7 - 4:25PM MOSTYN COPPER RANDWICK GUINEAS Tips (1600 METRES)
Best - 1. AEGON. Kept his unbeaten record intact with a brilliant Australian debut win in the Hobartville Stakes which saw him rocket to the top of betting for the 2021 Randwick Guineas and off that performance, it's hard to see what turns the tables from that race.
The talented son of Sacred Falls was unwanted late in the betting prior to that outing ($3.60-$4.80) having only been second-up and a month between runs, but after travelling superbly, sprinted hard once balancing up late. Can still improve which is the scary thing.
Value - 7. MO'UNGA. He could be the shining light for the Australian middle distance/staying ranks is this colt who looked quite lacklustre in his trials but still performed superbly first-up in the CS Hayes Stakes and the blinkers now go on for the first time.
Although he was very raw via that first racing preparation, ability alone took this son of Savabeel deeper into the spring and while there's genuine queries on whether he can match Aegon at a mile, Mo'unga oozes class, which can take him a long way this Saturday.
Race 8 - 5:05PM HEINEKEN CANTERBURY STAKES Tips (1300 METRES)
Best - 1. BIVOUAC. Straight from 1000m to 1300m is a shade unconventional for Bivouac, a runner that likely comes back to the 1200m later in the autumn for the T.J Smith Stakes but now as an older galloper, it may not be a negative and he is a 1400m winner.
As a three-time Group One winner and rated as the best sprinter in Australia following a big win in the 2020 VRC Sprint Classic, he's entitled to be a little shorter in a weight-for-age contest where his main rivals in the market don't have close to the same resume as this son of Exceed and Excel.
Value - 6. DAWN PASSAGE. This colt is a little underrated and via his last fresh run in a small Silver Eagle field, was eased back under jockey Tim Clark and spotting race fitness to all his opposition, attempted a wide run from the rear with his 33.75 last 600m only just being shaded by Flit's.
As an entire who does need a Group One on his resume, at what is arguably his pet trip, this may be his best chance off two trials that have been faultless and as a runner with tactical versatility along with a turn-of-foot on a good surface, he warrants respect first-up.
Race 9 - 5:40PM SHARP EXTENSIVE IT ASPIRATION QUALITY Tips (1600 METRES)
Best - 12. NIMALEE (scratched). Barring a couple of her key threats, it's a Group Three field littered with many non-winners and while it was hard to miss fresh run of She's Ideel who was enormous on February 20 (likely to be the better of these two mares over a little further), the safest option is this daughter of So You Think who gave them a bath first-up on that same program.
After winning four of six starts in her first racing preparation, Nimalee resumed last year with a pair placing's before being thrown in the deep via the Angst Stakes where she placed and then didn't stay the 2000m of the Rosehill Cup. The 1600m looks about perfect where she makes her own luck on speed and with little tempo in this field, she'll take catching.
Value - 6. CLIFF'S ART. A stable mate to our top selection is this Listed winning import who made her Australian debut over 1300m and despite working home in what was clearly the worst part of that testing track, she still managed to comfortably rattle off the fastest last 600m (34.12) of that event and aside from the wide draw, there's more in her favour here.
Twice a winner over the mile, most of her form is on Good tracks and with two trials under her belt prior to that February 13 performance, there's a better base to now launch off. Given she showed some early speed against a genuine sprinter in Every Rose via that last heat, Tim Clark may even roll forward. She has less convictions than most of this field and can improve.