Newcastle Betting Tips for January 21, 2025 - Fresh runners are fancied

Alex Marsh

Editor

Last updated: 20 Jan 2025

Alex Marsh 20 Jan 2025

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Merchant Empire favoured in Race 7 after strong lead-up work
Akaka Falls is the value bet with a solid fresh record in Race 2
Luvalegend's odds have dropped significantly, indicating market interest
Nathan Doyle leads at Newcastle with a strike rate of 30.56% this season

Expired

Eight races feature on Tuesday's Newcastle meeting. (Getty)

Newcastle Tips January 21

Newcastle Tips January 21
Best:
Value:
Market Mover:
Stats Say:

Best:

Race 7 No. 2 Merchant Empire

The obvious query is a near 12-month layoff since saluting on debut at Wyong, however, his lead-up work has been encouraging and this looks a weak race.

Merchant Empire led throughout when taking out a 1200m maiden on debut and Edited By finished second in that event, with that galloper now a five-time winner.

Iconic Treasure (third) has also proven to be a useful performer, with three subsequent victories and he rounded out his spring with a competitive metro showing.

Jockey Zac Lloyd sticks from the most recent Rosehill trials and from barrier nine in a big field, he'll have time to cross and settle handy aboard the four-year-old.

Value:

Race 2 No. 1 Akaka Falls

He has a very good fresh record, with three wins and four placings from eight return tilts, and the only time being out of the money first-up was fifth at metro level.

That Randwick-Kensington effort had merit (made ground out wide in a leader dominated race) and he saluted first-up over the Newcastle 900m in March, 2024.

Akaka Falls had to settle for second via his latest fresh attempt in September, which was also over this track/trip and the form around Reigning King (winner) has stood up well.

Reigning King arrived to that race off a BM64 win over Fire Star (won four city races in a row later that prep), while he bolted in with a BM68 before moving south.

Market Mover:

Race 4 No. 15 Luvalegend

The first emergency has gained a start and despite showing little in two appearances last winter, he's been specked at long odds ($71-$34) with EliteBet for this fresh assigment.

This John Sargent-trained galloper is well bred, being by Lonhro and out of a four-time Group winner in Luvaluva (also prepared by John Sargent).

Stats Say:

Local trainer Nathan Doyle is leading the way at his home track this season, with 11 winners prepared at an impressive strike-rate of 30.56%.

He's accepted with two runners on Tuesday's program (both in Race 7).

Verdict

Newcastle - January 21

Our Newcastle tips for Tuesday, January 21 are:

Merchant Empire

To Win

$4.60 - 2 Units

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Akaka Falls

Each Way

$8.00 - 2 Units

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