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Newcastle Betting Tips for November 18, 2023 - Race-By-Race preview for The Hunter day

Last updated: 16 Nov 2023
Alex Marsh 16 Nov 2023
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  • Get our tips and best bets for the Newcastle Races
  • 'The Hunter', a $1 million dollar 1300m event, headlines Saturday's metro card
  • The track is currently rated a Good 4
  • Our race-by-race preview for November 18 is included below
Newcastle Tips for 18.11.2023
Newcastle host the feature NSW card this Saturday. (Getty)

Get free Newcastle tips and betting selections for all key meetings from the Newcastle Races in New South Wales.
  • Newcastle Tips November 18
  • Race 1 - 12:35PM NZB Airfreight Max Lees Classic Tips (900m)
  • Race 2 - 1:10PM Karaka 2024 Midway BM72 Handicap Tips (1600m)
  • Race 3 - 1:45PM TAB Highway Handicap Tips (1600m)
  • Race 4 - 2:20PM NZB Insurance F&M BM78 Handicap Tips (1400m)
  • Race 5 - 2:55PM Alf Kneebone Trans-Tasman Trophy BM88 Tips (1850m)
  • Race 6 - 3:30PM New Zealand Bloodstock The Beauford Tips (2300m)
  • Race 7 - 4:05PM New Zealand Bloodstock 3yo Spring Stakes Tips (1600m)
  • Race 8 - 4:45PM The Newcastle Herald Hunter Tips (1300m)
  • Race 9 - 5:20PM NZB Kurt Fearnley Legend Mile BM78 Tips (1600m)
  • Race 10 - 5:55PM 2024 Tab Karaka Millions BM94 Handicap Tips (1300m)
  • Newcastle Quaddie Tips:

Our Newcastle best bets are provided by expert form analysts and tipsters, with free betting tips available right here.

Newcastle Tips November 18

Race 1 - 12:35PM NZB Airfreight Max Lees Classic Tips (900m)

Best: 1. Gram. I think he would've been competitive in last Saturday's Golden Gift, however, this is a far easier assignment and Gram did complete a second trial on Monday, where he wasn't knocked about.

The encouraging sign is that he jumped cleaner in that latest hit-out, having been a little slow away in his first Randwick outing on November 3, where the Godolphin colt moved nicely.

He's a full brother to Zulfiqar, who was an early juvenile winner last year (Maribyrnong Trial) and on this big Newcastle circuit, he'll have room to wind up.

Value: 3. Body Of Venus. She is bred to get over a lot more ground,, however, Body Of Venus does look very forward going off her Warwick Farm trial win on November 8, where she led throughout.

Her winning time for that morning was quite slow in comparison to other heats, although the filly wasn't pushed out at all and there was an opportunity to open right up there.

Prepared by an in-form and astute local yard, this two-year-old has tactical speed and covering ground won't matter given it's a 900m dash from a chute start

Race 2 - 1:10PM Karaka 2024 Midway BM72 Handicap Tips (1600m)

Best: 5. Resistable. This honest mare will strip fitter here third-up after giving a good sight on the speed in the Four Pillars and despite finding a slightly easier assignment via this Midway, she carries 1.5kg less.

Resistable has been very consistent all year, with the daughter of Snitzel only finishing out of the money once in seven starts last campaign and that was fourth at the midweeks.

She ran into some progressive types in winter before a spell, with placings behind Aristonous and Louisville, while from barrier three, she should be able to lead.
Value: 9. Let Me Reign. After a fourth-up metro win over 2000m last prep, they thought enough of Let Me Reign to have a shot at the Queensland Oaks, albeit she failed in that Group 1 and was then spelled.

The four-year-old should find this a lot easier coming back from a BM78 to a Midway and with a low rating of 64, she stays right down in the weights here third-up.

That latest effort looked typical flat second-up run of a 1600m-2000m type and that followed a second behind Fall For Cindy fresh, who would be odds-on in this.

Race 3 - 1:45PM TAB Highway Handicap Tips (1600m)

Best: 7. Sharp Shock. While he hasn't quite delivered on the promise he showed early, Sharp Shock has still recorded three wins from nine starts and the gelding still has upside, being a four-year-old.

Now hard fit and coming out a metro BM64 where he picked up very late after coming off the bridle early, 1600m is worth a shot at the stumps, especially at Highway level.

As was evident on debut when coming from an awkward position over 900m, he did have a nice turn-of-foot over shorter trips, although he appears a little more dour now.

Value: 15. Leica Model. Despite being unbeaten in two runs this campaign, this mare is getting overlooked in the early markets for this Highway and getting to 1600m now third-up should only suit her.

Leica Model placed over this trip when she was prepared by the Busuttin & Young stable and like so many ex-Victorians, they can often put a few together at country NSW level.

The four-year-old got there just in time as an odds-on fav at Moree and it's worth noting that the runner-up had bolted in with a maiden by eight lengths the start prior.

Race 4 - 2:20PM NZB Insurance F&M BM78 Handicap Tips (1400m)

Best: 5. Lekvarte. It's a competitive race, but on an each-way basis, this resuming mare from the Joe Pride yard makes some appeal, with the daughter of Reliable Man returning over 1400m off two trials.

If you take out the five heavy track misses, Lekvarte has been genuine over the journey and she often comes to hand early in a campaign, which includes a first-up win over 1350m.

On unsuitable heavy going, she did make inroads via her autumn return and a competitive Group 3 showing followed that, so a mares BM78 is well within her reach.

Value: 2. Missy Moola. In now her second prep for the Waterhouse & Bott yard, having had just two starts for the new stable, Missy Moola is the one who I'd respect any moves for at a double-figure quote.

She contested a pair of 2000m+ affairs in that short Queensland prep, which was interesting given all of her prior New Zealand form was in the 1200m-1400m range.

Missy Moola was Group 3 placed via the Wellington Guineas in January before crossing the ditch and resuming over seven furlongs, she has to be respected.

Race 5 - 2:55PM Alf Kneebone Trans-Tasman Trophy BM88 Tips (1850m)

Best: 12. I'mintowin. Admittedly, Rosehill is the ideal track if you're going to be up on speed and rolling along, however, that doesn't mean I'mintowin can't improve from that tough win on Australian debut.

That 1500m BM78 rated very well for the November 4 program, as it went faster overall than both the Four Pillars and Golden Eagle, and this four-year-old made the running.

I'mintowin brings easily the best last-start figure in this whole line-up and while he's up in grade for this second-up tilt, you won't see many weaker BM88's than this.
Value: 4. Camaguey. He looked a progressive enough middle-distance/staying type when prepared by James Cummings, hence the 150k forked out in February to purchase him via the Inglis Online Sales.

In eight starts for Kim Waugh, Camaguey has made around 200k in prizemoney and 55k of that was accrued when fifth in the Big Dance last start, where he sustained a wide run.

With a kinder draw, the son of Teofilo would've finished at least third in that latest appearance and now with two-mile runs completed, 1850m fourth-up here looks ideal.

Race 6 - 3:30PM New Zealand Bloodstock The Beauford Tips (2300m)

Best: 3. Sky Lab. I feel he's going as well as last prep and that campaign culminated with a Magic Millions win over 2200m, with this set-up out to 2300m not dissimilar to that last winning pattern.

Jason Collett, who was aboard for that Gold Coast triumph, did take back the reins last start, where Sky Lab got shuffled right back mid-race, so he was no chance in a muddling race.

Despite being completely unsuited, he was still only beaten 1.8 lengths and this time around, he looks to get more favours from barrier six on this bigger circuit.

Value: 4. Torrens. This son of Adelaide has been a very hot and cold performer over the journey, with the entire often brilliant when in winning touch, but he'll just as quickly look like a picnic operator when losing.

Torrens bolted in with this race two years ago when leading and while inconsistency has plagued him since, there were encouraging signs last start in a decent form race.

After overcoming some trouble in a fast-run affair, he finished fourth behind two subsequent Group winners and on paper, this appears a little easier overall.

Race 7 - 4:05PM New Zealand Bloodstock 3yo Spring Stakes Tips (1600m)

Best: 3. Invincible Spy. It's a tough race to assess with many differing form lines and arguably the safest way to go is with this unbeaten colt, who progressed nicely at start two after a workmanlike debut win.

A full brother to Strasbourg (Group 2 winner), Invincible Spy looks like your typical tough middle-distance operator from the Waterhouse & Bott yard and he has ticked the mile box.

There was depth to that Gosford Class 1, with Highborn Harry, Whisker To Whisker and Genetic Freak all having contested decent races, while Princess Cruizer won her next start.

Value: 11. Genzano. A well-bred filly, being by Maurice and of an unraced daughter of Ortensia (three-time Group 1 winner), Genzano does have some class and she is a knockout chance in the Spring Stakes.

She progressed off a wide and forgivable return run when bolting in with a Scone maiden second, while the step to provincial company proved no issue here third-up.

Although all four outings have come in weaker company, this field isn't exactly littered with proven stakes performers and she'll likely roll forward early with Invincible Spy.

Race 8 - 4:45PM The Newcastle Herald Hunter Tips (1300m)

Best: 1. Mazu. While he is a Group 1 winner who has been taking on the best sprinters since winning last year's Doomben 10,000, Mazu is simply a rung below the likes of I Wish I Win, Giga Kick and Think About It.

There's no crime with being at that mark, however, the Team Snowden gelding finally finds a winnable race via The Hunter, where a soft map can offset the weight.

He's going a lot better than his form reads, as Mazu was badly inconvenienced with in The Everest and he was honest third-up, but simply lacked the brilliance of the first three.

Value: 17. Military Expert. This Annabel Neasham galloper seems a little forgotten here, with connections opting to geld him after a disappointing prep over autumn/winter and went like a rocket in his last trial.

The key to that latest hit-out was blinkers, which were applied for the first time and Military Expert has that key gear change for race day, where he draws well with a low weight.

He's been stakes-placed five times, which includes splitting Tuvalu and Laws Of Indices in last year's Toorak, while he should settle in the first few pairs.

Race 9 - 5:20PM NZB Kurt Fearnley Legend Mile BM78 Tips (1600m)

Best: 11. Tavi Time. Despite working well ahead of what was a very winnable first-up assignment at the midweeks, Tavi Time completed was effectively another barrier trial in that Randwick-Kensington attempt.

Even with zero intent early, the son of Tavistock was forced to retreat further after a bump and while he was in an awkward position, the gelding was travelling well rounding the turn.

After seeing backsides and not being tested, he still wasn't beaten far considering and now on his home track, where he's down in the weights via a weak BM78, he can atone.
Value: 12. Western Front. Admittedly, it was in provincial Class 1, but he was still unlucky as well-backed on Australian debut, where he wasn't able to build momentum when it mattered on that tight track.

Western Front made amends second-up at Kembla Grange and then third-up when freshened right up, the import failed in a metro BM72 and he was spelled as result.

A lightly raced five-year-old who should only improve in his second prep Down Under, he's up in grade via this return, but as already mentioned, it is a weak BM78.

Race 10 - 5:55PM 2024 Tab Karaka Millions BM94 Handicap Tips (1300m)

Best: 6. Phearson. Nothing went right for the Brad Widdup-trained gelding in a BM94 first-up, where he box-seated behind Kibou and instead of that fav taking him into the race, he did the opposite by falling into his lap.

Freshened up following that September 30 outing, Phearson then contested the Goulburn Cup and after being backed at a price, he had to settle for a second to Grebeni.

I'm confident that Grebeni is a Group class horse (would've won a Group 3 in winter with a better draw), so that form should hold up and there's improvement to come third-up.

Value: 5. Secret Plan. Interesting galloper is this six-year-old on stable debut for Richard Litt, a stable who often go well with these tried horses and this ex-Bob Peters runner is very capable on his day.

He showed that in the west when taking on Triple Missile and Wilchino, while Secret Plan also delivered on Victorian debut when winning over the 'Bool carnival.

Fresh has often been the time to catch him, with three wins and two placings to his name from six first-up runs and at his best, Secret Plan can easily measure up here.

Newcastle Quaddie Tips:

Race 7: 3,4,9,11,12,14
Race 8: 1,6,11,15,17
Race 9: 11,12
Race 10: 1,4,5,6

$240 gets you 100% of the Quaddie.


Our best & value bets for Saturday's Newcastle meeting are:

Best Bet1: I'mintowin To Win @6/4 at Boombet - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Tavi Time To Win @28/11 at Boombet - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Mazu To Win @19/5 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Lekvarte Each Way @15/2 at Bet Right - 1 Unit
To Win
@6/4 - 4 Units
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Tavi Time
To Win
@28/11 - 3 Units
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@19/5 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 18 Nov 2023

Newcastle - November 18