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Morphettville Betting Tips for April 27, 2024 - Race-By-Race preview for Australasian Oaks day

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 25 Apr 2024
Alex Marsh 25 Apr 2024
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  • The 2024 Adelaide Racing Carnival begins on April 27
  • The track is currently a Soft 5, but there may be an upgrade
  • Group 1 action begins with the Australasian Oaks (Race 7)
  • Our race-by-race preview for Saturday is below
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Morphettville Tips for 27.04.2024
The Adelaide Racing Carnival begins on Saturday, April 27. (Getty)
 

The Adelaide Racing Carnival kicks off on April 27 and two Group 1's headline Morphettville's feature meeting.
  • Morphettville Tips April 27
  • Race 1 - 12:02PM Grand Syndicates Handicap Tips (1100m)
  • Race 2 - 12:37PM Breeders' Stakes Tips (1200m)
  • Race 3 - 1:12PM PFD Food Services Chairman's Stakes Tips (2000m)
  • Race 4 - 1:47PM John Hawkes Stakes (Formerly D C McKay Stakes) Tips (1100m)
  • Race 5 - 2:22PM Sportsbet Tobin Bronze Stakes Tips (1200m)
  • Race 6 - 2:57PM Queen Of The South Stakes Tips (1600m)
  • Race 7 - 3:37PM Sportsbet Australasian Oaks Tips (2000m)
  • Race 8 - 4:12PM Sportsbet Robert Sangster Stakes Tips (1200m)
  • Race 9 - 4:50PM Thomas Farms Handicap Tips (1600m)

Our race-by-race preview for Saturday can be found below.

Morphettville Tips April 27


Race 1 - 12:02PM Grand Syndicates Handicap Tips (1100m)


Best: 12. Aviatress. Despite being the only three-year-old in the field and the least experienced runner, Aviatress does look the obvious in the opener from Morphettville.

I loved the debut at Murray Bridge last September, where she showed courage to overcome trouble on that occasion and she followed that up with a BM64 triumph here.

Her Group 3 fourth up the Flemington straight before a break suggests there's a lot better races in her than this and she looked to be ticking over nicely via a recent trial win.
Value: 11. Wally West. He's got more talent than his strike rate indicates and some of the aggressive placements by connections over his first few campaigns backs that up.

Wally West was coming back through the grades in a short summer prep where things didn't quite work out, but he found the line strongly on each occasion.

Blinkers go on for Saturday's return and that gear change was in effect when taking out a Balaklava trial, and they were much more positive in that April 18 hit-out.

Race 2 - 12:37PM Breeders' Stakes Tips (1200m)


Best: 7. Karavas. She had her Group 3 Ottawa Stakes victory at Flemington taken away with Bute detected in the post race bloods following that second career outing.

Karavas was an impressive victor in that Oaks Day outing and that two-year-old form has been superb through the beaten brigade, with Eneeza and Hayasugi among those.

Hayasugi won the Blue Diamond Stakes and Eneeza further franked that form a fortnight ago when beating Lady Of Camelot, who won the Golden Slipper prior to that.

Value: 9. Flattered. This Patrick Payne-trained filly hasn't quite put it together on race day, but the ability is there and back around a bend here might be the key.

She was competitive at Group 3 level last time in what wasn't in the best ground in that straight track contest and she's been freshened up ahead of this attempt.

The Merson Cooper is often a strong form race and she was an eye-catcher in that debut appearance behind Eneeza, so the form is there and there's not a lot of depth to this.

Race 3 - 1:12PM PFD Food Services Chairman's Stakes Tips (2000m)


Best: 2. Bold Soul. This is one of the last SA Derby lead-ups and the key form reference for the Chairmans was the Port Adelaide Guineas on April 13.

With 2000m in mind, Bold Soul was the run of that race, where he got back over before balancing up late to record the fastest last 200m of that nine furlong event.

He was on the fresh side there following a successful Tasmanian campaign and with a bit more pressure on Air Assault (fav) this time around, that will give him every chance of turning the tables.

Value: 8. Mercante. I suspect that Nigel Blackiston has eyed off the SA Derby a long time out with Mercante, with the gelding arriving here third-up.

The son of Dundeel wasn't disgraced in the VRC Derby behind Riff Rocket and he resumed with a cracking effort of Bendigo on March 14 when finding the line over a mile.

He was a touch flatter second-up 2000m, even though he technically finished closer and with that 10 furlong run under the belt, he should be respected back against his own age.

Race 4 - 1:47PM John Hawkes Stakes (Formerly D C McKay Stakes) Tips (1100m)


Best: 1. Sghirripa. A cracking field has been assembled for the traditional Goodwood lead-up and the leading local hope for the Adelaide Sprint features is Sghirripa.

I'm forgiving the somewhat plain effort in the Newmarket, as it only came a few weeks following an unlucky but huge effort in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate.

Craig Newitt has built a nice rapport with the talented sprinter, with this interestingly his only ride on the entire program and the four-year-old could easily atone fresh on his home deck.
Value: 12. Magic Max. There's no pattern with this enigmatic sprinter and he proved that last Saturday when rattling home to salute.

Now that he's in winning form. I'm not surprised they're backing up here with Magic Max, a galloper who is best ridden cold and coming with one run late.

You only have to go back to December to see him beating Validated, while he was competitive against Queman (Grouo 1 winner) in November, so he's capable when in the mood.

Race 5 - 2:22PM Sportsbet Tobin Bronze Stakes Tips (1200m)


Best: 8. Skybird. I felt she did enough first-up with 61kg at Bendigo over 1100m in a tactical affair and that blowout allows her to build into the campaign now.

Skybird looked like one of the more progressive runners in the country over her first prep, which opened with a winning hat trick before working home for third in the Thousand Guineas.

The main query is whether she's looking for 1400m now, but six furlongs on this big track gives her a sniff and she's much better placed back to set weights against her age.

Value: 14. Treasureway. I'm not sure that the Redelva is the right form for this, although it's generally a good early lead-up race for the Adelaide carnival.

While she went around at 40/1 in that 1100m feature, Treasureway was the best run of that race, with the filly grabbing third after what was somewhat of a chequered path.

The Jason Warren-trained galloper was a Group 3 winner as a two-year-old over last year's Adelaide Carnival. which was over this track/trip and that win did come when deep into her campaign.

Race 6 - 2:57PM Queen Of The South Stakes Tips (1600m)


Best: 15. Rivaport. While she was ticking over okay in some decent mares races in Melbourne, Rivaport did improve in the Group 3 Epona Stakes at Rosehill last start.

The Grahame Begg-trained mare was hard to miss in that 1900m event when coming up the worst part of the track to grab third and she recorded the second fastest closing splits of the race.

That trip away may well have brought her on, as she then worked well via subsequent jump-out and with a drop in trip a positive, she makes some appeal at a huge price.

Value: 14. Silent Surrente. Her class at this level is probably still the main knock, although Silent Surrente was competitive three times at stakes level last campaign.

The daughter of Fiorente is back against her own sex after a lovely return behind Chicago Storm on April 13, where she was back and in traffic before flashing home late.

A low draw gives her an opportunity in a very open affair, as she's capable of settling closer in the run and she wouldn't have been as far off in a stakes race last winter with those favours.

Race 7 - 3:37PM Sportsbet Australasian Oaks Tips (2000m)


Best: 8. Coco Sun. She was a stakes winning two-year-old in Adelaide last season and she's unbeaten in two outings this campaign, which includes a three-length victory last start at Bendigo.

Coco Sun had to overcome a wide draw in that latest appearance and she did put away older rivals via that second-up romp, which tops her off perfectly for 2000m third-up.

I don't think she's an out-and-out stayer, with ten furlongs perhaps her ideal trip and with options early under Jamie Kah from a gun draw, Coco Sun is peaking at the right time.
Next Best: 2. Wings Of Song. The Patrick Payne-trained filly keeps stepping up, having won her last six races and that winning streak started in a BM58 at Benalla back on December 16.

A terrific Tasmanian prep followed, which included four victories in the 1600m-2100m range and she was given a short break after taking out the Tasmanian Oaks in late February.

The Group 3 Auraria Stakes is the traditional lead-up to this Group 1 and off a brilliant two length win in that 1800m feature, Wings Of Song has to be the one from that event.

Value: 4. Serasana. John Allen is often to go-to jockey over the Adelaide Carnival and he's aiming for back-to-back wins in the Australasian Oaks after saluting aboard Affaire A Suivre last year.

He's ridden Serasana in her last five appearances, which includes a dominant Sandown Guineas victory at the back-end of spring and that triumph came when fourth-up for the prep.

Serasana was plain after an unlucky return this prep, however, it was an improved third-up showing after a freshen-up (fastest last 200m of the race) and that last run warrants a look here.

Race 8 - 4:12PM Sportsbet Robert Sangster Stakes Tips (1200m)


Best: 12. Estriella. Ciaron Maher has prepared the last two winners of the Robert Sangster Stakes and he's well placed to record a hat-trick, with Estriella one of the more exciting sprinters in Australia.

She proved her 1200m credentials second-up at Flemington and fillies have a good recent record in the Robert Sangster Stakes, accounting for three of the last six winners.

The Morphettville 1200m is a one-turn sprint circuit from a chute start, which makes wide barriers much less of an issue, while Estriella was ticking over nicely via a recent jump-out.

Next Best: 4. Benedetta. The Jason Warren-trained mare returned to winning form with a last start triumph in R N Irwin Stakes, which is one of traditional lead-up races to the Robert Sangster Stakes.

Although that victory was a touch workmanlike to the eye, Benedetta wasn't suited dropping in distance there to 1100m, as she's more effective at 1200m+ these days.

She competed over six furlongs the start prior when finishing fourth in the Newmarket Handicap, where the four-year-old only balanced up late (fastest last 200m of the race).

Value: 5. Roots. I like this placement from Chris Waller with Roots, with the champion trainer keeping her fresh and at 1200m off a lovely Sydney return, while she's completed a recent jump-out.

The dual Group 2 winner worked nicely in that Flemington heat on April 19, where she was particularly strong through the line and it indicates that she's spot on for this.

Roots isn't a dissimilar galloper to last year's winner Ruthless Dame, as both are more 1400m types, however, strong tempos in these sprint races allow them to get home.

Race 9 - 4:50PM Thomas Farms Handicap Tips (1600m)


Best: 10. I'm A Dexstar. He did show potential without putting it together in his first few campaigns and the penny did drop last time in, where he won three of four attempts.

I'm A Dexstar should have made it four-from-four, as while it looked a shot at the stumps at stakes level on March 1, he would have won that race had he drawn kinder.

The form through Meridius (winner) reads very well, with that galloper placing in a Magic Millions Cup that included Semana and Revolutionary Miss, and they're Group 1 references.
Value: 3. Mr Maestro. The son of Savabeel hasn't saluted since recording back-to-back stakes victories over the spring of 2022, although he's had a few setbacks since then.

Mr Maestro appeared to be ticking over nicely in his jump-outs ahead of an April 6 return and while he clearly needed that fresh outing, it was still a pass mark

He has no first-up form, but the four-year-old has a win and a second from four second-up attempts, so there's improvement to come, especially over a more suitable trip here.
                                                                                 

Verdict

Our Morphettville tips for Saturday, April 27 are:

Best Bet1: Aviatress To Win @6/5 at Ladbrokes Australia - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Estriella To Win @9/4 at betfair - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Bold Soul To Win @4/1 at Neds - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Rivaport Each Way @22/1 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
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Betting Slip | 27 Apr 2024

Morphettville - April 27