• Home
  • Racing
  • Racecourses
  • Mornington Racecourse

Mornington Betting Tips for April 20, 2024 - Race-By-Race preview for Mornington Cup day

alex-marsh
Editor
Last updated: 18 Apr 2024
Alex Marsh 18 Apr 2024
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Get our tips and best bets for the Mornington Races in Victoria
  • They host the Melbourne metro card on April 20
  • The track is currently rated a Soft 6
  • Saturday's race-by-race preview is included below
Expired
Mornington tips for 20.04.2024
Mornington host their Cup day meeting on Saturday. (Getty)
 

Mornington hosts a ten-race program on April 20 and our free betting tips are available below.
  • Mornington Tips April 20
  • Race 1 - 11:50AM Asset Painting Services Mornington Sires Tips (1200m)
  • Race 2 - 12:20PM Evergreen Turf Handicap Tips (1600m)
  • Race 3 - 12:55PM Catanach's Jewellers Handicap Tips (1000m)
  • Race 4 - 1:30PM Mornington Peninsula News Group Hcp Tips (2000m)
  • Race 5 - 2:05PM Polvin Fencing Handicap Tips (1200m)
  • Race 6 - 2:40PM Quayclean Mornington Guineas Tips (1600m)
  • Race 7 - 3:20PM No Fuss Event Hire Handicap Tips (2000m)
  • Race 8 - 4:00PM Sportsbet Mornington Cup Tips (2400m)
  • Race 9 - 4:35PM Sportsbet Hareeba Stakes Tips (1200m)
  • Race 10 - 5:10PM Cleanaway Handicap Tips (1600m)

Mornington Tips April 20


Race 1 - 11:50AM Asset Painting Services Mornington Sires Tips (1200m)


Best: 7. Just For Show. There are no standouts in a competitive opener, with the pick of the first starters from the jump outs being this colt from the Hayes yard.

Just For Show was given time despite winning a November jump-out and following a quieter piece of work, he showed nice change up speed to win a Werribee heat on April 12.

He has enough tactical speed to use barrier five early and that latest piece of work was completed on a Soft 6 surface, where he appeared to handle the conditions quite well.

Value: 5. Bring Forth. The in-form Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) stable prepare Bring Forth, a son of Turn Me Loose who showed nice improvement in the second of his autumn workouts.

After what was a workmanlike hit-out when second to a useful Stormbourg, he was a lot sharper when taking out a Cranbourne jump-out on April 8.

Stepping out to 1000m certainly helped in that last appearance and he won that heat on soft ground, so there's enough in his favour heading into Saturday.

Race 2 - 12:20PM Evergreen Turf Handicap Tips (1600m)


Best: 4. Mawkeb. This is a nice race for Mawkeb, a five-year-old who was hard to miss at Sandown last start when getting home strongly with the race fastest closing splits.

She can be hit-or-miss from the barriers, which is an obvious query, but she will strip fitter from that April 1 performance, where she was effectively first-up.

Stepping to 1600m is another positive for this big, strong daughter of Deep Field and any cut in the ground won't hurt, as all three of her career wins have come on rain affected tracks.
Value: 2. Maracana. She hasn't won since taking out a harder race on this program 12 months ago, although she was subsequently competitive in stronger company.

Maracana was terrific in that BM78 victory here, where she covered ground throughout and still pulled away late, while this BM70 against her own sex is weaker.

There were excuses in her Flemington return via a much harder affair, where she was held-up/in restricted room in that BM84 and she could easily atone in this grade.

Race 3 - 12:55PM Catanach's Jewellers Handicap Tips (1000m)


Best: 5. Ranveer. A local from the strong Matt Laurie stable, Ranveer was last seen in this same race 12 months ago, where he was resuming off a big break and he was a good thing licked there.

While he's had his fair share of issues, the gelding did show above average ability as a younger horse and he was returning off a longer spell when flashing home a year ago.

Following a few quiet workouts, he was given a much more solid hit-out when taking out a 900m heat here on March 27, while his sole win did come on a wet track.

Value: 8. Lady Di Di. You always have to respect the local Mornington horses on what is a somewhat unique circuit and this mare has won her only other attempt on her home track.

Lady Di Di beat Excess (subsequent winner) when resuming in a strong BM70 before failing up the Flemington straight and that last effort was out of character.

A tongue tie being applied now suggests that she may have choked down in that straight track outing and back in grade third-up, Lady Di Di can easily improve.

Race 4 - 1:30PM Mornington Peninsula News Group Hcp Tips (2000m)


Best: 3. Galeron. He backed up a good Pakenham jump-out to finish second at Flemington on return and over 2000m with a little weight swing on Arran Bay, he can turn the tables.

The four-year-old also has more upside than that Phillip Stokes runner, while he did have some strong form lines when prepared in Europe, which includes a Group placing at Goodwood.

I don't think he'll have any trouble with the distance despite been untested at 2000m and Jamie Mott takes the second-up engagement, a jockey who rides this track well.

Value: 5. Bear Story. He hasn't been able to transfer his lead-up work to race day and while he was plain when resuming at Flemington, perhaps he wasn't suited by leading there.

His best run in Australia came second-up last prep when competitive in a BM100 at Mooney Valley and that was over a similar journey to what he steps up to here.

As a one-paced import, he's not going to be effective enough at a mile in Australia, so getting him up in trip is the key and an improved showing on Saturday wouldn't shock.

Race 5 - 2:05PM Polvin Fencing Handicap Tips (1200m)


Best: 6. End Assembly. It'll be interesting to see how this ex-Queenslander does on stable debut for the Moody & Coleman yard, who aren't a noted first-up stable.

End Assembly has looked sharp enough to run a race see fresh, with the four-year-old having settled in well at Pakenham and he does find a very winnable race on Saturday.

He recorded two big wins at Toowoomba via starts one and two before being tested in stronger company, and the highlight from those attempts was a third at Group 3 level.

Value: 11. Empressive Enuff. The big early quote is a surprise with this local, especially given the slashing last start performance when second-up at Flemington behind Midtown Boss.

That winner excels up the straight course and he was a hard-fit sprinter who had been contesting some stronger races, and this gelding was on the back foot early after a slow getaway.

It was a big effort to make the ground that he did, with Empressive Enuff recording the second fastest last 200m of the program and up to 1200m suits now.

Race 6 - 2:40PM Quayclean Mornington Guineas Tips (1600m)


Best: 5. Riproar. He spring prep did fall away after a third-up win at Bendigo, however, the drop in form coincided with Riproar contesting some much stronger races.

The three-year-old was single figure odds when blown away by Group 1 winner Riff Rocket over 1800m and he was more competitive when dropping to 1600m before a spell.

The Andrew Forsman-trained galloper got a kill first-up out of the way, where he sustained a strong run with 60kg on heavy ground and the market drift suggested that he might've needed that.
Value: 10. Tocumwah. This Coolmore filly upset Elphinstone when taking out a Ballarat maiden last year and resuming at 1600m here, there does look to be some intent.

Elphinstone has franked the form this prep, with a monster maiden win first-up and she followed that with a two length defeat into second via last Saturday's Bendigo Guineas.

Tocumwah is one of the more untapped runners in this Mornington Guineas field and there's a decent enough base for this first-up tilt, as she has completed four jump-outs.

Race 7 - 3:20PM No Fuss Event Hire Handicap Tips (2000m)


Best: 3. Sea What I See. She wouldn't have looked out of place in the Mornington Cup and she can contest those tougher stakes races over her next few campaigns.

Sea What I See is aiming for five straight wins on Saturday and she has showed no signs of slowing down, with the grey recording a big win at Flemington last time out.

She ticked the ten furlong box when taking out that March 30 event and there's only been one win by under two lengths this prep, which came second-up and she only got out late there.

Value: 4. The Nephew. This Patrick Payne-trained galloper saluted easily on soft ground via his only try at Mornington and now third-up, The Nephew is open to improvement here.

He appeared a touch plain in the Warracknabeal Cup last start, where he was well backed, but the gelding was simply a run short there and he does need more ground.

He's since completed a tick-over jump-out and the first two runs for the campaign came inside 10 days, so fitter and now over a more suitable distance, he can improve.

Race 8 - 4:00PM Sportsbet Mornington Cup Tips (2400m)


Best: 7. Nereus. This consistent Kiwi visitor is quickly working through the grades, having brought up win number five via his first Group 2 attempt in the Awapuni Gold Cup at Trentham last start.

While 2400m is unknown territory for the gelding, with an uphill climb in the straight on a big circuit, the Trentham 2100m is a testing one and he was pulling away late last start.

He's also bred to run this distance, being a full brother to Savvy Coup (New Zealand Oaks winner) and vs mostly exposed rivals, Nereus is one of the few progressive horses here.

Next Best: 4. First Immortal. Had he progressed off a somewhat surprising first-up victory, First Immortal would be a sub $3 fav to win this, but the Easter Cup outing was a little inconclusive.

It was plain visually, as the four-year-old didn't finish off in that April 6 attempt, but he couldn't build revs at a key stage and that may have simply been a flat one second-up.

With the Mornington Cup giving the winner a slot in the 2024 Caulfield Cup, this is clearly the race he's been set for all campaign and a long autumn prep was never the plan.

Value: 13. Good Oil. The five-year-old appeared to run out two miles in that Group 2, so he'll be hard fit for this assignment, which could be a testing 12 furlongs should Deny Knowledge roll along.

We've seen the Auckland Cup form franked through Mark Twain, who was a stylish last start winner of the Roy Higgins Quality and Strawberry Rock (second fav) comes out of that race.

A switch to the Melbourne leg also favours Good Oil, as all four of his career wins have come in the anti-clockwise direction, which adds further merit to his recent runs at Ellerslie.

Race 9 - 4:35PM Sportsbet Hareeba Stakes Tips (1200m)


Best: 8. Nicolini Vito. Good race, but it's a tough edition of the Hareeba, with this seemingly a field made-up of the who's who of unreliable sprinters who take their turns.

Nicolini Vito does fit that bill, however, he's an easier horse to catch early in a prep, especially when he gets a strong 1200m to aim at and he'll get this run to suit.

He is a stakes class galloper and arriving off some decent lead-up work, the six-year-old could be dangerous late off a good tempo, especially with just 54.5kg on his back.

Value: 15. Devil's Throat. The Team Snowden galloper suffered a bleed via his only summer outing in Sydney, so you have to put a line through that last performance.

Devil's Throat looked a horse who was ready to work through the grades earlier last year and he stayed in the market via some decent races despite only winning a BM78 in June.

Fresh has often been the time to catch the son of Snitzel and down in the weights with a soft draw, he's capable of figuring late off a gun run in transit.

Race 10 - 5:10PM Cleanaway Handicap Tips (1600m)


Best: 8. Frigid. She did take a few runs to come to hand last campaign, so while the grey technically had her chance at Caulfield last start, the mare was only second-up on that occasion.

The five-year-old couldn't settle in that April 6 attempt and as a result of over-racing, an early move from off the speed was attempted, but the eventual quinella was stronger late

That BM84 attempt followed an unlucky return at Mooney Valley, where she was held up at key stages and with improvement predicted here, Frigid can bring up win number six.
Value: 13. Dschingis Prestige. He'll come into his own over more ground, with the Ciaron Maher-trained import having won two of three starts and both victories came over 2400m.

1600m does look a good starting point for the lightly raced four-year-old, who has looked forward enough to run a race here fresh, arriving off three jump-outs.

Dschingis Prestige wasn't far away in the last of those at Avoca and that April heat featured a useful stablemate in Chorlton Lane, who saluted first-up at Bendigo last week.
  

Verdict

Our best & value bets for Mornington Cup day are:

Best Bet1: Riproar To Win @19/10 at bet365 Australia - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Frigid To Win @5/2 at betfair - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Mawkeb To Win @9/4 at betfair - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Nereus Each Way @15/2 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Riproar
To Win
@19/10 - 4 Units
Referral Code BESTBETS
Great odds on Australian racing

Our bet365.com.au referral code is BESTBETS. bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers but can be used during registration. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.Call Gambler's Help; National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+

Bet at bet365 Australia
Frigid
To Win
@5/2 - 3 Units
Betting Exchange
Referral Code BETSAU

18+ T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you?

Bet at betfair
Mawkeb
To Win
@9/4 - 2 Units
Betting Exchange
Referral Code BETSAU

18+ T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you?

Bet at betfair
Nereus
Each Way
@15/2 - 1 Unit
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

Load More
Betting Slip | 20 Apr 2024

Mornington - April 20