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Kembla Grange Betting Tips for February 29, 2024 - Strait bat in the Qualifier

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 27 Feb 2024
Alex Marsh 27 Feb 2024
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  • Eight races to be held at Kembla Grange on February 29 with top bets identified
  • 'Strait Acer' predicted to be the best bet in Polytrack Provincial-Midway Qualifier
  • Touted prospects include 'Bush Girl' in Maiden Plate, 'C'mon Mate' in BM64 Handicap, and 'Crystal Waters' in Race 8
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Kembla Grange Tips for 29,02.2024
A 150k Provincial-Midway Qualifier will be run at Kembla Grange on Thursday. (Getty)
 

Eight races will be run and won at Kembla Grange on February 29, and our preview is included below.
  • Kembla Grange Tips February 29
  • Pacific Plan Management Maiden Plate Tips (Race 1)
  • Peter Mack Memorial BM64 Handicap Tips (Race 5)
  • Polytrack Provincial-Midway Qualifier Tips (Race 7)
  • Sen 1170 BM64 Handicap Tips (Race 8)

Kembla Grange Tips February 29


Pacific Plan Management Maiden Plate Tips (Race 1)


Kembla Grange Next Best Bet - Race 1 No. 6 Bush Girl

Coming back in trip is the query, although it's a logical move given the gap between runs and in terms of quality, Bush Girl should find this easier than her last two attempts.

The three-year-old arguably should've won third-up at Gosford in a maiden that's produced three subsequent winners, which includes Community (now a two-time winner).

She ran into Community again when fourth-up on January 27 and the filly was held-up at key stages there, while Kerrin McEvoy is back aboard for Thursday's assignment.

Peter Mack Memorial BM64 Handicap Tips (Race 5)


Kembla Grange Value Bet - Race 5 No. 7 C'mon Mate

Although he's only won the one race, this local has been very consistent, having only finished out of the money twice in his last 10 appearances and 1200m is his right trip.

From six starts over this distance, C'mon Mate has recorded a win and four seconds, while from five attempts over the Kembla Grange 1200m, he hasn't missed the top two.

There was a late market push for the gelding on return at Hawkesbury, where he recorded the best closing splits of an 1100m BM64 and second-up, he can settle closer in the run.

Polytrack Provincial-Midway Qualifier Tips (Race 7)


Kembla Grange Best Bet - Race 7 No. 1 Strait Acer

He currently heads the betting for the Provincial-Midway Final on April 13 and given the four-year-old is already a stakes class galloper, it's no surprise to see him lead that market.

Strait Acer did come a long way in 2023, having progressed from Midway level to BM88 company when recording a hat-trick before rounding out his prep with a Group 1 placing.

Against sprinters at Group 2 level, his return was a pass mark, while now under set weight conditions in a Provincial Qualifier and over a more suitable distance, he does look the obvious here.

Sen 1170 BM64 Handicap Tips (Race 8)


Kembla Grange Roughie - Race 8 No. 16 Crystal Waters

1500m appears to be her limit, so while her campaign tapered off over longer journeys, Crystal Waters could easily find form again in a provincial BM64 over seven furlongs.

A local galloper who has won three races on her home circuit, the mare has been freshened up following a 1900m failure last month, but she was ticking over well prior to that.

Those stronger runs include a BM72 placing over this trip, where she was runner-up to Miss Checkoni (Midway winner at her next start), while any rain won't hurt her chances.
                      

Verdict

Our Kembla Grange tips for Thursday, February 29 are:

Best Bet1: Strait Acer To Win @9/5 at Ladbrokes Australia - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Bush Girl To Win @21/10 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Best Bet3: C'mon Mate Each Way @11/1 at Topsport - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Crystal Waters Each Way @34/1 at Boombet - 1 Unit
Strait Acer
To Win
@9/5 - 4 Units
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Bush Girl
To Win
@21/10 - 3 Units
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C'mon Mate
Each Way
@11/1 - 2 Units
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Crystal Waters
Each Way
@34/1 - 1 Unit
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Betting Slip | 29 Feb 2024

Kembla Grange - February 29