Race 1 - 11:40AM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 3 HANDICAP Tips (1400 METRES)
6. PHILIPSBURG was good on return when just out-sprinted by Sunrise Ruby at 1200m and as a well-supported favourite, was badly held-up on August 14, a hard effort to decipher as he wouldn't take a tight gap after that so may have just called it a day by then. Willing to forgive that run, although certainly not as confident this time around.
is a lightly raced six-year-old and could be the value ($13.00 @ Neds
) arriving off back-to-back wins, albeit in average company. Has fired since the blinkers went on, plummets in the weights and will have no trouble with a strong seven furlongs.
4. Commando Hunt was unlucky fresh before winning a Highway here second-up and was a little plain last week, but was dropping back to 1200m there. Stepping back to the 1400m suits now.
8. Yulong Base in another backing up from Randwick and is clearly looking for 1400m now. He was very unlucky prior to that Tamworth and is right in this if they can run on.
Race 2 - 12:15PM DYSON HANDICAP Tips (2400 METRES)
1. MANKAYAN was excellent over the mile in his Australian debut before dropping in grade and going to the 2000m here on August 28, an event he wins if Bowman still wasn't still in the next postcode when rounding the turn, but it was still a huge run. The 2400m is a big tick, this import finally draws a gate and it's a better set-up in the smaller field. With even luck, he should just be winning.
4. Torrens had zero recent form going into his August 21 attempt and specked in from 100/1 early, never looked like losing. As a form reference, I wanted to pen that race, but he was dominant and did show ability early days.
2. Off Shaw is set to have his sixth start since July 21 and completed three races in 10 days to round out August, so there won't be a fitter horse in the race and he should lead from gate two. The 2400m for the first time looks a genuine query though.
7. Accountability was battling before a drop in grade on September 1, where he didn't beat much, but did go back-to-back last spring, defeating Stockman (dual listed winner) in the first of those wins.
Race 3 - 12:50PM BOWERMANS COMMERCIAL FURNITURE HANDICAP Tips (2000 METRES)
1. PESTO showed some promise in his first two Australian runs and although was entitled to do more first-up from a soft time in transit, was only beaten around a length. Perhaps was just a little underdone, so he's had a subsequent trial and that was a much stronger piece of work than his August 13 heat. Was favourite when defeated by Mr Dependable in April, who is rated well above any of these.
8. Stuck With You
was tipped out off a winning hat-trick earlier in the year and although it was in weaker grade, the recent second-up effort was terrific, making a stack of ground late. He does look a big price ($34.00 @ bet365
) off that.
11. Bazooka dropped down to Class 1 level for a much-needed kill last start and they've rightfully skipped a few races since then with some wide draws. That win would've done him the world of good and this is within his grasp.
4. Crystal Pegasus had been building okay before his August 14 win here where he found his right race and goes up 2.5kg now. There's a shade more depth to this and there's not much appeal at around a $4.20 quote.
Race 4 - 1:25PM MIDWAY HANDICAP Tips (1200 METRES)
6. COBIA does come up in grade off a 64, but it's a restricted 72 (Midway) and he was given no favours with a 60.5kg impost on August 19, racing wide throughout. The start prior to that he was excellent, a race the four-year-old should've won by further and along with carrying 55.5kg here, he now has the services of J-Mac, who has gate two at his disposal.
1. Oxford Tycoon should've defeated Royalzel on August 28, where he was held-up until the 100m when finally getting off the winner's heels and launching late. His overall strike rate is quite poor and all three career wins have come first or second-up (now third-up).
5. Barossa Rosa has upside, a four-year-old that is set to kick off her third racing prep and did place behind Great News back in March, a mare that's been luckless twice at stakes level recently. Her two lead-up trials were terrific.
9. Either Oar won two in a row last spring before a Group Three attempt in Melbourne. Hasn't found that form again, but with three August runs, she should be at peak fitness and wasn't far away on August 28.
Race 5 - 2:00PM DRINKWISE DULCIFY STAKES Tips (1500 METRES)
7. SILENT IMPACT is by Maurice and of an Oaks winner in Hollow Bullet, a gelding who got a kill on debut at Goulburn and was then super impressive at Rosehill. Goes straight to the 1500m with a gap between runs, but completed a strong trial on August 20. In a field of second-string three-year-old's, the ceiling on this one could well be a bit higher. Saturday will tell us more.
4. Giannis is a colt that looked as though he would furnish into a lovely three-year-old, showing some potential over five runs early in the year, culminating his winter with a second in the JJ Atkins, For a Waller horse at the trials, there's been a lot of intent late in recent heats.
1. Tiger Of Malay has the most runs on the board and although it was only a narrow August 14 win here, he was spotting 8kg to Coastwatch, a subsequent Group Three winner. No knock from me, especially if they can make ground out wider.
is better than what he showed in that Ming Dynasty, where he still wasn't disgraced despite being a little one-paced. On firmer ground and off more of a rolling tempo, he's not the worst at a decent quote ($26.00 @ BlueBet
Race 6 - 2:40PM COOLMORE SHERACO STAKES Tips (1200 METRES)
4. ENTRIVIERE has really caught the eye with some big performances in NZ, winning five from seven and should be unbeaten, having been handed the visitors draw against Fasika in the autumn. With a wide gate and big weight, they made the right move scratching from the Toy Show and trialling instead. Better weight scale here and I think she's the best out-and-out sprinter in the field.
1. Forbidden Love
might still be a run short, as she prefers 1400m, but is big odds ($14.00 @ Sportsbet
) as the class runner in the field. Outside the winner, she had the best closing sectionals in that Toy Show and is a little underrated as a Group One winner only four starts back.
5. Fituese won that Toy Show in nice style and broke a little drought in the process, having not saluted prior to that since last September. I suspect the Kiwi mare is classier, but this little pocket rocket can hold form and she only goes up 1kg.
8. Written Beauty played up in the barriers and was slow out as favourite n that Toy Show, but finished off strongly. Talented, but her manners are becoming very costly at this level and there's no value there at around a $5 quote currently.
Race 7 - 3:15PM CHANDON THEO MARKS STAKES Tips (1300 METRES)
6. PRIVATE EYE showed his class late in the Show County were despite not being completely suited at 1200m, is a galloper that's simply a winner and on resumption there, has recorded his seventh victory from just 10 starts. Looks the perfect Epsom Handicap horse for mine and although is still building, the extra 100m suits second-up, as does a predicted strong tempo.
10. Big Parade is a runner I've never been a big fan of, although with three wins from his last four starts, he's becoming more genuine and won't know himself with 53.5kg. Speedy, but if it's an even track, I'd be confident in Private Eye nailing him if he's within range.
2. Icebath still remains very competitive, although is lengths better on a wet track and she's not going to get those conditions on Saturday. Fresh run was good when spotting weight to the boys, but again, this doesn't look a prime set-up for her.
3. Roheyrn is unbeaten from five first-up attempts and with all of his winning form coming over 1100m-1200m dashes, it's an interesting move by James Cummings to resume at 1300m. The August 23 trial behind Wild Ruler was inconclusive.
Race 8 - 3:55PM XXXX RUN TO THE ROSE Tips (1200 METRES)
2. ANAMOE is first-up at 1200m off a good, but soft trial which will likely going to leave the Godolphin colt at his most vulnerable fresh, however, he did strike me a horse that could simply win everything as a three-year-old and should be suited by the big expanses of Kembla Grange. The bookies haven't missed him early, but we may get a better price late.
8. Remarque does have one of the better platforms to win the Run To The Rose, with a strong and unlucky return in the Rosebud, followed by a trial instead of a San Domenico tilt. We'll get a much better gauge on him here.
4. Converge just kept improving as his two-year-old season wore on and suited by more conservative tactics, won the JJ Atkins in style. His last trial was excellent and there'll be some residual fitness there having raced in June.
was solid on return against older rivals, running into Andermatt who looks a stakes class sprinter. His sole trial leading into that was terrific and at longer odds ($41.00 @ TopSport
), he's one for the exotics.
Race 9 - 4:35PM QUAYCLEAN HANDICAP Tips (1200 METRES)
2. POETIC CHARMER has been mixing his form, but in arguably the most open race on the card, he has some claims. Simply getting too far back third-up, the prior effort on July 24 was a good one and the blinkers now go on, a gear change that produced a win last time they were applied. With the 2kg claimer Tom Sherry aboard, we want to see them more positive from a good draw.
6. Ventura Ocean was scratched from a suitable affair a few weeks back, so while the 1200m is a slight knock off the July 24 effort, he has won three times over this trip. No world beater, but has looked super honest in all three Australian starts to date.
was superb second-up, with the Godolphin mare making good inroads wide and from the rear despite being unsuited off a muddling temp. Hard runner to catch, but is a winning chance at a double figure quote ($12.00 @ TAB
) off that last run.
8. Count De Rupee is a resuming four-year-old and well down in the weights with 53.5kg after the Brock Ryan. While that Marway form from his last fresh tilt reads well, he is short enough at sub $4 in a race with plenty of chances.
Race 10 - 5:15PM CLEANAWAY HANDICAP Tips (1500 METRES)
3. NIGHT OF POWER got the chocolates for us on July 31, coming from the rear to break a long winning drought in style and was as impressive second-up at Doomben, rattling home from an impossible position, a performance which supports the step up to 1500m now. Stays at BM78 level, is a proven weight carrier and Bjorn Baker looks to have him firing again. He's over the odds.
9. Brookspire is a half-sister to Inspirational Girl and while it was in a modest BM72, the fresh victory on August 25 was as professional as she's ever looked. Could be ready to go to a new level this spring and despite the draw, she's probably the one to beat.
6. Kingsheir has plenty of raw ability and is a galloper I've got plenty of time for. Following an arrogant first-up win, he had his chance here on August 28, albeit still has improvement to come. I can't get him near the current $3.00-$3.20 quote though.
is huge odds ($51.00 @ bookmaker
), but was a winner in this grade last spring when competing here on her home circuit and Brock Ryan back in the saddle is a big plus. Not the easiest to catch, but very capable in a race of this nature if she's in the mood.