POLYTRACK PROVINCIAL CHAMPIONSHIPS MARCH 20 METRO & PROV MAIDEN PLATE Tips (Race 2)
Kembla Grange Best Bet - Race 2 No. 5 Stelvio
By Lonhro and out the four-time Group One winning mare Guelph, they don't get much better bred than this returning three-year-old with Godolphin electing to geld the half-brother to Emanate and Encryption ahead of this second racing preparation.
While the debut was quite good in a strong city Maiden last August, Stelvio did look quite green in his trials leading into that but has looked far more professional in his most recent hit-out's, cruising to the line to win a Hawkesbury 800m on February 26 in good time for that morning.
With the exception of Vanderland, who has had a few chances now, not many in this line-up have shown a whole lot to date and resuming over the 1300m at Provincial level, James Cummings has found a good starting point on Friday for this galloper.
EVERGREEN TURF AUSTRALIA BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP Tips (Race 3)
Kembla Grange Next Best Bet - Race 3 No. 4 Geist
After running into a leader-dominated event first-up, Geist found form back at the Provincials where she won her Maiden over Miracle Street, who bolted in to breakthrough via her next outing and the Godolphin mare made it back-to-back wins on a Heavy track at Gosford before going to town.
The fast lanes out wide on that Kensington circuit cost this three-year-old the chance of a winning hat-trick on February 3 and back to Gosford on February 24, her fortunes weren't any kinder where she finished on heels late in a leader dominated affair.
Savoury, who was runner-up in that event has franked the form with a midweek victory on Wednesday, defeating an unlucky Blesk who was second to the subsequent Canberra Guineas winner Equation the start prior, with all of those references tying in very well for a $5 chance in what is only a Provincial 64.
TAB CONDITIONAL BENCHMARK 68 HANDICAP Tips (Race 6)
Kembla Grange Value Bet - Race 6 No. 1 Golly I'm Lucky
Always have to respect the local Kembla Grange gallopers when playing at home and while I'm a little surprised they didn't opt for a claim, jockey Andrew Adkins has had one ride on this gelding which was an easy win last winter, so there's no knock with the senior appointment.
The worst result for Golly I'm Lucky on this circuit is a fifth-place finish in a Metropolitan 78 on 'The Gong' meeting last spring, where he was beaten just over two lengths and defeated Big Parade in the process, who won two of his next three outings at Benchmark 88 level, which is miles above this sort of company.
Admittedly has the weight to carry but for a galloper with genuine city form and coming back from strong Open Class events including the $150,000 Canberra Mile last start where he was defeated under three lengths into fourth, Golly I'm Lucky is a big each-way price in a Benchmark 68.