Morrison Hill Handicap Tips (Race 2)
Happy Valley Roughie - Race 2 No. 11 Gold 'N' Bold
Being by Olympic Glory and out of a Sharmardal mare that won over a mile (along with being placed at 2000m), the breeding suggests he would appreciate the longer journeys this campaign after contesting sprint trips in his first four Hong Kong starts.
Despite the huge odds, the fresh 1400m effort from this four-year-old was a sound one where he whacked away on the speed for an eventual third-place finish before stepping up to the mile at Sha Tin, where he was inconvenienced at the start.
While he still made some inroads when racing in restricted room in the run home, that did put Gold 'N' Bold out of calculations early and drawn out this evening where he can roll across, there's perhaps an opportunity to land in the first few pairs without much speed in this line-up.
Matheson Handicap Tips (Race 3)
Happy Valley Best Bet - Race 3 No. 2 Mercurial
After working three-wide throughout the first half of his 1200m assignment on February 17, the son of Hussonet could've been forgiven for tiring on that effort, but he managed to sustain that big run and record a rather soft victory under the circumstances.
Prepared by Tony Cruz and importantly keeping the claim of apprentice jockey Jerry Chau, Mercurial has understandably received a good penalty for that victory but given what the margin could've quite easily have been with more luck, it's manageable at Class 4 level.
As a lightly raced galloper who is still seemingly on an upwards spiral, he draws a little kinder here in gate seven and only needs to hold that last start form to be very hard to reel in once again.
Matheson Handicap Tips (Race 6)
Happy Valley Value Bet - Race 6 No. 6 Sea Elite
Although he was big odds and safely held in his first two Hong Kong starts, this four-year-old wasn't able to draw a barrier in either of those attempts and from a better gate on February 3, we saw a much-improved performance at start three.
Given he was camped off the two leaders who went hard and both finished towards the rear of the field, the effort in only going down a length on the line had plenty of merit given the event was set for those with fresh legs (winner got the suck run through, second and fourth wider from off the speed).
The son of Zoffany is still well down in the weights after the Jerry Chau claim and with Zac Purton potentially looking to cuddle the favourite Ever Force given the 60.5kg impost, we may see a slower run 1200m which will give Sea Elite a sniff late.
Canal Handicap Tips (Race 9)
Happy Valley Next Best Bet - Race 9 No. 1 Savaquin
Aiming for a winning hat-trick at Happy Valley this evening is this progressive four-year-old who comfortably handled the 4kg penalty on February 17 which gives us confidence that the 60.5kg can be carried as one of the more progressive runners in this field.
With 24 winners at a strike rate of 23% in 2021, the powerful John Size stable is in-form and while Savaquin has drawn out, that's not necessarily a disadvantage off his last two performances where he's been able to build key momentum before launching late out wider.
His main threat does appear to be Sunny Star, another lightly raced type who arrives here off his first Class 3 victory, but the recent 1650m times do match up better for the early favourite and if within striking range of his main rival, champion hoop Zac Purton can do the rest at the business end.
HAPPY VALLEY QUADDIE TIPS: