- Tuesday 3
- Wednesday 4
- Thursday 5
- Friday 6
- Saturday 7
- Sunday 8
- Monday 9
- Tuesday 10
- Wednesday 11
- Thursday 12
- Friday 13
Flemington Betting Tips for November 9, 2024 - Race-By-Race preview for Champions Stakes day
- Flemington Carnival concludes with Champions Day featuring three Group 1 races
- Top bets include Kinesiology in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes and Nadal in the Cirka Always Welcome Stakes
- Race-by-race tips offer strategic insights and highlight the best and value bets
Expired
Three Group 1's eill be contested on the final day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival. (Getty)
The strongest card of the entire spring wraps up the famous four-day Flemington Carnival, with three Group 1's featuring on Champions Day.
- Flemington Tips November 9
- Race 1 - 12:40PM Ronald McDonald House Charities Mile Tips (1600m)
- Race 2 - 1:15PM Inglis Banner Tips (1000m)
- Race 3 - 1:50PM Queen Elizabeth Stakes Tips (2600m)
- Race 4 - 2:30PM Cirka Always Welcome Stakes Tips (1200m)
- Race 5 - 3:10PM TAB Matriarch Stakes Tips (2000m)
- Race 6 - 3:50PM Darley Champions Sprint Tips (1200m)
- Race 7 - 4:30PM VRC Champions Mile Tips (1600m)
- Race 8 - 5:10PM TAB Champions Stakes Tips (2000m)
- Race 9 - 5:50PM World Horse Racing Grand Handicap Tips (1100m)
- Flemington Quaddie Tips:
Our race-by-race preview for November 9 can be found below.
Flemington Tips November 9
Race 1 - 12:40PM Ronald McDonald House Charities Mile Tips (1600m)
Best: 8. Farhh Flung. You could make a case for all of these runners and it'll be worth watching the late betting with the two imports on Australian debut, who have both worked well.
Arriving second-up is the honest Farhh Flung, who was disqualified fresh at due to the jockey weighing in light and he was the pick of the off-speed brigade there in an on-speed dominated race.
He had excuses second-up last prep when in the worst part of the Caulfield track and following that, he finished along Cadmus and that galloper is rated well above any of these rivals.
Value: 10. Good Banter. The 1400m return performance was a pass mark (just) before a plain effort when stepping to 1600m via the Group 3 Angst Stakes at Randwick.
The O'Shea & Charlton are searching for answers with the Adrian Knox Stakes winner, who was building beautifully in autumn and that included a monster Kembla Classic run over a mile.
I have no idea why they bypassed the Australian Oaks and while saving her for future assignments hasn't panned out, the trip south and a drop in grade could provide a spark.
Race 2 - 1:15PM Inglis Banner Tips (1000m)
Best: 3. Latin Boss. The Hayes yard prepared the trifecta in Tuesday's Maribyrnong Plate and they appear to have another decent juvenile hand here with a pair of single figure hopes.
Latin Boss is the more favoured of their duo, with the son of Street Boss winning two Flemington jump-outs ahead this debut tilt (first one more impressive, but got a solid workout in the latest).
The wider lanes have been advantageous all carnival in the straight-track sprints and while Latin Boss is drawn favourably in gate eleven, that doesn't make this raffle any easier for punters
Value: 6. Aliquam. This Queensland visitor is from a decent juvenile-producing family, with the daughter of Tagaloa being closely related to a Widden Stakes and a Gimcrack Stakes winner.
Trainer Liam Birchley is also no stranger to travelling (10 career winners in Melbourne) and it's often to target these restricted sales events (Aliquam was a 20k Inglis Classic purchase).
Without being knocked around, there wasn't much to fault in her Eagle Farm trial on October 22, where the youngster picked up well when getting to the line in restricted room.
Race 3 - 1:50PM Queen Elizabeth Stakes Tips (2600m)
Best: 7. Kinesiology. He was scratched from an easier assignment on Tuesday for the Queen Elizabeth and these owners (Kheir, O'Neill etc) have won the last two editions of this race with Soulcombe and Muramasa.
Kinesiology has been stakes placed via his last four appearances in Europe and the lightly race entire finished alongside Thunder Roll at Group 3 level via the last of those attempts.
Thunder Roll was a stakes winner in April and she's also been competitive twice at Group 1 level in her last two runs, so there's recent form and he looks the progressive horse in this field.
Value: 9. I'm A Dirty Rascal. He's been ticking over well either side of a third-up flop when in the market at Caulfield, with the son of Galileo producing a decent Bendigo Cup effort.
Behind a dominant Sea King, I'm A Dirty Rascal has gone as well any of the beaten brigade (second-fastest last 200m of the race) and that includes the subsequent Melbourne Cup winner.
With four runs under the belt, including a pair of 2400m runs via his last two outings, the Waterhouse & Bott yard couldn't have him any fitter going into Saturday's attempt.
Race 4 - 2:30PM Cirka Always Welcome Stakes Tips (1200m)
Best: 9. Nadal. Fitness just gave out for the Ciaron Maher-trained four-year-old via his fresh attempt up the Flemington straight, where he had 60kg for that return on a Soft 7.
The late betting drift for Nadal ahead of that resumption was no surprise given the long layoff and after that solid return, he progressed second-up when recording a stylish win at Caulfield.
That BM78 has already produced two subsequent winners and while the four-year-old is up in grade third-up, we know the ceiling of his rivals, whereas Nadal is still on an upwards spiral.
Value: 10. Garza Blanca. He has been a little overrated and certainly over-bet in most outings so far, with a host of short starting prices after bolting in with a poor race at Cranbourne.
Connections have made a call after a frustrating last season, with the five-year-old returning as a gelding and there were easier options to kick off in with his low rating of 82.
There has always been a spruik with Garza Blanca, who interestingly hasn't been sighted leading into this return and after being forced to take unders multiple times, around 20/1 is now available.
Race 5 - 3:10PM TAB Matriarch Stakes Tips (2000m)
Best: 1. Coco Sun. There's a chance that Coco Sun may not have come up this prep, however, her form prior to the Caulfield Cup flop is light years above the references that any rival in this field brings.
The SA Derby winner drops back in grade and while a big gear change could be a shot at the stumps, she hasn't been quite as sharp of late and the blinkers have now been applied as a result.
The favs are Hinged (hasn't won since Feb 2022) and Firestorm (poor last start in similar race), while $20+ is the price for a mare who is back vs own sex after campaigning against some of the best horses in Australia (twice at Group 1 WFA level).
Value: 15. Basilinna. We were with Basilinna at big odds last start in the Tesio Stakes and that 2040m Group 3 at The Valley is one of the key form references for the Matriarch Stakes.
While it an eighth-of-eleven finish for the four-year-old, she's got within 2.5-lengths of the winner and it could've been closer had she not been held-up at a key stage.
Basilinna recorded the second-fastest last 200m of Tesio Stakes and while an inside draw is a query here for a large mare who prefers galloping room, getting onto a bigger track suits.
Race 6 - 3:50PM Darley Champions Sprint Tips (1200m)
Best: 1. Giga Kick. Clayton Douglas almost pulled off The Everest target, with the jury perhaps out on Giga Kick after his first two spring runs, although the negative commentary was a little unfair for mine.
Off a 12-month absence and now back as a seasoned five-year-old, he carried plenty of condition early in the campaign and there may even be improvement to come.
Connections resisted the 1300m option of last Saturday's Russell Balding and while that was a trip he was seemingly looking for, waiting an extra week could be a blessing.
It's a tough race to workout, but with a few key threats on the seven-day turnaround with interstate travel, that gives Giga Kick a big opportunity to go one better fourth-up.
Next Best: 2. Overpass. Bjorn Baker will be eager to make a statement with Overpass, who missed an Everest slot and the six-year-old took out the Sydney Stakes consolation on the same program.
His 1200m event went a shade quicker overall than The Everest and he's one of the main chances in this Champions Sprint field who hasn't been knocked around by a long prep.
Overpass is no stranger to the Flemington straight, with a win recorded over the track/trip in his three-year-old season and he hasn't tasted defeat since last year's Everest.
Josh Parr has a good affinity with the son of Vancouver and with the wider lanes perhaps favoured in the straight sprints, he'll need to have a game plan from barrier two.
Value: 3. I Am Unstoppable. Ideally, I Am Unstoppable would be contesting something a little easier in his third run for Ciaron Maher, however, he does need a Group 1 victory on the stallion resume.
He was a good straight track operator as an early three-year-old, with a hat-trick of seconds recorded last spring and that includes a runner-up finish in the Coolmore Stud Stakes.
I Am Unstoppable is starting to hit his straps and after recording the fastest closing splits of the Warwick Farm card on return, his Moonee Valley effort was good without luck.
The entire ran the fastest last 600m of the Cox Plate day meeting and with a Winterbottom Stakes perhaps the next move, he won't want to be going backwards third-up.
Race 7 - 4:30PM VRC Champions Mile Tips (1600m)
Best: 13. Broadsiding. Champions Day is now the strongest program of the Melbourne Spring Carnival and one of the more intriguing races on the card is the 2024 running of the Champions Mile.
There's varying form lines, with recent winners and talented horses on the back-up taking on the established WFA stars in Mr Brightside, Fangirl and Pride Of Jenni.
James Cummings has pulled the right rein in coming back to 1600m with Broadsiding and especially for a three-year-old, the colt hasn't had the longest of spring campaigns.
It's a new meeting in a lot ways and I feel that the quality three-year-old's should be targeting this race more going forward, with this perhaps the best set-up he's found all prep.
Next Best: 1. Mr Brightside. While he'd be honest in any race that the Hayes yard put him in, it's clear now that Mr Brightside doesn't run a strong 2000m and 1400m-1600m is his right range.
His record around these distances is superb and his last victory was recorded second-up in the Makybe Diva Stakes, where he got the better of Pride Jenni late in the piece.
While he's deep into the campaign, the seven-time Group 1 winner is following the same pattern 12 months when runner-up in the Champions Mile from the Cox Plate.
The key with Mr Brightside is not doing the donkey work (dragging the field up) when Pride Of Jenni is rolling along and ideally, there'll be pressure elsewhere on the front-runner.
Value: 11. Amelia's Jewel. Although it was over 2000m in the Champions Stakes on this meeting last year, we still saw Atishu back-up from a second in the Empire Rose Stakes to go one better.
Amelia's Jewel clashed with Atishu last Saturday in the Empire Rose and while she lost that battle, blinkers going on provided a much needed spark for the five-year-old.
She didn't see the challenge of the Chris Waller-trained mare until it was too late, which is common when the shades first go on, although she didn't give up the fight.
Damian Lane has been aboard for her last two wins and from a wider draw in a race that should have a hot tempo up front, they may look to ride her colder this time around.
Race 8 - 5:10PM TAB Champions Stakes Tips (2000m)
Best: 10. Via Sistina. It would've been a hard decision to skip the Melbourne Cup, especially as it was likely her only chance to ever run in the famous two mile feature and it was a weak edition.
I do believe they've made the right call, however, as there's still plenty of 1400m-2000m WFA races to contest this season and a Melbourne Cup run could easily end those future plans.
What more can we say about Via Sistina after her record-breaking Cox Plate romp? While off that dominant last start performance, she was always going to be short fav here.
The only big failure in Australia was on testing ground second-up in the Makybe Diva Stakes and it would take a massive regression off the fourth-up romp to be losing here.
Next Best: 1. Without A Fight. One of the more interesting runners on the entire program is Without A Fight, with son of Teofilo having not raced since his famous Melbourne Cup win just over a year ago.
He became the 12th horse in history to complete a Caulfield/Melbourne Cup winning double and with any intent, he could've won the Underwood Stakes first-up that prep.
Whether he can do it now 12 months on and coming back from a setback is a big query, however, Without A Fight could easily be prepared as a 2000m WFA galloper.
The eight-year-old has a class edge on most of these and the Freedman's wouldn't be bringing him here if he wasn't right, especially with no other targets (other than Hong Kong) on the calendar.
Value: 3. Arapaho. He's an underrated galloper and while it was a poor return over 1400m, Bjorn Baker was still bullish with Arapaho and the gelding did turn a corner last start in the Craven Plate.
The clock backed up that recent second-up performance, with the son of Lope de Vega running the fastest last 800m, 600m, 400m and 200m of that Group 3.
A nomination has been thrown in for the Northerly Stakes and that 1800m major in the west looks a nice option for Arapaho, who is a Group 1 WFA winner (Tancred Stakes).
Would it be shock if he rolled Via Sistina? Sure, but given the depth of this field is questionable and with improvement to come, Arapaho could finish top three/four.
Race 9 - 5:50PM World Horse Racing Grand Handicap Tips (1100m)
Best: 5. Keenan. The best meeting of the Melbourne Spring Carnival should end with one of the three Group 1's instead of this BM80 dash up the straight and it's a thin race overall.
Off two solid jump-outs and with Keenan gelded ahead of his third campaign, he's very well placed in this company and he still hasn't missed the top four despite rating down via his last two runs.
Drawing out in the straight-track sprints has been favourable for the entire Melbourne Cup Carnival and after a map that has him finding the best ground, Keenan should give a sight on the speed.
Value: 15. Nation State. This son of All Too Hard didn't beat much via his October 17 fresh attempt at Ballarat and he also had the favours when saluting in that 1000m contest.
The John Moloney-trained galloper hasn't done much in nine starts to date, with the bigger defeats mainly coming when he was tried over 1300m-1400m last season (he doesn't go past 1200m).
While it was a seventh-of-thirteen finish second-up over 1400m last prep, that Listed tilt had merit given he did donkey work on a hot tempo (early leader and box-seat runner were beaten out of sight).
Flemington Quaddie Tips:
Race 6: 1,2,3,6
Race 7: 1,2,4,6,11,13
Race 8: 1,3,10
Race 9: 5,10,12,15
$288 gets you 100% of the Quaddie.
Verdict
Our best & value bets for Flemington's Champions day meeting are:
Kinesiology
To Win
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Nadal
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Keenan
Each Way
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Coco Sun
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