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Flemington Betting Tips for June 22, 2024 - Race-By-Race preview for Saturday

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 20 Jun 2024
Alex Marsh 20 Jun 2024
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  • Flemington's nine-race program on June 22 includes detailed race-by-race previews and betting tips
  • Key picks include 'Boga Legend' (Each Way) at 12.00, 'Aberfeldie Boy' (To Win) at 5.00, 'Windstorm' (To Win) at 6.50, and 'Oak Hill' (To Win) at 6.50
  • The preview highlights standout contenders and value bets, providing essential insights for informed wagering
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Flemington Tips for 22.06.2024
Flemington hosts the Melbourne metro card on June 22. (Getty)
 

Flemington hosts a nine-race program on June 22 and race-by-race preview for Saturday is included below.
  • Flemington Tips June 22
  • Race 1 - 11:50AM Ken Cox Handicap Tips (1420m)
  • Race 2 - 12:25PM Boys to the Bush Community Trophy Tips (2540m)
  • Race 3 - 1:00PM Rod Johnson Handicap Tips (1620m)
  • Race 4 - 1:35PM Bruce Gadsden Handicap Tips (1420m)
  • Race 5 - 2:10PM 2024 Country Achiever Shane Fliedner Tips (1100m)
  • Race 6 - 2:45PM The David Bourke Tips (1620m)
  • Race 7 - 3:25PM VRC-CRV Trophy Tips (1420m)
  • Race 8 - 4:00PM Brian Beattie Handicap Tips (2000m)
  • Race 9 - 4:35PM VRC Country Race Day Sprint Tips (1100m)

Flemington Tips June 22


Race 1 - 11:50AM Ken Cox Handicap Tips (1420m)


Best: 3. Henlein. This big, strong daughter of Dundeel is very well bred, being a half-sister to dual Group 1 winner Magic Time and she arrives here off a stylish debut victory.

Henlein did have all favours in that Bendigo outing June 4, but she cashed in and took the gap as soon as it presented, while the runner-up from that saluted on Thursday.

This is obviously a step up in class, but she looked as if she'd improve with racing going off her lead-up work and up to seven furlongs on this big circuit is a tick.

Value: 9. Taung. I've got time for this Matt Cumani-trained colt, who was good on debut at Geelong last December despite being unsuited and he was spelled after that.

Off some solid lead-up work, we gave him a sniff first-up in the Elvstroem Classic and nothing went right there, where he was slow away and he was also green in the run home.

The Taj Rossi final in a fortnight's time over a mile might be the target and he could be a blinkers horse in time, but he should still improve second-up.

Race 2 - 12:25PM Boys to the Bush Community Trophy Tips (2540m)


Best: 4. Aberfeldie Boy. He was on track to be peaking for a race like this after a second-up closing effort in the Group 3 Easter Cup, but there was clearly a setback after that.

Aberfeldie Boy resumed two months later on June 8 over 2000m here and while he wouldn't have won irrespective, the gelding should've finished closer (held-up for 100m).

A galloper who was unlucky multiple times over his three-year old season, which included a few Derby tilts, the four-year-old draws kinder in what's a very winnable race.
Value: 9. Taramansour. The seven-year-old has been somewhat hit-or-miss, but I keep coming back to his Wagga Cup run behind Fawkner Park, which is superb reading for this.

He was understandably well backed off that effort at Caulfield on May 11, where the gelding appeared to struggle chasing with 60kg after being exposed early.

I'm happy to put a line through his last outing on June 1 where he found traffic and was shuffled back, and he's better placed here with 4.5kg less from that run.

Race 3 - 1:00PM Rod Johnson Handicap Tips (1620m)


Best: 5. Craig. Unfortunately the bookies didn't miss what was the sickest beat this season, with Craig narrowly going down on June 8 when rattling home after finding trouble.

There's no doubting that the Busuttin & Young-trained import should have won that second Australian outing comfortably and that followed a fresh Bendigo romp.

The son of Territories now gets a little weight swing on Rose At Dawn from their last clash (second fav), a rival who should've beaten a fortnight ago, so he's a deserving fav.

Value: 6. Matusalem. The biggest improver here could come from this Chris Waller-trained three-year-old, who didn't handle a testing Heavy 8 surface when returning on June 1.

Matusalem was first-up there as a gelding and while he battled again via a subsequent tick-over trial in Sydney, that Rosehill heat was contested on heavy ground.

He looked promising enough early and we know The Autumn Sun progeny improve as late three-year-old's, while he's been sent south in search of a firmer track.

Race 4 - 1:35PM Bruce Gadsden Handicap Tips (1420m)


Best: 4. Frumos. She waa Group 3 winner over last year's Brisbane carnival when prepared by Chris Waller, with Frumos now under the care of Ben, Will & JD Hayes.

After what was just an even return on stable debut, she made steady ground out wide over 1400m here on June 8 and she's capable of settling closer in the run.

She's building towards a win in the right race, which could easily be in this fillies and mares raffle, where she carries a similar weight despite senior hoop Michael Dee jumping on.

Value: 1. Belle Savoir. The obvious query is 60kg, especially coming off performances with less weight, however, Belle Savoir somewhat looks the obvious here otherwise.

The Nick Ryan-trained mare brings some decent autumn form, with the highlight coming two starts back when taking out the VOBIS Gold Mile at Caulfield

Back in distance is a logical move given the gap between runs and the five-year-old is often dangerous on the fresh side, while she'll get cover from barrier five.

Race 5 - 2:10PM 2024 Country Achiever Shane Fliedner Tips (1100m)


Best: 3. Extremely Lucky. The market has this spot on with Veloce Carro, Who Dares and Extremely Lucky at the top of betting, and Veloce Carro and Who Dares have straight-track credentials.

Although the straight track is an unknown for Extremely Lucky, I think he's the most talented horse in the race and Blake Shinn is a positive engagement fourth-up.

The fresh win on return for Will Clarken left him flat second-up in The Goodwood. but he bounced back when hitting the line at Caulfield on June 1 and staying at 1100m suits.
Value: 11. Along The River. His straight-track form doesn't read well, however, Along The River has performed still well on his home deck in the past and he has decent second-up stats.

Early in a prep is generally the time to catch the gelding, with four of his five career wins coming either first or second-up, which includes a brilliant fresh triumph on June 10.

This is clearly harder, but with 4.5kg less and with a map that has him attacking the wider lanes late should they be favoured, he's not without an each-way chance.

Race 6 - 2:45PM The David Bourke Tips (1620m)


Best: 8. Windstorm. I like the aggressive placement in backing-up seven days later from Sandown, where he was terrific from off the speed on a tough day for backmarkers.

Windstorm is now under the care of Gavin Bedggood, who thrives with these tried gallopers and last Saturday's effort followed a terrific effort when on stable debut.

He covered ground in that affair, which was taken out by a flying Nicolini Vito, who arguably should have won again last week and they have more options here from a better draw.

Value: 9. Riyazan. The ex-Hong Kong galloper been consistent since joining the Hawkes yard last summer, with back-to-back seconds before being tipped out.

Riyazan is improving with every run this time in, which included on-speed efforts first and second-up, with the veteran peaking late on those early campaign runs.

He was ridden colder last time out at Caulfield and while an eighth-of-eleven finish doesn't read well, he was getting warm late and they can settle closer from barrier two.

Race 7 - 3:25PM VRC-CRV Trophy Tips (1420m)


Best: 7. Tobaysure. Arguably the most open race the entire program is this BM84, although there could be a fresh angle here with Tobaysure, who has terrific first-up stats.

The Phillip Stokes-trained galloper has two wins and three placings from five first-up attempts, with the biggest beaten margin fresh a two-length third over 1300m.

He has a lot of modest benchmark form, with his highest ratings coming in VOBIS races, however, he looks forward enough off two jump-outs and he maps for a soft run.

Value: 8. Watadeel. I'm surprised he isn't stepping up to a mile now third-up, with Watadeel catching the eye late over this track/trip on June 8 when overcoming trouble.

The scalp of Von Hauke over this track/trip is excellent reading for a BM84 and while I'd prefer him at 1600m now, he'd be the on-top selection had he drawn well.

A tactically versatile galloper who strips fitter third-up, the son of Dundeel gets some relief after the Celine Gaudray claim and with even luck, he should be thereabouts.

Race 8 - 4:00PM Brian Beattie Handicap Tips (2000m)


Best: 14. Boga Legend. On an each-way basis, Boga Legend appeals as the best bet at Flemington, with a double figure quote available for the Mitchell Freedman-trained galloper.

Most of the Puissance De Lune progeny take time to furnish and given he's still a three-year-old, he'll continue on progress with racing, and this looks a lovely metro option.

He gets weight off Lady In Pink (fav) and his form ties in through her via Cotton Tree, who he placed behind fresh before bolting in at Pakenham and he was then terrific at Geelong.
Value: 3. Motorace. While he didn't quite measure in a short Tasmanian prep over their carnival, Motorace showed potential with back-to-back wins prior to that.

The last of those victories came over this trip in the Cranbourne Classic and among the beaten brigade in that three-year-old race were Sentimental Flame and Warmonger.

That form alone suggests that he should be respected at a massive price and from a wide draw on stable debut for the Hayes yard, his June 8 outing was effectively a trial.

Race 9 - 4:35PM VRC Country Race Day Sprint Tips (1100m)


Best: 1. Oak Hill. I've got plenty of time for Oak Hill and while this is another step up in class for the Michael Moroney-trained sprinter, he's on an upwards spiral.

The three-year-old has won three of five overall and is unbeaten from two starts this time, while things haven't exactly panned out in either of those two Sandown triumphs.

He was slow away fresh before over-racing, yet he circled the field and put them away, while last time out, he was bolting in transit and hit the front too soon before rallying late.

Value: 10. Prinzerro. Despite failing on what appeared to be a Guineas path last spring, he was consistent over sprint trips prior to that and the recent return was encouraging.

Following two flops in September and October, connections made the decision to geld Prinzerro and there was a strong push for him at long odds when resuming on June 8.

The money looked spot on, as he was travelling into it quite well before his fitness gave out late and there's improvement to come in what's arguably an easier race.
       

Verdict

Our Flemington tips for Saturday, June 22 are:

Best Bet1: Boga Legend Each Way @11/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Aberfeldie Boy To Win @4/1 at betfair - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Windstorm To Win @11/2 at Neds - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Oak Hill To Win @11/2 at Chasebet - 1 Unit
Boga Legend
Each Way
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Aberfeldie Boy
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Windstorm
To Win
@11/2 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 22 Jun 2024

Flemington - June 22