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Flemington Betting Tips for October 1, 2022 - Sky is the limit for grey gelding

justin-darcy
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Last updated: 30 Sep 2022
Justin Darcy 30 Sep 2022
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  • Flemington hosts nine races on Saturday
  • The track is currently a Good 4
  • Our race-by-race preview for October 1 is included below
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Flemington Betting Tips
Visinari (outside) runs as our best bet of the day at Flemington. (Getty)

Flemington hosts a nine race program on October 1, 2022 and our free betting tips and best bets are available.

  • Flemington Tips for October 1
  • Race 1 - 12.40pm Darley Maribyrnong Trial Stakes Tips
  • Race 2 - 1.15pm Katherine Bourke Paris Lane Stakes Tips
  • Race 3 - 1.50pm TAB Edward Manifold Stakes Tips
  • Race 4 - 2.25pm Furphy Rose of Kingston Stakes Tips
  • Race 5 - 3.05pm HQ Tavern Danehill Stakes Tips
  • Race 6 - 3.45pm The Lexus Bart Cummings Tips
  • Race 7 - 4.25pm TAB Turnbull Stakes Tips
  • Race 8 - 5.05pm Gilgai Stakes Tips
  • Race 9 - 5.40pm ABC Bullion Super Impose Stakes Tips
  • Flemington FAQs

Our Flemington best bets are provided by expert form analysts and tipsters, and a preview of Saturday's racing is below.


Flemington Tips for October 1


Race 1 - 12.40pm Darley Maribyrnong Trial Stakes Tips


Selections: 4,2,10,9.

Never thought that I would be keen on a first starter in the first Victorian two-year-old race of the season, but for some reason I am. 4. MOUNT OLYMPUS was given a few slaps down the shoulder to win his last trial down the Flemington straight, but what he showed was a change of gears which I like from these young horses. Although the second horse was untouched, he showed that he has gears and at the price, that looks the play.

2. Beluga Express was another nice trialler. I liked his first jumpout better than the latest down the straight, but nonetheless just needs some cover and he will run well.

10. Charm Stone looked smart behind Mount Olympus, untouched but the question is whether there are actually gears when the go-button is pressed.

9. Aditi took a gap nicely to beat Beluga Express in his only jumpout, but did feel the second horse trialled better.

Race 2 - 1.15pm Katherine Bourke Paris Lane Stakes Tips


Selections: 7,5,9,10.

7. VISINARI is a star on the rise, going through the grades quickly last prep to cap it off with a narrow second placing to subsequent Group One place getter Tuvalu. He has come back with two trials under the belt, which should see him fit enough to beat the likes of The Garden who do hold that race fitness edge over him. Expecting class to rise to the fore here.

5. Poland is a strong each-way chance here, now stepping up to 1400m where he boasts a handy record. Both career wins have come over this trip.

9. The Garden will be on the pace and making it hard work for the favourite. I am expecting the market to come for him with that fitness edge and great win last start when leading all the way.

10. I Am Bene was probably outclassed last start, but the question still remains as to whether she runs a strong seven furlongs.

Visinari - $2.15Flemington Race TwoBET HERE
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Race 3 - 1.50pm TAB Edward Manifold Stakes Tips


Selections: 1,11,2,12.

1. SHE'S LICKETYSPLIT has to be the horse to beat, given she was so good off a fast tempo last start in the Thousand Guineas Prelude, proving the bravest of those on the pace. She gets the blinkers on for the first time, stepping up to the mile to add that little bit of sharpness, so I would not be shocked to see them try and save that turn of foot by riding her a little quieter. Versatile and just needs that bit more luck than last start to feature.

11. Starianne is the horse I want to be with going forward and will be a saver bet in this race. She was very good last start at Sale when charging from the back to just miss one who kicked up inside her. Looks an Oaks type but will be strong here.

2. Sumatra was suited with that fast tempo last start in the Thousand Guineas Prelude, and only beat our top selection by one-length. Looks at least a miler though.

12. As Time Goes By closed off like a horse looking for the mile last start and she gets that today. Could get further.

She'slicketysplit - $3.00Flemington Race ThreeBET HERE
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Race 4 - 2.25pm Furphy Rose of Kingston Stakes Tips


Selections: 13,1,11,5.

13. FORTUNATE KISS could be the value play here, now third-up into this prep and having next to no luck in a strong form race last start. There is little speed in this race and from barrier four, she is going to get a dreamy run behind Pride Of Jenni and this girl should be stronger than her at the end of this race. Most of the main chances in the market either need luck from the gate or will get back in a sit and sprint, whereas this girl has the tactical advantage.

1. Yearning probably just needs luck to win this, flashing home last start to just miss Kissonallforcheeks. Barrier one is a cause for concern but she is a Thousand Guineas winner and is arguably the best horse in the field.

11. Pride Of Jenni will be around the mark given that she should lead and control this under her own steam, but I do expect a couple of the stakes performers to gather her in late.

5. Argentia can sprint well fresh but I am a little worried about her jumpouts which were not eye-catching by any means.

Fortunate Kiss - $13.00Flemington Race FourBET HERE
New customers only. 18+ T&Cs and wagering requirements apply.

Race 5 - 3.05pm HQ Tavern Danehill Stakes Tips


Selections: 3,5,6,8.

3. GIGA KICK has to be the benchmark in this given that he is unbeaten and is already a straight track winner. He was too strong first-up in the Vain Stakes for Alpha One and just seems to have a will to win, even when a race looks out of reach as it did last start. The wide draw is ideal down the straight where he can be saved for one big burst and a Mornington jumpout win in between starts will have him ready to fire once again.

5. Buenos Noches was not first past the post last start, but clearly should have been after winning the race on protest. He is armed with a big turn of speed and the wide gate suits perfectly.

6. Spacewalk looked to have put the race to bed last start, but was still very green in the process, losing the race on protest to our second selection. Needs to fix his manners before he can be trusted.

8. Doull is certainly a forgive run from last start when in the worst ground, but the jury is now out and this run decides whether he is top tier or not.

Giga Kick - $2.50Flemington Race FiveBET HERE
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Race 6 - 3.45pm The Lexus Bart Cummings Tips


Selections: 6,10,2,8.

6. SAN HUBERTO is well and truly overlooked in this market. His second-up record reads incredibly well, and although comes off a very long spell, he help his own nicely behind Makram over 1700m last start. Beaten just over four-lengths, he was the best of the on-pacers and I thought the current price in the market was well over what his true price should be. Beaten just over one-length in an Australian Cup when second-up last year.

10. Interpretation is the horse who seems to have the touch of timing about him. He was super in his first-up run back in July, then heavily backed last time but was in need of the run. Today is d-day.

2. Vow And Declare has not won since his 2019 Melbourne Cup triumph, but he ran a great race second-up behind High Emocean last start. Gets his chance third-up today if he still wants it.

8. Lunar Flare is a great 2500m mare and holds a super strong third-up record of five starts for three wins.

Race 7 - 4.25pm TAB Turnbull Stakes Tips


Selections: 12,8,2,1.

12. GOLD TRIP is the horse to beat for mine given he is the WFA quality horse in the race who did run very well last start in the Naturalism, but could not get past a couple who carries less weight. Fitter off of last start's run, this race no doubt would have been a target for connections. In a set weights race, he just looks the winner. Flemington suits and we find out today whether he really is a superstar or not. 

8. Inspirational Girl is on-route to the Caulfield Cup so today is not where she peaks, but she is one of only three horses that are Group One class at their best. She has a turn of foot and although being trained for longer this time, she is a class act nonetheless and is probably overs in this.

2. Duais of the autumn wins this by panels, but a delay to her first run back for the prep seemed to hamper her a little. Third-up is when we see her true form generally, but jury is out for me as to whether she is back to that brilliant best.

1. Knight's Order has developed into a very consistent horse and although wants further given he is a Sydney Cup winner, he will lead this and prove the horse that they need to catch.

Race 8 - 5.05pm Gilgai Stakes Tips


Selections: 9,13,12,6.

9. ZOUTORI is the one that appeals on an each-way basis, looking for his second win in the event. He looked to be building his momentum with 300m left to run after easing over heels, but hampered badly, losing that sprint that we know he has. A one-time Newmarket Handicap winner, he has been in the money six of nine-times when second-up in the past and is the improver out of the Bobbie Lewis last start.

13. Swats That I thought had her chance last start but just did not want to put the top two away in the Bobbie Lewis. No doubt is a class act, but I was disappointed that job wasn't done last start.

12. It'sourtime has produced some big performances across his career and deserves a win at this level. Simply beaten by a better horse in Ingratiating first-up which is good enough form to compete well here.

6. Roch 'n' Horse looked the winner in the Bobbie Lewis last start but was beaten by Baller. She had every chance and just feel that there is not heaps of improvement in her.

Zoutori - $13.00Flemington Race EightBET HERE
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Race 9 - 5.40pm ABC Bullion Super Impose Stakes Tips


Selections: 11,4,8,1

11. CADAZIO is the horse I am sticking with here with a Derby still looking within grasp. I thought he was a touch flat over 1400m in the Exford Plate last start, but was the horse who looked as if he had one pace. That's a sign of a horse wanting ground and he now gets that second-up to 1800m. Jamie Kah sticks with him which is a positive, so expect a much more competitive effort today.

4. Artzino dug in deep to beat a subsequent winner last start and is another who looks a proper stayer. By a Derby winner in Tarzino, he looks one of the exciting prospects in this race.

8. Dream Hour closed off like a smart horse at Sale last start, beating home Starianne who we feel features in the Edward Manifold. If she can run well there, that enhances his chances in what is a very even field here.

1. Mr Maestro is the horse who I think is already wanting 2500m. He was too strong in the Derby trial last start, but is he sharp enough to beat a couple of these coming up from 1400-1500m?

Cadazio - $8.00Flemington Race NineBET HERE
New customers only. 18+ T&Cs and wagering requirements apply.

Flemington FAQs

What time is the first race at Flemington?

The first race at Flemington jumps at 12.40pm.

Who is the best bet at Flemington?

We are siding with Visinari as the best bet at Flemington.

How can I live stream the Flemington races?

Visit our live streaming hub to see how you can live stream the Flemington races.

Verdict

Visinari & She's Licketysplit will run as our best bets.

Fortunate Kiss will run as our value bet.

Best Bet: Visinari To Win @23/20 at BlueBet - 11 Units
Next Best Bet: She's Licketysplit To Win @2/1 at Neds - 7 Units
Value Bet: Fortunate Kiss Each-Way @12/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Visinari
To Win
@23/20 - 11 Units
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She's Licketysplit
To Win
@2/1 - 7 Units
Take it to the Neds Level
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Fortunate Kiss
Each-Way
@12/1 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 01 Oct 2022

Flemington - October 1