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Eagle Farm Betting Tips for June 1, 2024 - Race-By-Preview for Kingsford-Smith Cup day

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 30 May 2024
Alex Marsh 30 May 2024
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  • Eagle Farm hosts their first leg of the 2024 Brisbane Winter Carnival on June 1
  • Key events include two Group 1 races: Kingsford-Smith Cup and Queensland Derby
  • Nine-race card also features Premier's Cup, Sires' Produce Stakes, and Fred Best Classic
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Eagle Farm Tips for 01.06.2024
Can Hezashocka bounce back in the Premier's Cup? (Getty)
 

Eagle Farm host their first leg of the 2024 Brisbane Winter Carnival on Saturday, with two Group 1's contested on the June 1 meeting.
  • Eagle Farm Tips June 1
  • Race 1 - 11:43AM The Star BM85 Handicap Tips (1600m)
  • Race 2 - 12:18PM HKJC BM78 Handicap Tips (1400m)
  • Race 3 - 12:53PM Living Turf Premier's Cup Tips (2400m)
  • Race 4 - 1:28PM Sky Racing Lord Mayor's Cup Tips (1800m)
  • Race 5 - 2:03PM Aquis Stallions Sires' Produce Stakes Tips (1400m)
  • Race 6 - 2:38PM Mullins Lawyers Fred Best Classic Tips (1400m)
  • Race 7 - 3:13PM Eva Air Kingsford Smith Cup Tips (1300m)
  • Race 8 - 3:52PM Ladbrokes Queensland Derby Tips (2400m)
  • Race 9 - 4:28PM Magic Millions Helen Coughlan Stakes Tips (1200m)

The Kingsford-Smith Cup and Queensland Derby are the headline acts, while the Premier' Cup, Sires' Produce Stakes and Fred Best Classic are some of the strong support events on the nine-race card.

Our race-by-race preview for Saturday is included below.


Eagle Farm Tips June 1


Race 1 - 11:43AM The Star BM85 Handicap Tips (1600m)


Best: 5. Poison Chalice. This Victorian visitor was doing it on potential throughout his second campaign, having won four races that prep despite looking very raw.

The Adelaide visit may have been the making of him at the back-end of spring and following a spell, Poison Chalice was terrific first-up on May 18 when getting warm late over 1200m.

On ability, I think he's got a fair bit on this field, however, 1200m-1600m second-up isn't an easy step and this is his first time racing in the clockwise direction.
Value: 8. Tojaki. We'll know on Saturday if Tojaki runs a mile, as she's hard fit and dropping in grade, while she's completed her last two over 1400m.

The four-year-old didn't let down on a testing Heavy 10 surface at the Sunshine Coast, although it's worth noting that she was fav in that Listed affair.

Her only other try at the trip was at the end of her last prep, where she was again in the money at stakes grade and she won well only two starts back.

Race 2 - 12:18PM HKJC BM78 Handicap Tips (1400m)


Best: 1. Hollywood North. It's a very open race and not a confident one from a punting perspective, albeit Hollywood North could be a forgotten runner.

Off his encouraging fresh display at BM90 level, he'd probably be fav for this BM78, with the son of Vancouver a little plain via his latest outing on May 4.

He appeared to be going nowhere before picking up a little late in restricted room and back in grade, where he's also fitter, he can easily improve here.

Value: 17. Sha Of Gomer. He's been an honest campaigner and especially given he has no winning first-up form, the May 15 ipswich return was a definite pass mark.

The gelding just peaked late on that run with 59.5kg after angling clear at the 200m, where he looked a threat and Sha Of Gomer is now suited up in trip.

From six runs over seven furlongs, he has two wins and four placings, while he has a win and two seconds from three tries over the Eagle Farm 1400m.

Race 3 - 12:53PM Living Turf Premier's Cup Tips (2400m)


Best: 6. Hezashocka. It will be be interesting to see what the betting does late, as there could be some resistance given he has no winning form over 2400m.

Hezashocka had no trouble with a testing 2200m at Newcastle two starts back and in the process, he put a big margin on Goldman (second fav).

He's easily the form runner of the race and the six-year-old is backing up from a decent Doomben Cup effort, where he found trouble before working home in the worst part of the track.

Value: 9. Alegron. This ex-Godolphin runner doesn't look far away from producing for new connections, with Alegron now under the care of Bjorn Baker.

He was in need of the fresh blowout over a mile in the Hawkesbury Cup before stepping to 2000m second-up, where he made good inroads from off the speed.

Alegron recorded three Group 1 placings as a three-year-old and two of those were behind Hitotsu in Derbies, while he has a Soft 7 victory to his name.

Race 4 - 1:28PM Sky Racing Lord Mayor's Cup Tips (1800m)


Best: 15. Shock 'Em Ova. This lightly raced five-year-old is working through the grades and while this is his biggest test to date, he's on an upwards spiral.

Admittedly, he found the best ground when saluting first-up at Caulfield, however, he was only first-up and still bolted in over a trip that's short of his best.

Shock 'Em Ova travelled to Sydney late last prep and performed well, while 1800m second-up on a big Eagle Farm circuit looks ideal for the Victorian.
Value: 14. Territory Express. In a race that was tailormade for Gringotts (winner), the four-year-old was just even when resuming from a freshen-up a fortnight ago.

Territory Express ran like a horse who was five weeks between runs, so there's improvement to come and he's another suited to this bigger circuit.

The wide gate is positive for this galloper, as he prefers dropping out and building momentum, and Jason Collett is at his best when doing the same.

Race 5 - 2:03PM Aquis Stallions Sires' Produce Stakes Tips (1400m)


Best: 7. Can't Recall One. The ratings comfortably point towards Broadsiding, with the last start Champagne Stakes winner seemingly on a JJ Atkins path.

While he's a deserving fav, the Godolphin colt furnished at a mile deeper into his first prep, whereas Can't Recall One looks ready to roll fresh at 1400m.

His two March victories at Eagle Farm were brilliant, which included a last start romp over the track/trip and he's completed three trials ahead of this.

Value: 12. Angel Capital. He was all the rage in the Spirit Of Boom Classic a fortnight ago following an outstanding debut victory at Cranbourne. 

Angel Capital was a little one-paced when the sprint first went on in that May 18 event, although he picked up late and was good through the line.

Given that was his first try in the clockwise direction, he should only improve from that Queensland Debut and he's bred to eat up this extra distance.

Race 6 - 2:38PM Mullins Lawyers Fred Best Classic Tips (1400m)


Best: 17. Stefi Magnetica. On ratings, she looked well up against it against when resuming at WFA level in the Doomben 10,000, but she was terrific in that Group 1.

She was only beaten 1.5-lengths and should've finished closer, as the filly was held-up at key stages before being forced home in the inferior going.

Not much has gone her way of late, however, Stefi Magnetica continues to show up at a good level and in a set weights three-year-old affair, this is superb placement.

Value: 15. Abounding. This local is very honest, with four wins and seven placings from 13 starts, and the only time outside of the top four was first-up this prep.

That April 27 performance was still a brave one, where she covered ground for fifth over an unsuitable trip before stepping up to 1350m second-up.

She was again right there at the finish despite having no favours and fitter now third-up, Abounding draws to do less work from an inside barrier.

Race 7 - 3:13PM Eva Air Kingsford Smith Cup Tips (1300m)


Best: 1. Wish I Win. While has been costly for punters, with the gelding having lost his last four races since taking out the 2023 TJ Smith Stakes, I Wish I Win has still been very competitive.

The son of Savabeel has been beaten by a combined margin of 1.29-lengths from his last four runs, which includes a narrow defeat as fav in the Doomben 10,000 last time out.

Despite having every chance second-up, there's still improvement to come from I Wish I Win and in what's arguably a more suitable race, he's a better price this time around.

Next Best: 11. Magic Time. She's a dual Group 1 winning mare and the daughter of Hellbent recorded the latest of those in the All Aged Stakes, which was on the last day of the Sydney Autumn Carnival.

I felt she was only going fairly ahead of that third-up triumph, although Magic Time is better suited over a little more ground these days and 1300m is ideal on the fresh side.

Magic Time covered ground to win a high pressure 1400m on a Good 3 and she plowed through a testing Heavy 10 at Randwick last start, while she's also tactically versatile.

Value: 7. Osipenko. I'm not sure whether this is his race first-up at WFA level (perhaps a lightweight Stradbroke contender?) however, he's still a forgotten horse going off the early markets.

While he didn't progress as an early four-year-old, the son of Pierro was still strong on return via the Winx Stakes and he placed at Group WFA level third-up over 1600m.

He returns as a gelding and without much to take out of his lead-up trials given the blinkers weren't on, Osipenko has the class to be competitive at a bolters quote.

Race 8 - 3:52PM Ladbrokes Queensland Derby Tips (2400m)


Best: 18. Autumn Angel. Peter Moody is aiming for his third Queensland Derby win and he's in the box-seat to achieve that this year, with the Moody & Coleman yard preparing Autumn Angel.

She took out a strong edition of the Australian Oaks, with the Victorian proving too tough for Group 1 winners Zardozi and Orchestral via her first 2400m attempt.

The Autumn Sun filly has tuned up for this with a second in the Rough Habit Plate on May 18, which was an ideal blowout given she was around five weeks between runs.
Next Best: 2. Warmonger. I thought he'd be a clear second market elect here had he drawn kinder, although at $8+ for a horse who is likely to settle back anyway, he's now a price for that risk.

Warmonger was a very unlucky last start in the South Australian Derby, where the son of War Decree was back from a alley, although Damian Lane still could've gone earlier.

Given he was held-up on return at Pakenham before enjoying a suck run in transit second-up, he did next to no work early in the prep, so there should be enough in reserve.

Value: 8. Sonofdec. It's an unusual lead-up to the Queensland Derby and one that many will oppose given it's a 1700m Midway into a 2400m Group 1, however, Sonofdec clearly has ability.

He was only third-up and at start seven overall in what was an arrogant performance and he has furnished since a Grand Prix flop at Eagle Farm when deep into his first prep.

That previous interstate travel and look at this track will hold him in good stead, while for a talented X-Factor horse who is still progressing, Sonofdec is the pick of the blowouts.

Race 9 - 4:28PM Magic Millions Helen Coughlan Stakes Tips (1200m)


Best: 4. Coeur Volante. I've always had plenty of time for the classy Coeur Volante, who profiles as a genuine lightweight Stradbroke contender in a few weeks.

She's likely to improve off this with that Group 1 in mind, however, the filly came to hand early last prep and she should've won that 1200m event by further.

Blake Shinn felt that she didn't run a strong mile in the Thousand Guineas, so her brilliance will be on display over shorter and talent will just about get her home here.

Value: 7. Essonne. If you take out the two Melbourne runs from last spring, then her form over the last 12 months has been decent and most of it has been in QLD.

A 1400m stakes winner in May 2023, Essonne has been stakes placed twice since then, which includes a second over the 1300m at Eagle Farm.

Six furlongs seems short going off those strong runs, although she was sharp over 1000m as a youngster and the mare can rattle of a big finish when right.
           

Verdict

Our best & value bets for Saturday's Eagle Farm card are:

Best Bet1: Stefi Magnetica To Win @5/2 at bet365 Australia - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Poison Chalice To Win @40/17 at Boombet - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Coeur Volante To Win @9/2 at betM - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Can't Recall One Each Way @91/5 at Boombet - 1 Unit
Stefi Magnetica
To Win
@5/2 - 4 Units
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Poison Chalice
To Win
@40/17 - 3 Units
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Can't Recall One
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