NEWCASTLE JOCKEY CLUB MAIDEN PLATE Tips (Race 3)
Dubbo Best Bet - Race 3 No. 9 Camp Cove
The wet track is admittedly somewhat of an unknown but otherwise this does look the perfect chance for this filly to break her Maiden in what is a very thin line up.
While she will be much better suited this weaker NSW Country circuit, Camp Cove wasn't exactly a slouch when campaigning in Victoria, recording five placings for the Matt Cumani yard and competing against much stronger opposition to what she faces here.
Now under the care of Kody Nestor, the daughter of Toronado was unwanted in the betting when resuming for the new yard but she found the line well over 1300m (her prior run was over 2100m), with the step up to a mile on Friday being a big tick.
BERRYMAN OPTICAL LOCAL LENS SERVICES CLASS 3 HANDICAP Tips (Race 5)
Dubbo Next Best Bet - Race 5 No. 8 Owhata Crumpet
Hard fit and now finally drawing a gate at her fifth start this preparation, this mare gets her chance from a much more favourable map compared to her last two outings where she's still managed to hit the line.
A galloper that always takes a run or two to hit her straps, Owhata Crumpet has forced to retreat under Reece Jones via those most recent efforts given the speed that has been drawn inside of them, costing her an early position each time.
Dropping to 55kg for a race that isn't necessarily harder, this four-year-old was able to record back-to-back victories late last year when jumping from inside draws and defeated Rumpshaker in the last of those, a galloper rated well above anything n this field.
WESTERN CANCER CENTRE FOUNDATION BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP Tips (Race 8)
Dubbo Value Bet - Race 8 No. 1 Slatey Bay
Although I think the favourite is pretty well placed to win again, if Toulon Factor is going to be vulnerable on what is going to be a testing surface, then this gelding looks the most likely chance of causing an upset.
A winner of five races with the last two of those coming at 66 level, Slatey Bay is better than Benchmark 58 grade hence the original mark of 64.5kg, with connections making the right decision to stick with 4kg claimer Nicholas Hyde, who was aboard at Mudgee.
While nothing went right on that occasion after they covered early ground, I don't think this five-year-old quite runs out a strong 2000m irrespective but back to a mile here, he's well placed in what will be suitable conditions under foot.