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Caulfield Betting Tips for December 2, 2023 - Race-By-Race preview for Zipping Classic day

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 30 Nov 2023
Alex Marsh 30 Nov 2023
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  • Get our tips and best bets for the Caulfield Races
  • They host the Melbourne metro meeting on December 2
  • The track is a Good 4, but there's a chance of downgrades
  • Our race-by-race preview for Saturday is included below
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Caulfield Tips for 02.12.2023
Eight stakes races feature on Caulfileld's Spring Finale program. (Getty)
 

Caulfield hosts a ten-race program on December 2 and our free betting tips and best bets are available.
  • Caulfield Tips December 2
  • Race 1 - 12:10PM Ive Merson Cooper Stakes Tips (1000m)
  • Race 2 - 12:40PM Become An Mrc Member Handicap Tips (1800m)
  • Race 3 - 1:10PM Whispering Angel Handicap Tips (2400m)
  • Race 4 - 1:45PM Mercedes-Benz Twilight Glow Stakes Tips (1400m)
  • Race 5 - 2:20PM Lamaro's Hotel Eclipse Stakes Tips (1800m)
  • Race 6 - 3:00PM Kevin Heffernan Stakes Tips (1400m)
  • Race 7 - 3:40PM Neds Sandown Guineas Tips (1600m)
  • Race 8 - 4:20PM Whispering Angel Zipping Classic Tips (2400m)
  • Race 9 - 5:00PM Tile Importer Summoned Stakes Tips (1600m)
  • Race 10 - 5:40PM Premier Signs Doveton Stakes Tips (1200m)

Our Caulfield best bets are provided by expert form analysts and tipsters, while a preview of Saturday's meeting is included below.


Caulfield Tips December 2


Race 1 - 12:10PM Ive Merson Cooper Stakes Tips (1000m)


Best: 6. Flattered. This filly is the first foal from the handy mare Zizziz, who was also prepared by Patrick Payne and Zizziz came to hand straight away when winning her first few starts as a two-year-old.

There's not much of Flattered, but she does have an engine from what we've seen at the jumpouts, with the filly particularly impressive in her first hit-out.

She settled back via that Tatura workout and despite encountering traffic, Flattered showed professionalism beyond her years when taking a tight gap to score.

Value: 3. Centre Square. He's one of four runners in this year's Merson Cooper who arrives with race experience, having contested the Maribyrnong trial up the Flemington straight on October 7.

The son of Blue Point was cruising into that affair before tiring late and with an eight-week let-up following that debut, he's since won a Cranbourne jump-out.

Mark Zahra stays aboard the Maher & Eustace-trained colt and arriving fresh, but with an early spring platform, he's clearly open to improvement at start two.

Race 2 - 12:40PM Become An Mrc Member Handicap Tips (1800m)


Best: 7. Riverina Cyclone. It's a hard race to be confident in from a punting perspective, but coming well back in class from a Listed affair to a BM70 here fourth-up, it's a nice setup for Riverina Cyclone.

While she was ultimately outclassed behind Forgot You and co via that Cup Day appearance, the mare stuck on okay and she had arrived to that off a BM78 placing.

The 2kg claim of Celine Gaudray has her well in with 57.5kg and with an 1800m run under the belt, she should be thereabouts with even luck from gate nine.

Value: Mercian Hymn. With a very low rating of 65, Mercian Hymn should be able to pick a few races off over the summer, with this OTI import likely to prosper over more ground once he gets into the prep.

1800m is a nice starting point for the six-year-old, who was heavily backed on Australian debut via a 1600m Synthetic event, where he made ground for third.

As a European in his second prep Down Under, he should furnish more now he's acclimatized and his solid jumpouts suggest that he's forward enough fresh.

Race 3 - 1:10PM Whispering Angel Handicap Tips (2400m)


Best: 10. Ruling. It's a competitive staying race, with most of this BM84 field capable, however, many are well exposed and this Maher & Eustace-trained galloper could be the most progressive runner here.

A lightly raced gelding who was stakes placed in Europe at start three, Ruling did enough first-up off a 14-month break when making his Australian debut at Benalla.

He was travelling well back in the field, but continued to lay in under an apprentice, so a strong left-handed whip rider in John Allen going on could make a big difference.
Value: 1. Maserartie Bay. He has been mixing his form in 2023, having been off the scene for nearly a year, but his rating is starting to drop to a manageable level and he's now easier to place as a result.

Freshened after a Mornington flop on September 30, Maserartie Bay put in a much-improved effort on return at Flemington and he's down in grade off that.

2400m is his pet trip, so the quick distance rise is a positive and without many other speed influences on paper, he should be able to take up the running.

Race 4 - 1:45PM Mercedes-Benz Twilight Glow Stakes Tips (1400m)


Best: 3. Miraval Rose. Spelled after a debut second in May, Miraval Rose wasted no time when breaking through fresh at Kyneton, where the three-year-old recorded an arrogant win as an odds-on fav.

She easily disposed of Extremely Rowdy in that first-up performance and that alone seems a decent enough reference, as that rival is on the second line of betting here.

Miraval Rose just missed a fortnight ago as a well-supported market elect, while being by Grunt and out of a Zabeel mare, she should eat up the extra furlong third-up.

Value: 10. Onnamusha. The outsider of the field hasn't done a whole lot wrong in three outings and in a fast-run 1200m first-up, she was just left flat-footed vs a quinella who had a better turn-of-foot.

That seems a decent enough lead-up for 1400m and while this is a big rise in grade, she did finish off nicely for third on debut in a hot race at Bendigo in June.

A very handy pair in Outback Miss and Nadal filled the quinella of that winter maiden and there's a lot of improvement to come being only start four in her second prep.

Race 5 - 2:20PM Lamaro's Hotel Eclipse Stakes Tips (1800m)


Best: 1. Just Folk. New connections forked out plenty to secure this gelding via the Inglis Online Sale in July, but a victory here fourth-up in the Eclipse Stakes will see them recoup all of the $199,000 purchase price.

Just Folk has already accrued 90k in three runs for trainer Gavin Bedggood and the seven-year-old backs up from a very brave Cranbourne Cup run last Saturday.

He was still there late for third in a race set up for swoopers and his chances this week mainly lie with the weather forecast, as Just Folk does relish wet ground.

Value: 4. Junipal. He broke a winning drought of nearly three years when taking out the Seymour Cup last start and Junipal arrived to that event off a freshen-up, so they've opted for a similar pattern here.

You often see these older drought breakers put a few together once they rediscover that winning touch and with a good tempo predicted, this sets up favourably.

As a galloper who did lump some bigger imposts to success in decent handicaps as a younger horse, he appears well in here carrying 3kg less than last start

Race 6 - 3:00PM Kevin Heffernan Stakes Tips (1400m)


Best: 2. Vilana. Fourth-up and dropping back to a WFA Group 3 after a Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes attempt, Vilana does appeal as one of the strongest winning hopes on the Spring Finale meeting.

Vilana was just fair when resuming in the Sydney Stakes and then with topweight of 59kg, the Godolphin entire was brave over the Flemington 1400m second-up.

Although he wouldn't have threatened the winner, Vilana did find trouble over the final 150m last start, while any rain around will only help his chances here.
Value: 3. King Magnus. It hasn't quite worked out for this veteran following a decent winter prep, with King Magnus sent for a spell despite being freshened up for Moonee Valley tilt on August 26.

He then returned with a solid performance on November 4, where his fitness gave out late and then a bruised heel forced them out of a Cranbourne Cup bid.

The eight-year-old has a terrific record over the Caulfield 1400m and while he handles all surfaces, King Magnus has always been more effective on softer ground.

Race 7 - 3:40PM Neds Sandown Guineas Tips (1600m)


Best: 1. Arkansaw Kid. The main query going into his last-start attempt was running out 1400m and although Arkansaw Kid couldn't salute there as a drifting fav, he appeared to see out seven furlongs.

On a November 19 program that favoured those on-speed/rails, this colt was almost exactly where you didn't want to be, as he was forced to circle the field after settling in the back half early.

You only need to look at the runs afforded to first, second and fourth home in that Group 3 to see how big his performance was in third, while wet ground won't faze him.

Value: 8. Vivy Air. If it's a testing mile on a track with ideally less bias, then this Archie Alexander-trained filly will be one of the strongest late, while a more forgiving surface than the Good 3 last time also a tick.

Following a return win in a strong three-year-old BM64 at Seymour, Vivy Air was the best chaser from the rear of the field when second to the smart Coeur Volante here on October 21.

She was then one of many who were unsuited a fortnight ago, although the daughter of Helbent did get warm late when finding clear room and she was only third-up in that outing.

Race 8 - 4:20PM Whispering Angel Zipping Classic Tips (2400m)


Best: 10. Muramasa. He's unbeaten from three starts since a throat and gelding operation, with the Busuttin & Young-trained galloper ticking another box in the Queen Elizabeth when stretching out to 2600m.

While this is another challenge at the WFA level, Muramasa is a progressive galloper, being a four-year-old in only his third prep and he's fourth-up in the Zipping Classic, so he can at least hold hls form.

His spring campaign has been managed very well, with the three-week between run pattern working perfectly and off a similar set-up on Saturday, Muramasa can make it four on the trot

Value: 1. Vow And Declare. A few of the more brilliant threats are out of the race and it has changed the complexion of the Zipping Classic, with Huetor and Shock 'Em Ova both key scratching's.

Especially without Huetor, who is a proven Group 1 WFA performer, that leaves Vow And Declare as the class runner here and he won this last year after contesting the Melbourne Cup.

If anything, the veteran is arguably going a little better this time around and while he's a past Melbourne Cup winner, he seems more comfortable over 2000m-2400m these days.

Race 9 - 5:00PM Tile Importer Summoned Stakes Tips (1600m)


Best: 3. Thalassophile. This Chris Waller-trained mare has been racing well all campaign without winning and with blinkers on for this drop back to 1600m, I'm willing to give her another chance on Saturday.

Thalassophile does run 2000m, however, I feel a mile suits her a little better and Waller has had plenty of success when dropping a fit runner back from ten furlongs.

She was luckless third-up at The Valley when held up at key stages and the five-year-old was then back in a leader's race at Flemington, so she's due for a change of fortune.
Value: 2. Zennzella. She wasn't able to bounce back from a VRC Oaks prep last year and as a result off two big defeats in February and then again in April, the decision was made to give her a long break.

Zennzella is Magic Millions eligible and bringing in a middle-distance type now suggests that may be the target, but going straight to 1600m shows some intent fresh.

Given her two failures early in the year, she's somewhat at a crossroads, but her jumpouts have been encouraging and the Mark Zahra engagement is worth respecting.

Race 10 - 5:40PM Premier Signs Doveton Stakes Tips (1200m)


Best: 4. Showmanship. It's a deep Listed affair to round out Zipping Classic day and, hopefully, we've made some money by now, as this looks like an absolute lottery of a race to try and get out on.

On talent, you could easily have Showmanship on top here and while he's had many lifetimes of setbacks, this Bob Peters runner has produced fresh off long breaks.

Those efforts include a Wangoom third on a Heavy 10 when first-up off a 20-month absence last year, while he has saluted fresh over this trip off an 11-month break.

Value: 1. Lauda Sion. The most interesting runner here by far is this Japanese Group 1 winner, who is owned by Yulong Investments and the entire is set to make his Australian debut on Saturday.

Now under the care of Chris Waller, Lauda Sion has completed three jumpouts ahead of this resumption and he has improved with each of those spring workouts.

According to a stable report this week, he has taken a lot of work to get fit and that's despite racing earlier this year, so the market could be our best guide.
            

Verdict

Our best & value bets for Saturday's Zipping Classic meeting are:

Best Bet1: Vilana To Win @13/10 at bet365 Australia - 5 Units
Best Bet2: Thalassophile To Win @4/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Muramasa To Win @4/1 at Bet Right - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Ruling Each Way @15/2 at Neds - 1 Unit
Vilana
To Win
@13/10 - 5 Units
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Thalassophile
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Muramasa
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Ruling
Each Way
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Betting Slip | 02 Dec 2023

Caulfield - December 2