BERNARD COUCH MEMORIAL HANDICAP Tips (Race 4)
Belmont Next Best Bet - Race 4 No. 1 Aberdeen Queen
Prepared by master trainer Lindsey Smith, Aberdeen Queen was desperately unlucky at Group Three level last campaign and while the favours didn't come on May 22 and June 12 this time in, the June 26 defeat can simply be put down to a poor ride.
Stepping up in grade on via her most recent attempt on July 17, the five-year-old couldn't threaten after getting back in a leader dominated affair, but the form has been franked from that with The Spruiker and Kelly's Callisto filling the quinella again last Saturday.
She's a proven weight carrier, so I'm not concerned with the 59kg impost for what is a suitable step back to the mile on Saturday and with William Pike taking the reins, this looks very winnable against a favourite that is coming from a Provincial Class 3.
AMELIA PARK HANDICAP Tips (Race 6)
Belmont Best Bet - Race 6 No. 3 Notorious One
This gelding isn't exactly a straight forward galloper, however, if the Gangemi yard can iron out those flaws, he could well be Stakes class runner in time and with almost everything going wrong second-up, has still managed to get home strongly without ever balancing up.
Along with a 2kg weight swing on equal favourite Giant Leap from that July 24 clash, Notorious One gets Clint Johnston-Porter back aboard, a hoop he settled much better for first-up where he was able to take gaps in the run home before sprinting sharply late to score.
A half-brother to Group Three winner She's Clean, the wide gate this Saturday gives them so many more options with this quirky, but clearly very talented gelding and with a repeat of the July 10 manners, he's very well placed to bounce back here.
SEPPELT WINES HANDICAP Tips (Race 7)
Belmont Value Bet - Race 7 No. 11 Lonehand Larry
At 35.13, this lightly raced four-year-old has recorded easily the fastest last 600m when resuming at five furlongs off a freshen-up on July 10 and overall, it was one of fastest closing splits of that Saturday program.
Lonehand Larry balanced up late as the pick of the closers behind Olga Luisa, who was then competitive in a much stronger Saturday race and this gelding held off genuine city class opposition in the process, including Vane Tempest (won five races this year).
With 59kg second-up on a heavy track, he just seemed a little one-paced when the sprint first went on before eventually flattening out very late and with the blinkers on as well drawing a gate now for Lucy Warwick, he's worth another chance at the price.
CONGRATULATIONS ON YOUR CAREER PETER HALL HANDICAP Tips (Race 9)
Belmont Value Bet - Race 9 No. 14 Lollipop Lane
When right, this mare can stay longer than an unwelcome mother-in-law and now third-up with two staying efforts under belt this winter, she's open to improvement, especially now plummeting in the weights to 51kg after the Keshaw Dhurun claim.
He was also aboard via the first-up assignment for Lollipop Lane who somewhat unconventionally resumed at 2100m on July 14 and was well backed late ($14-$7), but after working early to take up the running, went a little too hard to sustain the gallop late.
The latest outing was quite a bizarre run when caught wide and seemingly never travelling at any stage, but then picked up again late to grab fourth, so that may well have the second-up blowout needed for this where she should land straight on the speed from gate one.