JANE CARR 50TH BIRTHDAY HANDICAP Tips (Race 3)
Belmont Best Bet - Race 3 No. 1 Aberdeen Queen
This four-year-old is clearly the class galloper in this line-up and although has to lump 60.5kg due to this drop in grade, she's a proven weight career while jumping from barrier three on Saturday, she finally draws a gate.
Trained by Lindsey Smith who is striking at better than 21% at Belmont over the last 12 months, Aberdeen Queen was desperately unlucky at Group Three level last campaign and while that was over 1800m, it as an example of her ability.
She was the only runner in her May 22 event to break 34 seconds for the last 600m (33.97) and on June 12 when getting to the mile, was completely unsuited when off the speed and wide here in a slowly run race.
AMELIA PARK HANDICAP Tips (Race 5)
Belmont Value Bet - Race 5 No. 3 Ambiente
You won't miss the strapping Ambiente in the run, a big and striking son of Trade Fair that has had plenty of problems over the journey, but when right, he's a more than handy sprinter and there's a few signs that he could produce fresh.
Returning off a long spell early last spring where he delivered two poor efforts, it's worth noting that the dreaded bar plates have now been removed from this seven-year-old, so they've got his feet right at present which is a huge positive.
In another big tick, William Pike sticks after two trial wins ahead of his return with 'The Wizard' aboard for both of those heats and drawing perfectly in gate three, this is the most appealing runner in the field if we're looking away from the obvious.
PENINSULA DINING ROOM HANDICAP Tips (Race 6)
Belmont Next Best Bet - Race 6 No. 13 Devoted Star
In a race that was otherwise dominated by the on-speed runners on May 29 , this lightly raced Bob Peters-owned mare has come from last, sustaining a wide run to go within a stride of grabbing Comes A Time over 1000m.
That winner was hard fit sprinter that was fourth-up and on the seven-day turnaround while Devoted Star followed that with a 1200m performance on June 12 and although visually she was poor, it was a leader dominated affair and she has no second-up form.
Stripping fitter again now third-up from a decent spell, they've now put the blinkers on the daughter of Al Maher who is suited to 1300m and from a soft draw along with that key gear change, I'm prepared to give her a chance to bounce back.
FURPHY HANDICAP Tips (Race 9)
Belmont Roughie - Race 9 No. 2 Bad Wolf
By So You Think and out of a daughter to a WA Oaks winner in Superior Star, Bad Wolf was certainly no slouch when at his top in Victoria with his highlights being two victories over the seven furlongs at Flemington.
He was beating good city class gallopers that includes the likes of Heptagon and Sirius Suspect in that period and when we specked him last winter at Belmont, he was three-wide throughout on a good speed so was entitled to tire.
This gelding recorded two victories later that spring with the first of those coming in this grade which he drops to third-up now, having gone 1000m to 1600m second-up when making good ground late for fourth behind Naughty By Nature on June 12.