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Ballina Betting Tips for April 30, 2025 - Denuto to break maiden
- Best Bet: Denuto in Race 2, with improved performance prospects
- Next Best: Guarded Optimist in Race 4, expected positive ride
- Market Mover: Mallee Boy Express in Race 6, promising recent form
Expired
Ballina hosts a seven race meeting on Wednesday. (Getty)
Ballina Tips April 30
- Ballina Tips April 30
- Best Bet:
- Next Best:
- Market Mover:
- Stats Say:
Best Bet:
Race 2 No. 4 Denuto
Kris Lees’ gelding demonstrated ability when delivering a fourth-place finish over 1250m at Newcastle on debut in February.
The pick was beaten just over three-and-a-half-lengths when racing on a sound surface that day and he took a step forward to finish runner-up at Grafton subsequently.
The three-year-old appeared to appreciate the wet track when finishing close up on a soft 5 surface on that occasion.
A wide draw was against the selection in that event and jumping from an inside barrier is a positive here.
While the son of So You Think failed to shine on the polytrack at Sunshine Coast last time he should appreciate the return to turf here.
The gelding represents a stable who can boast a 25% strike-rate (9/36) at this venue and he looks capable of improving on that by recording his first win.
Next Best:
Race 4 No. 2 Guarded Optimist
While untested on the forecast heavy 10 going the gelding has shown a liking for soft tracks in the past including when placing second over 1800m at Eagle Farm last month.
The New Zealand-bred was beaten a length over 1800m when contesting a metro Class 1 event on that occasion prior to disappointing when eighth at Gold Coast subsequently.
The pick didn’t appear to appreciate being ridden with restraint when beaten over ten lengths that day and expect a more positive ride in this contest.
Paul Shailer’s representative boasts a good barrier here and he is expected to have no issues with the step up in distance he gets here.
Dylan Turner placed second on the gelding at Gold Coast three starts back and the pair look up to going one better here.
Market Mover:
Race 6 No. 9 Mallee Boy Express
The eight-year-old recorded a number of solid efforts last prep including back-to-back second place finishes at Bowraville and Kempsey earlier this season.
The son of Eurozone resumed with a two-length defeat when finishing seventh in a 1000m Benchmark 58 handicap at Grafton last month.
The gelding took a step forward when switched to a wet track and stepped up to 1210m finishing runner-up in a Benchmark 50 handicap at Port Macquarie subsequently.
Donna Grizedale’s representative gets in off a low weight here and he's now priced at $7 with Neds
Stats Say:
Trainer Matthew Dunn does well at this venue with the handler boasting a 32% strike-rate (8/25) with his runners here this season.
While he saddles five runners on the card his runners are of particular interest when partnered by apprentice Jett Newman.
Newman has ridden eight winners from 27 rides for a near 30% strike-rate for the handler this campaign and he has three rides for Dunn in the third, fifth and seventh races on the card.
Dunn is double-handed in the finale while he also saddles Guru Class, the mount of Andrew Mallyon in the fifth.
Verdict
Our Ballina selections for Wednesday, April 30 are:
Denuto
To Win
$3.35 - 2 Units
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Guarded Optimist
To Win
$2.00 - 2 Units
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