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Winx Stakes Runner-By-Runner Preview

  • The Winx Stakes is the first Australian Group One for the new season
  • A big & competitive field has been assembled for the Randwick Saturday feature
  • We analyse the chances of each runner in the Winx Stakes
  • Betting Suggestions & Staking Plan provided
Winx Stakes runner-by-runner guide
Can Master of Wine resume with a group one victory in the 2020 Winx Stakes? (Getty)
The first group one for the Australian season will be held at Royal Randwick this Saturday with the running of the Group One Winx Stakes.

A strong line-up has been assembled and we go through the chances of each runner ahead of the $500,000 feature.
SPEEDMAP:

Both Dreamforce and Quackerjack appear the likely two to roll forward from their wide gates and via for the early lead.

The option is also there for Con Te Partiro to make use of an inside alley, however, jockey Tim Clark can elect to take a trail and let the above two do the work.

Expect Jay Ford to use barrier one early to potentially find the box-seat with The Bostonian with Imaging perhaps being forced to roll forward early from his tricky gate.

From barrier five and up to 1400m, Flit should be able to settle in the first handful from a kind draw under Glyn Schofield.

RUNNER-BY-RUNNER PREVIEW:

1. Dreamforce (16) @ $7.00 via Unibet Australia - J: B.Avdulla. T: J.Thompson.

Why he can win: Has taken the next step over the last few years with his highlight being a weight-for-age Group One victory via the George Ryder Stakes in the autumn. Proven fresh galloper that makes his own luck on speed and is a five-time winner at Randwick.

Why he can't win: Has drawn 16 and although there's not a heap of natural leaders in the race, he'll still be working early. Did trial much stronger prior to his autumn return and isn't as effective on a Soft 6 or worse. How much upside is left now as an eight-year-old?

2. The Bostonian (1) @ $7.50 via Neds - J: J.Ford. T: T.Pike

Why he can win: Superb fresh record which includes a group one victory via the Canterbury Stakes last time in. Only defeat in seven first-up attempts was a luckless Moir Stakes performance in 2019 which was over 1000 metres, a trip that's too short. Maps well and handles any conditions.

Why he can't win: There's perhaps a question mark on the overall depth of the fields he's beaten in Australia and the inside was a no-go zone last week at Randwick. Track pattern in that regard is crucial.

3. Avilius (13) @ $31.00 via Palmerbet - J: R.Dolan. T: J.Cummings.

Why he can win: It wasn't long ago that he was considered one of the best gallopers in Australia. Elite record in Sydney, relishes wet going and it was only back in February where he went around as a $5 chance in the Group One CF Orr Stakes first-up.

Why he can't win: Although still honest, was clearly well below his best throughout the autumn where his classic closing burst wasn't to be seen. Isn't getting any younger, hasn't won below a mile and his August 14 trial leading into this was plain.

4. Fierce Impact (4) @ $16.00 via Sportsbet - J: J.Collett. T: M.Smith

Why he can win: Super honest competitor who strung together back-to-back group one victories over the 2019 Melbourne Spring Carnival and was thereabouts throughout the 2020 autumn. A dual Randwick winner that draws for a soft run under Jason Collett.

Why he can't win: Although he's still been competitive, Fierce Impact has continually come up short at weight-for-age level. His two trials leading into this were only fair where he did appear more dour as a now seven-year-old.

5. Kolding (18) @ $51.00 via Bet365 - J: G.Boss. T: C.Waller

Why he can win: Off his spring 2019 form which saw him win an Epsom at Randwick before victory in the Golden Eagle, he'd be at least a quarter of his current price in the 2020 Winx Stakes. Grand final hoop Glen Boss is back on and there wasn't much to fault with his last trial.

Why he can't win: Without sugar coating it, he was awful in the autumn and was given many chances to redeem himself but still never improved. Have to take on trust from that campaign and he'll will need a stack of luck irrespective from gate 18.

6. Imaging (17) @ $19.00 via Palmerbet - J: K.O'Hara. T: C.Waller

Why he can win: Was arguably the run of the Missile Stakes when resuming a fortnight ago in a luckless outing when inconvenienced at a key stage by the winner in Eduardo. Expected to improve now in his second Australian campaign and the extra furlong of the Winx Stakes is ideal.

Why he can't win: Barrier 17 is the obvious knock so they'll likely be working early to find a slot. Has to be a query at weight-for-age off his autumn form and perhaps still a run short in readiness for the spring handicaps where he may be better placed.

7. Master Of Wine (11) @ $6.50 via Unibet Australia - J: T.Berry. T: M,W & J.Hawkes

Why he can win: Was brilliant winning fresh in the autumn over this journey before giving them a galloping lesson in Group Three Sky High. His last start fourth in a high rating Queen Elizabeth was outstanding without any favours when racing wide throughout. Looks a potential spring star.

Why he can't win: With Melbourne spring features in mind, there is a doubt to how forward he'll be with them grand finals still to come and his quiet trials have left us not a whole lot wiser in that regard.

8. Niccanova (8) @ $27.00 via Sportsbet - J: R.Bayliss. T: S.Tregea

Why he can win: With residual fitness from the winter and a terrific August 8 tune-up at Doomben, he's one for the few that looks "set" for this. Draws well, handles any conditions and was a good thing beaten in the Group One Stradbroke only three starts ago.

Why he can't win: It's his first-time leaving Queensland, so there's an obvious query as to whether he's handled the travel. Sydney weight-for-age group one's is a different beast altogether and he hasn't necessarily beaten a whole lot over the journey.

9. Star Of The Seas (15) @ $26.00 via Palmerbet - J: S.Clipperton. T: C.Waller

Why he can win: A very honest gelding that rarely puts in a shocker and has very good stats at this trip. Excels on wet tracks, has a strong first-up record and both trials leading into this assignment indicate that he's returned in good order.

Why he can't win: Worked his way through the grades throughout 2019 and early 2020 but is another that has a big question mark at weight-for-age. Barrier 15 sees them a few pairs further back than they'd like, otherwise they're working early to find a position.

10. Quackerjack (14) @ $51.00 via Palmerbet - J: Parr. T: M.Newnham

Why he can win: Good racing pattern in that he can make his own luck on the speed and shouldn't have much trouble crossing early. Saves his best work for Randwick and has a good association with Josh Parr who takes back the reins for his return.

Why he can't win: He has been gifted a few wins over the journey, especially his last victory in the autumn via a messy Liverpool Stakes where he fell in. His August 14 trial leading into this was ordinary.

11. Brandenburg (12) @ $23.00 via Sportsbet - J: R.King. T: J.Sargent.

Why he can win: A now four-year-old and off just three racing preparations to date, is one of few in this field that should still have plenty of upside. Hasn't finished outside the first two in three first-up attempts which includes a fresh victory over this distance in the autumn.

Why he can't win: Poor winning strike rate and did have every chance to improve on that when well down in the weights via the Doncaster. Had all the favours in his last victory and whilst he responded to riding in his most recent trial, ideally we'd have liked to have seen more dash late.

12. Verry Elleegant (10) @ $7.00 via Bet365 - T: C.Waller. J: J.McDonald

Why she can win: High class mare who's versatile enough to sprint well fresh and then get out to a staying journey deep in her work. Grows another leg on wet tracks and her August 4 trial was superb when cruising to the line under a strong hold.

Why she can't win: Whilst competitive fresh last time in over this trip, she was only fair with a decent run in transit and has longer spring goals in mind over the staying trips. Likely to not be at her top especially with just the one trial leading in.

13. Melody Belle (6) @ $11.00 via Bet365 - J: K.McEvoy. T: J.Richards

Why she can win: One of New Zealand's finest who after dominating at home, won the Group One Empire Rose on Derby Day 2019 and should've beaten Magic Wand seven days later in the Mackinnon but was left with too much to do. The extra furlong here second-up is a big tick.

Why she can't win: Very disappointing when resuming in the Missile Stakes and that followed an autumn campaign where she was a length or two off her best. Six-year-old mare now that's done her fair share of racing,  can she recapture her best?

14. Con Te Partiro (2) @ $10.80 via Sportsbetting.com.au - J: T.Clark. T: Waterhouse & Bott

Why she can win: Brought up a pair of group one victories over the autumn via the Coolmore and then the Queen Of The Turf at Randwick when spotting 3kg to Funstar, The map looks superb (providing the inside holds up) and has had two solid trials in readiness for the Winx Stakes.

Why she can't win: Has looked in need of the run via her last two fresh performances and all three Australian victories have come in fillies and mares' contests. Been safely held when taking on the boys and is perhaps looking for a little further than seven furlongs these days.

15. Flit (5) @ $14.00 via Unibet Australia - J: G.Schofield. T: J.Cummings

Why she can win: Decent return in the Missile Stakes behind the dominant Eduardo and gave the impression there that she was searching for 1400 metres now. Had one strong trial prior to that and this appears as a likely early spring target for this Godolphin mare.

Why she can't win: Still an unknown outside filly's grade and with the blinkers going back on, she was expected to fire fresh off a similar pattern in the autumn. Hasn't improved via her last two second-up attempts and has been well held in both seven-furlong runs to date.

17. Wolfe (9) @ $151.00 via Sportsbet - J:    T: Waterhouse & Bott

Why he can win: Hasn't finished outside the top two in both of his Randwick runs which includes accounting for the smart Master Of Wine in his most recent effort on this circuit (also placed behind him fresh last time in). Has two wins and two placing's from four first-up runs.

Why he can't win: Looks to need at least 2000 metres nowadays and is much more effective on top of the ground. Been safely beaten at the trials and was well held in his only other group one outing to date.

18. Zebrowski (7) @ $61.00 via Palmerbet - J: K.Jennings. T: M,W & J.Hawkes.

Why he can win: A very progressive four-year-old who went a long way in his second racing preparation which culminated in a second placing in the Australian Derby. Has won fresh over this distance on wet ground and his two most recent trials have been solid.

Why he can't win: A 1400 metre group one weight-for-age assignment is a massive ask for a gelding that will likely target the second-string staying contests over the spring. Perhaps they're using this as a starting point for a Metropolitan tilt a little later in the campaign?

Winx Stakes FAQs

What date is the 2020 Winx Stakes?

The 2020 Winx Stakes is scheduled to run on Saturday, August 22.

What time is the 2020 Winx Stakes?

The 2020 Winx Stakes is scheduled for a 3.45pm (AEST) start time.

It will run as Race 7 on the Randwick program.

Where is the Winx Stakes held?

The Winx Stakes is held at the Royal Randwick Racecourse in Sydney.

What's the Winx Stakes worth?

The Winx Stakes is worth $500,000 in total.

$287,000 of that goes to the winner.

Who won the 2019 Winx Stakes?

Samadoubt won the 2019 Winx Stakes at a starting price of 30/1.

What distance is the Winx Stakes?

The Winx Stakes is run over a distance of 1400 metres.

How can I live stream the 2020 Winx Stakes?

Visit our live streaming hub for all the information on how to live stream the Winx Stakes and all other Australian horse races.

Verdict

Master Of Wine will be our main play in the Winx Stakes and we'll saving on The Bostonian as the main danger.

For the exotic or roughie players, both Imaging and Niccanova are in the each-way mix at longer prices.

Best Bet: Master Of Wine To Win @6.50 at Unibet Australia - 6 Units
Danger: The Bostonian To Win @7.50 at Neds - 2 Units
Value Bet: Imaging Each Way @19.00 at Palmerbet - 1 Unit
Roughie: Niccanova Each Way @27.00 at Sportsbet - 1 Unit

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