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Victoria Derby 2023 Betting Tips - Fav to Rocket home

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 03 Nov 2023
Alex Marsh 03 Nov 2023
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  • The Victoria Derby is the main three-year-old staying event of the Melbourne Spring Carnival
  • This Group 1 is contested over 2500 metres at Flemington
  • Riff Rocket heads the betting for this $2 million dollar feature
  • Preview & selections are included below
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Victoria Derby Tips
Sunsets and Riff Rocket clash again in the Victoria Derby. (Getty)
 

The Victoria Derby is the premier three-year-old event of the spring, with this 2500m feature one of three Group 1's on the opening day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival.
  • 2023 Victoria Derby Tips
  • 2023 Victoria Derby Field & Odds

This $2 million major draws those local stayers who have endured a long Spring Carnival, often coming through races such as the Caulfield Classic, Moonee Valley Vase, Geelong Classic and Spring Champion Stakes.

Riff Rocket is all the rage in the early markets with TopSport, where $2.10 is the quote for the favourite.

2023 Victoria Derby Tips


2023 Victoria Derby Best Bet - Riff Rocket

Chris Waller is aiming for his third Victoria Derby win in 10 years and he's in the box seat to achieve that, with the champion trainer saddling up the short fav for this three-year-old staying feature.

While he arrives off a narrow loss as a $1.28 favourite in the Caulfield Classic, Riff Rocket couldn't have done anymore given the race shape and with this Group 1 the clear target, that last run was fine.

The gelding returns to the scene of his 5.5-length romp when third-up in the Super Impose Stakes and in that affair, he belted the likes of Sunsets and Apuila, who are two of his bigger threats here.

With gate five, he was one of the big winners at the barrier draw, as J-Mac can settle put Riff Rocket to sleep early without working and give him a perfect trail behind the leading few pairs.
2023 Victoria Derby Next Best Bet - Gates

After covering ground in a 1500m fresh win, he was scratched from the Super Impose Stakes won by Riff Rocket and as a result, Gates was a month between runs over 2000m in the Caulfield Classic.

Back and unsuited in that affair, the three-year-old did well to grab fourth after being ridden for luck and on the line, he wasn't far off Apulia and he has arguably more upside than the second fav.

The Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman-trained colt is a beautiful type and with the Victoria Derby as the target assignment, expect the big, strong son of Frankel to be peaking here.

He'll have a tough ask if it's a dash home and he has to try out-sprint Riff Rocket, however, Gates will keep coming if it's a true staying test, with the bigger expanses of Flemington in his favour.

2023 Victoria Derby Value Bet - Air Assault

With the Victoria Derby in mind, I felt his Moonee Valley Vase run had as much merit as the first two home in last Saturday's lead-up, where the Adelaide visitor didn't relish that tighter circuit.

Air Assault appeared to balance up again very late in that Group 2, where he was well backed and with both of his wins coming on the main circuit at Morphettville, he'll appreciate a bigger track.

That Melbourne debut followed a third-up victory in the Hill Smith Stakes, where he was a month between runs and stepping from 1200m to 1800m, yet he bolted in despite being pestered early.

A half-brother to Group 1 winner Go Indy Go, Air Assault is out of a Zabeel mare who prevailed over 2600m, so there's enough in his pedigree to suggest that he'll run out a strong 2500m.

2023 Victoria Derby Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1ApuliaBen, Will & JD HayesMark Zahra357kg$4.40
2VerdadRobbie Griffiths & Matthew de KockJye McNeil 457kg $7
3Air AssaultAndrew GluyasBen Allen657kg $17
4Riff RocketChris WallerJames McDonald 557kg $2.10
5SunsetsTrent Busuttin & Natalie YoungJohn Allen1657kg $14
6Make A CallPeter & Paul SnowdenJamie Kah1557kg $91
7Gold Bullion (NZ)Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Opie Bosson1357kg $26
8GatesPeter G Moody & Katherine Coleman Luke Nolen1457kg $16
9KosgeiTrent Busuttin & Natalie Young Blake Shinn1257kg $34
10BulawayoPat Carey & Harris WalkerCeline Gaudray (a)757kg $67
11Sacred EagleSymon WildeJordan Childs257kg $101
12RogueryLloyd Kennewell & Lucy YeomansBilly Egan157kg $41
13MercanteNigel BlackistonDamien Oliver1157kg $51
14To Be Frank (NZ)Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Spencer1057kg $81
15Warialda WarriorJohn RamseyDarryl McLellan957kg $101
16Tokyo Run (NZ)Dean MirfinDeclan Bates857kg $151
                                                                                    
Odds courtesy of TopSport & correct on 02/11/2023.

Verdict

Our tips for the 2023 Victoria Derby are:

Best Bet1: Riff Rocket To Win @11/10 at Topsport - 8 Units
Best Bet2: Gates To Win @15/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Air Assault To Win @16/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Riff Rocket
To Win
@11/10 - 8 Units
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Bet at Topsport
Gates
To Win
@15/1 - 1 Unit
Best of the Best Multis
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Join Australia's newest bookmaker with referral code BETSAU for top odds guaranteed. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose.

Bet at Topsport
Air Assault
To Win
@16/1 - 1 Unit
Best of the Best Multis
Use code BETSAU for Top Odds

Join Australia's newest bookmaker with referral code BETSAU for top odds guaranteed. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose.

Bet at Topsport

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Betting Slip | 04 Nov 2023

Victoria Derby