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TJ Smith Stakes 2024 Betting Tips - Paris is the each-way play

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 03 Apr 2024
Alex Marsh 03 Apr 2024
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  • The TJ Smith Stakes is the second of four Group 1 races run on the opening day of 'The Championships'
  • Worth $3 million, this major is run over 1200m at Randwick
  • The 2024 edition will be contested on Saturday, April 6
  • Preview & selections are included below
Expired
Sunshine In Paris is an each-way quote in the 2024 TJ Smith Stakes. (Getty)
 

The Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes is one the newest features in the Sydney Autumn Carnival but it isn't short on prestige, as it is one of the most sort after sprints in Australia.
  • 2024 TJ Smith Stakes Tips
  • 2024 TJ Smith Stakes Field & Odds

Mahogany, Apache Cat, Takeover Target, Black Caviar, Chautauqua and Nature Strip are among the champions to have won this 1200m major at Royal Randwick.

Imperatriz is a $3.10 favourite with TopSport to win the 2024 TJ Smith Stakes.

2024 TJ Smith Stakes Tips


2024 TJ Smith Stakes Best Bet - Sunshine In Paris

This Annabel Neasham-trained mare could be anything if she stays sound and she arrives here off a narrow fresh defeat in The Galaxy, which was an outstanding performance.

Sunshine In Paris was in comfortably the worst going on Golden Slipper Day and while 1100m is on the short side, I think she wins that easily if you swap her run with the winner.

The four-year-old was a stylish winner over 1200m via her sole spring outing and she took out the Group 1 Surround Stakes second-up last autumn, with this her biggest test to date.

Despite her breeding suggesting that wet ground is fine, it's still a big query, but at each-way odds for who could the be the up-and comer sprinter of this field, she's decent value.
2024 TJ Smith Stakes Next Best Bet - I Wish I Win

Ideally, he could've produced more in Victorian jump-outs, especially from what isn't a noted first-up stable, however, he's a dynamite fresh horse and this isn't a prep run.

I Wish I Win has been sparingly raced since taking out the 2022 Golden Eagle, with only five runs completed in the last 18 months and his last win was in this feature 12 months ago.

He had race fitness on his side when defeating Giga Kick on that occasion and the runner-up was flying at that stage, with that Group 1 victory was completed on a Heavy 9 surface.

The market generally holds firm with I Wish I Win, so it'll be interesting to see what happens given this is first-up on what is likely to be testing ground, but he's here to win.
2024 TJ Smith Stakes Value Bet - Aft Cabin

He failed to recover and finish off after being hampered early in The Galaxy, but Aft Cabin can produce flat performances when things don't pan out and he was terrific the start prior.

The Godolphin entire caught the eye in that Challenge Stakes return over 1000m at Randwick, where he raced in restricted room and getting out to six furlongs is ideal third-up.

It's also worth noting that he had failed in his only other Rosehill attempt, whereas his best Sydney runs have all come at Randwick and three of his four wins have been on wet ground.

The TJ Smith Stakes has been the autumn target, with the four-year-old still searching for a first Group 1 win and with a more favourable set-up on Saturday, he can bounce back.

2024 TJ Smith Stakes Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1I Wish I Win (NZ) Peter G Moody & Katherine ColemanJames McDonald458.5kg$4
2Private Eye Joseph Pride Blake Shinn1458.5kg $21
3Mazu Joseph Pride Tim Clark 1258.5kg $21
4Coal CrusherJoseph Pride Tyler Schiller1058.5kg $61
5Aft CabinJames Cummings Zac Purton 858.5kg $19
6Buenos NochesMatthew SmithBen Melham1558.5kg $34
7Johnny RockerNick RyanMark Zahra358.5kg $17
8ImperatrizMark WalkerOpie Bosson656.5kg $3.10
9Bella NipotinaCiaron MaherCraig Williams1156.5kg $14
10EspionaChris WallerNash Rawiller1356.5kg$15
11Sunshine In ParisAnnabel NeashamJason Collett956.5kg $8.50
12CylinderJames Cummings Jamie Kah756.5kg $26
13Magic TimeGrahame BeggMichael Dee156.5kg $14
14Chain Of LightningPeter G Moody & Katherine Coleman Damian Lane256.5kg $20
15Willinga BeastKris LeesDylan Gibbons (a)656.5kg $101
Odds courtesy of TopSport & correct on 03/04/2024.
                                                                   

Verdict

Our tips for the 2024 TJ Smith Stakes are:

Best Bet1: Sunshine In Paris Each Way @15/2 at Topsport - 4 Units
Best Bet2: I Wish I Win To Win @3/1 at Topsport - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Aft Cabin Each Way @18/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Sunshine In Paris
Each Way
@15/2 - 4 Units
Best of the Best Multis
Use code BETSAU for Top Odds

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Bet at Topsport
I Wish I Win
To Win
@3/1 - 2 Units
Best of the Best Multis
Use code BETSAU for Top Odds

Join Australia's newest bookmaker with referral code BETSAU for top odds guaranteed. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose.

Bet at Topsport
Aft Cabin
Each Way
@18/1 - 1 Unit
Best of the Best Multis
Use code BETSAU for Top Odds

Join Australia's newest bookmaker with referral code BETSAU for top odds guaranteed. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose.

Bet at Topsport

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TJ Smith Stakes