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South Australian Derby 2024 Betting Tips - Warmonger to peak

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 01 May 2024
Alex Marsh 01 May 2024
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  • The South Australian Derby headlines the second day of the Adelaide Racing Carnival
  • This Group 1 is run over 2500m at Morphettville
  • The 2024 edition will be contested on Saturday, May 4
  • Preview & tips are included below
Expired
Warmonger is one of the leading hopes in the South Australian Derby. (Getty)
 

The staying three-year-old's take the stage on the second day of the Adelaide Racing Carnival via the South Australian Derby, a feature that dates all the way back to 1860.
  • 2024 South Australian Derby Tips
  • 2024 South Australian Derby Field & Odds

Run over the 2500m at Morphettville under Set Weights conditions, recent runnings of this Group 1 have been quite strong with the brilliant Russian Camelot and three-time Derby winner Explosive Jack on the honour roll.

At $3.90 via TopSport, Coco Sun heads the betting for the 2024 South Australian Derby.

2024 South Australian Derby Tips


2024 South Australian Derby Best Bet - Warmonger

Given he was badly held-up on return at Pakenham and perhaps flattered a shade when getting a suck run second-up, Warmonger may have simply needed last weeks run.

Although he couldn't land bets as fav via that traditional South Australian Derby lead-up. the Victorian visitor still finished off strongly from the rear (fastest closing sectionals of the race).

In an attempt to run out a strong 2500m, the blinkers have been removed fourth-up, but he retains Damian Lane, who is one the best grand final riders in the country.

Mick Price and Michael Kent (Jnr) prepared Jungle Magnate to win the 2022 South Australian Derby, while they also had the Australasian Oaks winner last week and this is a clear target.
2024 South Australian Derby Next Best Bet - A Samurai Mind

This son of Shamus Award is one of the leading local hopes, with A Samurai Mind arriving to this Group 1 staying feature off a narrow second against older rivals on April 20.

He had won two of his first three starts and also picked up late in the run when contesting the Morphettville Guineas on March 11, which was taken out by Air Assault.

The gelding has been on a different path since that Guineas outing and while this won't be easy deep into his first campaign, he's a galloper who still has plenty of upside.

Along with having tactical speed to use barrier five, A Samurai Mind is a big striding three-year-old who will appreciate a return to the main circuit and overall, his lead-up has been solid.
2024 South Australian Derby Value Bet - Steel Blaze

There were more eye-catching displays in last Saturday's Chairman's Stakes, hence his long price this time around, however, I felt Steel Blaze stuck to the task well in that Group 3.

While he lacked the brilliance of some of his rivals when it mattered, the son of Real Steel kept whacking away and gave the impression that he'll eat up this extra distance.

The New South Wales galloper should run the 2500m on breeding, as he's out of a Group 3 winning mare in Aliyana Tilde and she was placed over two miles in the 2013 Sydney Cup.

Steel Blaze was completing his first anti-clockwise run last week, where he was also a month between runs after his Tulloch Stakes attempt and he should've finished much closer there.

2024 South Australian Derby Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1Antrim Coast (NZ)Stephen MarshMichael Dee656.5kg$6
2SunsetsTrent Busuttin & Natalie Young Jacob Opperman356.5kg $26
3Air AssaultAndrew GluyasJason Holder 1356.5kg $20
4Bold Soul (NZ) Patrick Payne Jake Noonan1256.5kg $8
5Gold Wolf (NZ)David & Coral FeekNeil Farley156.5kg $17
6Glad You Think SoJohn SargentBlake Shinn1556.5kg $16
7Warmonger (NZ)Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) Damian Lane1456.5kg $6.50
8Outovstock (NZ)Chad OrmsbyOpie Bosson 1856.5kg $31
9A Samurai MindDan Clarken & Oopy MacGillivrayLachlan Neindorf556.5kg $17
10Shinjuku (NZ)Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) Todd Pannell256.5kg $31
11Just BerrilliantRicky MaundJeffrey Maund756.5kg $26
12Tulsa KingMick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) Jake Toeroek 1756.5kg $26
13Steel BlazeBrett LazzariniDom Tourneur 856.5kg $71
14Warialda WarriorJohn RamseyDarryl McLellan1656.5kg $51
15Coco SunTony & Calvin McEvoyJamie Kah1054.5kg $3.90
16Ahuriri (NZ)Chris WallerCraig Williams1154.5kg $9.50
17eZakoumaPat Carey & Harris WalkerTBA456.5kg $71
18eMaputoPat Carey & Harris Walker Rhys McLeod1956.5kg$61
19eJust Explosive (NZ)Simon ZahraTBA956.5kg$151
                                                                                    
Odds courtesy of TopSport & correct on 01/05/2024
   

Verdict

Our tips for the 2024 South Australian Derby are:

Best Bet1: Warmonger To Win @11/2 at Topsport - 3 Units
Best Bet2: A Samurai Mind Each Way @16/1 at Topsport - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Steel Blaze Each Way @70/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Warmonger
To Win
@11/2 - 3 Units
Best of the Best Multis
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Bet at Topsport
A Samurai Mind
Each Way
@16/1 - 2 Units
Best of the Best Multis
Use code BETSAU for Top Odds

Join Australia's newest bookmaker with referral code BETSAU for top odds guaranteed. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose.

Bet at Topsport
Steel Blaze
Each Way
@70/1 - 1 Unit
Best of the Best Multis
Use code BETSAU for Top Odds

Join Australia's newest bookmaker with referral code BETSAU for top odds guaranteed. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose.

Bet at Topsport

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Betting Slip | 04 May 2024

South Australian Derby