• Home
  • Horse Racing
  • Group One & Feature Races
  • Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Runner-By-Runner Preview

  • The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes will be run at Caulfield on September 19
  • A strong field has been assembled for the $500,000 feature
  • We analyse the chances of each runner
  • Betting Suggestions & Staking Plan provided
Rupert Clarke runner-by-runner
Banquo looks a live chance down in the weightsin the 2020 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. (Getty)
 
SPEEDMAP:

We expect the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes to be run at a strong tempo with Begood Toya Mother (barrier four) and Dollar For Dollar (barrier seven) prominent early whilst Street Of Avalon will be working hard early from gate 17.

Age Of Chivalry is another that will be coming across from barrier 13 with Damian Lane looking to settle in the first few pairs with cover.

Achernar Star is another with early speed that has drawn in (barrier one) and Jamie Mott can elect to take the box-seat position.

From gate six and now getting to 1400m third-up, Banquo is another that will look settle at least in the first half a dozen.


RUNNER-BY-RUNNER PREVIEW:

1. Behemoth (5) @ $4.65 via Sportsbetting.com.au - J: C.Williams. T: D.Jolly (60kg)

Why he can win: The dominant last start Memsie winner is in career best form and again draws for a lovely run in transit where he should once more get a strong tempo. He's a hulking type, so perhaps the 60kg with what isn't a big spread in the weights isn't such a negative.

Why he can't win: History is against him with 60kg and there's likely to be more improvement with many opposition either down in the weights or better placed at Handicap conditions.

2. Streets Of Avalon (17) @ $26.00 via PlayUp - J: D.Stackhouse. T: S.Nichols (58.5kg)

Why he can win: Hard-fit and much better suited back to the 1400m at Caulfield from his honest Feehan Stakes attempt last start over a mile which does see him out. He has a very good record over this track and trip which includes a win in the Group One Futurity earlier this year.

Why he can't win: Hasn't been at his best this campaign and will have to do a stack of work early from out wide. Is now spotting weight to many gallopers who seemingly have much more upside.

3. Begood Toya Mother (4) @ $21.50 via Sportsbetting.com.au - J: D.Bates. T: D.Bowman (58kg)

Why he can win: The 2019 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes winner has drawn well for a third-up tilt at his title defense. Should be at close to peak fitness now and will make his own luck on the speed under Declan Bates.

Why he can't win: Been only fair at best in two runs this preparation and that followed three runs in early 2020 which were all ordinary. Has to carry 6kg more than 2019 for what's arguably a stronger edition.

4. Cascadian (8) @ $13.00 via Palmerbet - J: D.Oliver. T: J.Cummings (58kg)

Why he can win: Looks set for these Handicap features where he's only spotting 4kg to those down in the weights. Both runs this time in have had plenty of merit, champion jockey Damien Oliver sticks and he should get the race run to suit.

Why he can't win: Although he's now under what seems more favourable conditions, Cascadian is poorly weighted compared to those around him which includes a pair of 2020 WFA winners. Is he looking for a mile now?

5. Superstorm (18) @ $11.00 Sportsbet - J: W.Pike. T: G & A.Williams (57kg)

Why he can win: He was an eye-catcher first-up in The Heath on August 29 over an unsuitable journey and the rise to seven furlongs now is a big tick. Lightly-raced with plenty of upside and has all of the X-Factor in the world.

Why he can't win: The obvious knock is barrier 18 where he's likely to be spotting them a big start as a consequence. Perhaps still a run short with 1600m-2000m in mind deeper into the spring.

6. Dollar For Dollar (7) @ $31.00 via bet365 - J: L.Nolen. T: T & C.McEvoy (56.5kg)

Why he can win: Very good last week in the Bobbie Lewis and was runner-up in the 2018 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes where he was also on the seven day turnaround. Has an excellent record at this distance and can make his own luck on the speed.

Why he can't win: Hasn't entered the winners list in his last 12 runs and is still on the comeback trail following a lengthy lay-off. Is yet to win from seven starts at Caulfield and is likely to not get his own way up front.

7. Madam Rouge (20) @ $20.00 via Palmerbet - J: B.Melham. T: C.Waller (56kg)

Why he can win: Only narrowly missed in a fast run Stradbroke two starts back and she made good ground when resuming on August 29 here. Chris Waller has a terrific spring record with many he campaigns over the Queensland winter carnival.

Why he can't win: Has again drawn terribly and is now making a decent step up in class from mares grade. Yet to win past 1200m and this is her toughest ask to date. Another that is poorly weighted.

8. Mandela Effect (2) @ $51.00 via Palmerbet - J: C.Newitt. T: S.Brunton (56kg)

Why he can win: Talented Tasmanian galloper who looked in need of the run first-up at Moonee Valley with 61kg on his back. Is a winner over the Caulfield seven furlongs, the blinkers now go on and he won't know himself now dropping all the way back to 56kg.

Why he can't win: Although he's certainly capable of playing a part over the Melbourne Spring, group one level does look a stretch. Would've liked to have seen more in that fresh attempt where he was well held.

9. Reykjavik (11) @ $31.00 via Sportsbet - J: D.Yendall. T: L.Smith (56kg)

Why he can win: Hard fit and did make ground against the pattern on August 29 over this track and trip. Has a strong turn of foot when right and from a midfield position, he can blend into this at the business end of proceedings.

Why he can't win: The peak runs have been with low weights and with 56kg, he doesn't appear to get enough relief off higher-rated opposition. His best Melbourne performances have all come at Flemington.

10. Achernar Star (1) @ $51.00 via Palmerbet - J: J.Mott. T: L.Smith (55.5kg)

Why he can win: Is certainly open for improvement off the fresh performance and did show that last campaign when beating all bar a talented Buffalo River on unsuitable going. Draws to lob in the box-seat under Jamie Mott and has finished in the top two in seven of nine starts at 1400m.

Why he can't win: Was quite poor first-up and much of his better form is at least a few rungs below this level. Perhaps looking for a contest with less pressure up front and hasn't won in 18 months.

11. Age Of Chivalry (13) @ $9.50 via Palmerbet - J: D.Lane. T: Ellerton & Zahra (55.5kg)

Why he can win: Has placed multiple times under handicap conditions at group one level which includes a a second in the 2019 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. Excellent stats at Caulfield and at seven furlongs where he can be prominent early.

Why he can't win: Has to carry 3.5kg more in this years edition and was only fair last start at Moonee Valley albeit had some excuses. Was in better touch 12 months ago and there's a query on where he lands from barrier 13.

12. Debt Agent (3) @ $91.00 via Sportsbet - J: B.Egan. T: J.Conlan (54.5kg)

Why he can win: A dominant galloper when racing in Singapore and hasn't been disgraced in now seven Australian starts. Proven fresh performer who'll relish a strong speed and can sprint hard with a low weight.

Why he can't win: Hasn't recaptured his best form and as a now eight-year-old, there's big doubts on if he ever will. Always needs luck with his racing pattern and from barrier three, it does look messy for this veteran.

13. Pretty Brazen (10) @ $18.20 via Sportsbetting.com.au - J: L.Currie. T: T & C.McEvoy (54.5kg)

Why she can win: Brilliant last week in holding off a very talented Arcadia Queen and she drops 3.5kg off that effort. Underrated mare who's consistently shown up at stakes-level over her last two campaigns. There's a good sense of timing here.

Why she can't win: It's her first group one attempt and with much more pressure anticipated, there's a query as to where she lands from barrier 10 and how she handles this challenge. Does look much better suited in mares grade.

14. Roheyrn (14) @ $19.00 via PlayUp - J: J.Allen. T: J.Cummings (54.5kg)

Why he can win: In-form Godolphin five-year-old who won a strong Group Three Show County last start at Randwick when defeating a fast finishing Probabeel. He thrives off a strong tempo and the gate is no knock given his racing pattern.

Why he can't win: This is clearly his biggest test to date and with a short and sharp sprint, he hasn't been able to deliver that to date in two 1400m attempts. Is yet to race outside of Sydney so there's an obvious query switching to the anti-clockwise direction.

15. Tagaloa (12) @ $9.00 via bet365 - J: M.Walker. T: Busuttin & Young (54kg)

Why he can win: The 2020 Blue Diamond winner has always given the impression that he would excel more over longer trips and gets his chance now at 1400m to press those claims. Was brave last start in the McNeil and drops a whopping 5.5kg off that performance.

Why he can't win: Taking on open company now for the first time and there's a query on last season's two-year-old form, especially in Melbourne. Where does he land from barrier 12 with plenty of speed either side of him?

16. Banquo (6) @ $12.00 via Palmerbet - J: J.McNeil. T: D.O'Brien (54kg)

Why he can win: Crying out for the 1400m now and third-up here down in the weights, it does a appear as a set play by the astute O'Brien camp. From barrier six he can absorb the early pressure and be the first threat in the run home.

Why he can't win: Although competitive, he's had his chances since his last victory back in November 2019 and is perhaps better suited at Flemington. His form overall appears stronger at a rung below this sort of company.

17(e). Harlech (9) @ $32.00 via Sportsbetting.com.au - J: M.Dee. T: M.Moroney (54kg)

Why he can win: A super performer in New Zealand who's now under the care of Mike Moroney. His form around star kiwi Catalyst does appeal and the 1400m looks his right journey

Why he can't win: There's a question mark on the overall depth of his form and a real unknown to what he can do here. Definitely in the take on trust category should he find his way into the field.

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes FAQs

When is the 2020 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes?

The 2020 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes is scheduled to run on Saturday, September 19.

What time is the 2020 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes?

The 2020 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes is scheduled for a 4.50pm (AEST) start time.

It will run as Race 8 on the Caulfield card.

Where is the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes held?

The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes is held at the Caulfield Racecourse in Melbourne.

What's the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes worth?

The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes is worth $500,000 in total.

$300,000 of that goes to the winner.

Who won the 2019 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes?

Begood Toya Mother won the 2019 Sir Rupert Clarke at a starting price of $3.10.

What distance is the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes?

The Sir Rupert Clarke is run over a distance of 1400 metres.

How can I live stream the 2020 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes?

Visit our live streaming hub for all the information on how to live stream the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes and all other Australian horse races.

   

Verdict

Despite the rise in the weights, Memsie winner Behemoth is the one to beat from a favourable map once again.

Cascadian and Banquo appeal as two of the better each-way propositions at double figure quotes.

Best Bet: Behemoth To Win @4.65 at Sportsbetting - 3 Units
Next Best Bet: Cascadian Each Way @13.00 at Palmerbet - 1 Unit
Value Bet: Banquo Each Way @12.00 at Palmerbet - 1 Unit

Top Betting Sites

Upcoming Events

27 September 2020

  • St George/Illawarra Dragons v Melbourne Storm
  • -
  • Rugby League

29 September 2020

03 October 2020

  • Turnbull Stakes
  • -
  • Horse Racing

09 October 2020

  • Caulfield Guineas
  • -
  • Horse Racing
  • Thousand Guineas
  • -
  • Horse Racing

10 October 2020

  • Tooorak Handicap
  • -
  • Horse Racing
  • Caulfield Stakes
  • -
  • Horse Racing

23 October 2020

  • Manikato Stakes
  • -
  • Horse Racing

25 October 2020

31 October 2020

  • Victoria Derby
  • -
  • Horse Racing
  • Cantala Stakes - October 31
  • -
  • Horse Racing
  • Empire Rose Stakes - October 31
  • -
  • Horse Racing
  • Coolmore Stud Stakes
  • -
  • Horse Racing

05 November 2020

  • VRC Oaks
  • -
  • Horse Racing
Betting Slip | 19 Sep 2020

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes