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Northerly Stakes 2023 Betting Tips - Class to prevail again in the west

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 06 Dec 2023
Alex Marsh 06 Dec 2023
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  • The Northerly Stakes is Western Australia's premier weight-for-age race
  • This 2023 edition will be contested on Saturday, December 9
  • Zaaki heads the early market with Ladbrokes
  • Our Group 1 preview is included below
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Northerly Stakes Tips
Will Zaaki land a fifth Group 1 in the Northerly Stakes? (Getty)
                                                                                                                                      

Run as the Kingston Town Classic from 2007 to 2021, the Northerly Stakes is the final Group 1 of the calendar year in Australia.
  • 2023 Northerly Stakes Tips
  • 2023 Northerly Stakes Field & Odds

An 1800m event contested under weight-for-age conditions, this feature has launched the career of many great horses, while it has also seen many established and famous gallopers triumph, including champions in Kingston Town, Vo Rogue and Better Loosen Up.

At $2.60 with Ladrokes, Zaaki heads the betting for the 2023 Northerly Stakes.

2023 Northerly Stakes Tips


2023 Northerly Stakes Best Bet - Zaaki

The Annabel Neasham-trained veteran is aiming for his fifth Group 1 victory in the Northerly Stakes and as the proven class runner at WFA level, he couldn't be better placed to achieve that.

While he hasn't tasted Group 1 success this year, he did prevail over this 1800m journey when taking out the Group 2 Hollindale Stakes in May, while he has been competitive in four runs this campaign.

It's no shock that 1800m is his pet trip (five wins from seven attempts), as a strong 2000m occasionally pulls him up, although those runs have generally been via much deeper events in the east.

Zaaki is drawn between Zoumon and Marocchino, who are the other two speed influences in the race and that will allow J-Mac to keep him rolling on a fair tempo, so he'll get every chance.
2023 Northerly Stakes Next Best Bet - A Lot Of Good Men

Admittedly the last four three-year-old winners of the Northerly Stakes have all been fillies, however, it's still a decent profile for the boys, with Playing God and Ihtsahym among the recent victors.

Trained by Trevor Andrews, who prepared Modem to win the 2004 edition of this feature, A Lot Of Good Men was the clear eye-catcher in the WA Guineas, where the colt rattled home for second.

Had you swapped runs with Zipaway, then the result would've flipped in that Group 2 and now drawing kinder than his three-year-old threat, he's predicted to reverse the result on Saturday.

Chris Parnham takes the reins on A Lot Of Good Men for this Group 1 assignment and ideally from a few pairs closer in the run, this colt can make his presence felt with just 52kg on his back.
2023 Northerly Stakes Value Bet - The Velvet Queen

A strong 1800m is perhaps right on her limit and while she's not as suited at WFA level as opposed to the handicap conditions of the Railway Stakes, she was only second-up in that tilt.

The Velvet Queen brings decent form from last season, with the five-year-old placing behind Alsephina over this track/trip, while she just missed behind the subsequent Railway Stakes winner in May.

While the track pattern will be crucial to her chances, her best chance at this level is coming with one run and she does have the turn-of-foot to pounce if backmarkers can figure on Saturday.

Despite never being in winning contention, she was doing her best work late in the Railway Stakes and if there's a blowout that launches late here, then this mare is the likely culprit.

2023 Northerly Stakes Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1Zaaki (GB)Annabel NeashamJames McDonald1059kg$2.60
2Trix Of The TradeColin Webster Troy Turner 759kg $19
3ZoumonGai Waterhouse & Adrian BottDamien Oliver1559kg $18
4MarocchinoLou LucianiJason Whiting359kg $23
5Dom To ShootSean & Jake Casey Jarrad Noske159kg $13
6Forgot You (NZ)Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young Paul Harvey1359kg $26
7Casino Seventeen Grant & Alana WilliamsShaun McGruddy1659kg $41
8Mojo Rhythm Mitchell PatemanHolly Watson459kg $35
9River Rubicon Steve WolfeAlan Kennedy959kg $101
10BustlerNeville Parnham Brad Parnham558.5kg $9.50
11AlsephinaGrant & Alana Williams William Pike 657kg $7
12Searchin' Roc's Jim TaylorJason Brown1257kg $81
13The Velvet Queen Darren McAuliffe Patrick Carbery1157kg $27
14Be OptimisticLuke FernieClint Johnston-Porter 257kg $41
15ZipawayNeville Parnham Steve Parnham 1452kg $12
16A Lot Of Good MenTrevor AndrewsChris Parnham 852kg $11
                                                                                                                                
Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes & correct on 07/12/2023.
  

Verdict

Our tips for the 2023 Northerly Stakes are:

Best Bet1: Zaaki To Win @8/5 at Ladbrokes Australia - 5 Units
Best Bet2: A Lot Of Good Men To Win @10/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: The Velvet Queen To Win @26/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Zaaki
To Win
@8/5 - 5 Units
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia
A Lot Of Good Men
To Win
@10/1 - 1 Unit
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia
The Velvet Queen
To Win
@26/1 - 1 Unit
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia

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