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Newmarket Handicap 2024 Betting Tips - Value around the fav

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 07 Mar 2024
Alex Marsh 07 Mar 2024
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  • The Newmarket Handicap will be run on March 9
  • This Group 1 headlines Saturday's Flemington card
  • Imperatriz heads the market with Picklebet
  • Preview & selections can be found below
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Newmarket Tips
Sghirripa is a good each-way price in the Newmarket Handicap. (Getty)
  

Run under handicap conditions and contested up the Flemington straight over 1200m, the Newmarket Handicap is arguably Melbourne's most prestigious sprinting feature, with this Group 1 having been first run in 1874.
  • 2024 Newmarket Handicap Tips
  • 2024 Newmarket Handicap Field & Odds

While champions such as Alinghi, Miss Andretti and Black Caviar feature on the honour roll, this Group 1 lends itself to many upset results and that's been evident in recent years through Zoutori ($20) and Roch 'N' Horse ($101).

At $2.70 with Picklebet, Imperatriz heads the market for the 2024 Newmarket Handicap.

2024 Newmarket Handicap Tips


2024 Newmarket Handicap Best Bet - Sghirripa

While the talented South Australian visitor had to settle for a midfield finish last start in the Oakleigh Plate, he'll have his time in the sun at Group 1 level.

The four-year-old struggled to muster early from a wide draw, which is out of character, although following a career best at Flemington over 1200m, maybe he needs six furlongs now?

Sghirripa was completely unsuited by the pattern of the meeting, where he was back, wide and chasing, yet at 11.29, he's recorded the fastest last 200m of the Oakleigh Plate.

The shorter turnaround given the spaced-out prep is a query, but at the price and with Craig Newitt searching for record fourth Newmarket win, he's an easy each-way bet to have.
2024 Newmarket Handicap Next Best Bet - Imperatriz

The last mare to carry 58kg to victory in the Newmarket Handicap was Black Caviar in 2011 and only Hay List (58.5kg the following year) has lumped more since the great mare.

Carrying the impost is perhaps the wrong term, as it's more about giving weight to rivals who are now suited at handicap conditions and she's hardly up against a field of walkers.

On review, the return win in the Black Caviar Lightning was stronger than first glance, as while it was only a narrow winning margin, Imperatriz was always holding Private Eye.

Although she handles the straight, I do feel she's a more effective galloper around a bend and with other betting prospects. I want $3.50+ late to get involved with Imperatriz.
2024 Newmarket Handicap Value Bet - Magic Time

Espiona is going north to dodge Imperatriz and others for what is a deeper race (Newmarket), and Magic Time is another that the Chris Waller-trained mare is smartly avoiding.

With even luck, Magic Time would've belted Espiona via The Invitation at Randwick last spring and as the more lightly raced of the two, the Grahame Begg mare has more upside.

The daughter of Hellbent rounded out her spring campaign with a much-deserved Group 1 win in Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes and she carries half a kilo less in the Newmarket.

While there's others who need these conditions to win at Group 1 level, I think Magic Time could measure up at WFA level this year, whether that be over sprint trips or a little further.

2024 Newmarket Handicap Field & Odds

                                                                          
No
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1ImperatrizMark WalkerOpie Bosson358kg$2.70
2Bella NipotinaCiaron MaherCraig Williams 455.5kg$12
3Buenos NochesMatthew SmithBlake Shinn 955.5kg $5.25
4EspionaChris WallerJye McNeil 854.5kg$8.50
5Ruthless Dame (NZ)Ciaron Maher Damian Lane 253.5kg$21
6Magic TimeGrahame BeggMichael Dee1253kg$7.50
7The Astrologist Leon & Troy Corstens Declan Bates1452.5kg$91
8BenedettaJason WarrenHarry Coffey1152kg$17
9It'sourtimeDanny O'BrienLinda Meech152kg $91
10Master FayChad OrmsbyDean Yendall1052kg$41
11Rey MagnerioRobbie Griffiths & Mathew de KockDaniel Moor752kg $41
12SghirripaShane & Cassie OxladeCraig Newitt652kg $14
13Skew Wiff (NZ)Mark WalkerCeline Gaudray (a)552kg $41
14CylinderJames CummingsJamie Kah1351.5kg $14
Odds courtesy of Picklebet & correct on 07/03/2024.
                                   

Verdict

Our tips for the 2024 Newmarket Handicap are:

Best Bet1: Sghirripa Each Way @13/1 at picklebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Magic Time To Win @13/2 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Sghirripa
Each Way
@13/1 - 3 Units
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Magic Time
To Win
@13/2 - 1 Unit
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Bet at picklebet

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Newmarket Handicap