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Mornington Cup 2024 Betting Tips - Value is with the Kiwis

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 17 Apr 2024
Alex Marsh 17 Apr 2024
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  • The Mornington Cup headlines Saturday's Melbourne card
  • This Listed feature is run over 2400m
  • The winner gets a ballot free path into the 2024 Caulfield Cup
  • Preview & tips are included below
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Mornington Cup Tips
Will First Immortal bounce back in the Mornington Cup? (Getty)
 

The Listed Mornington Cup will be run on Saturday, April 20 and the winner gains a ballot free exemption for the 2024 Caulfield Cup.
  • 2024 Mornington Cup Tips
  • 2024 Mornington Cup Field & Odds

Decent stayers feature throughout the honor roll and this year's edition is competitive one, with mainly seasoned gallopers accepting, although there are a few up-and-comers in the final field.

At $4.20 via Ladbrokes, First Immortal heads the betting for the 2024 Mornington Cup.

2024 Mornington Cup Tips


2024 Mornington Cup Best Bet - Nereus

This consistent Kiwi visitor is quickly working through the grades, having brought up win number five via his first Group 2 attempt in the Awapuni Gold Cup at Trentham last start.

Nereus is yet to finish out of the money in eight career starts and along with showing tactical versatility, he's a galloper that can produce a finish off either a slow or a fast tempo.

While 2400m is unknown territory for the gelding, with an uphill climb in the straight on a big circuit, the Trentham 2100m is a testing one and he was pulling away late last start.

He's also bred to run this distance, being a full brother to Savvy Coup (New Zealand Oaks winner) and vs mostly exposed rivals, Nereus is one of the few progressive horses here.
2024 Mornington Cup Next Best Bet - First Immortal

Had he progressed off a somewhat surprising first-up victory, First Immortal would be a sub $3 fav to win the Mornington Cup, but the Easter Cup outing was a little inconclusive.

It was plain visually, as the four-year-old didn't finish off in that April 6 attempt, but he couldn't build revs at a key stage and that may have simply been a flat one second-up.

With the Mornington Cup giving the winner a slot in the 2024 Caulfield Cup, this is clearly the race he's been set for all campaign and a long autumn prep was never the plan.

First Immortal did come a long way in 2023 and son of Churchill prevailed with some big imposts along the way, so he shouldn't have any trouble carrying an extra 1.5kg now third-up.
2024 Mornington Cup Value Bet - Good Oil

He looks an old fashioned Kiwi stayer does Good Oil, a strong one-pacer from the Andrew Forsman yard who gave a great sight as runner-up in the Group 2 Auckland Cup.

The five-year-old appeared to run out two miles in that Group 2, so he'll be hard fit for this assignment, which could be a testing 12 furlongs should Deny Knowledge roll along.

We've seen the Auckland Cup form franked through Mark Twain, who was a stylish last start winner of the Roy Higgins Quality and Strawberry Rock (second fav) comes out of that race.

A switch to the Melbourne leg also favours Good Oil, as all four of his career wins have come in the anti-clockwise direction, which adds further merit to his recent runs at Ellerslie.

2024 Mornington Cup Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1Captain Envious (NZ)Paul PreuskerThomas Stockdale360kg $14
2Future History (GB) Ciaron Maher Ethan Brown760kg $9
3Gear Up (IRE)Annabel NeashamJamie Mott1160kg $15
4First ImmortalMark & Levi KavanaghLuke Currie1359kg $4.20
5Deny Knowledge (IRE)Michael KentBlaike McDougall458.5kg $8
6Hopeful (FR)Annabel Neasham Winona Costin257.5kg $13
7Nereus (NZ)Shaun Ritchie & Colm MurrayMichael McNab956kg$9.50
8Little MixAnnabel Neasham Jye McNeil1455.5kg$8.50
9Esti Feny (HUN)Matthew SmithDaniel Stackhouse1255kg$41
10Strawberry Rock (IRE)Ciaron Maher Declan Bates1055kg $7
11Regal Lion (NZ)Annabel Neasham Linda Meech554.5kg$26
12United Nations (IRE)Ciaron Maher Beau Mertens854kg$26
13Good Oil (NZ)Andrew ForsmanBilly Egan154kg $26
14Mystery Island (JPN)Shane JacksonHarry Coffey654kg $26
Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes & correct on 18/04/2024.
                                                                  

Verdict

Our tips for the 2024 Mornington Cup are:

Best Bet1: Nereus Each Way @17/2 at Ladbrokes Australia - 3 Units
Best Bet2: First Immortal To Win @16/5 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Good Oil Each Way @25/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Nereus
Each Way
@17/2 - 3 Units
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia
First Immortal
To Win
@16/5 - 2 Units
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia
Good Oil
Each Way
@25/1 - 1 Unit
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia

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Betting Slip | 20 Apr 2024

Mornington Cup