Cox Plate 2024 Betting Tips - Second Plate for Japan

Alex Marsh

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Last updated: 23 Oct 2024

Alex Marsh 23 Oct 2024

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Prognosis leads the odds for the 2024 Cox Plate, favoured for his world-class form
Broadsiding offers potential after a decent showing in the Caulfield Guineas
Kovalica presents value for punters seeking exotic bets with chances of a top-three finish

Expired

Prognosis during a track gallop at Moonee Valley on October 17. (Getty)

The Cox Plate is Australia's most prestigious weight-for-age race, with this Group 1 contested over 2040m at Moonee Valley.

2024 Cox Plate Tips
2024 Cox Plate 2024 Field & Odds

After traditionally being a locals race, this $5 million dollar feature has captured more international attention in recent years, with four of the last ten winners being overseas visitors.

At $3.40 with Picklebet, Prognosis heads the betting for the 2024 Cox Plate.

2024 Cox Plate Tips

2024 Cox Plate Best Bet - Prognosis

The Japanese-based entire was beaten as an odds-on fav last time via the Group 2 Sapporo Kinen, where a slow start proved costly and he now gets the services of Damian Lane.

Lane saluted aboard Lys Gracieux in 2019, which was the first Cox Plate victory for Japan and while he doesn't quite have her resume, he still has world class form lines.

Prognosis has been unlucky a few times behind Romantic Warrior, who won last year's Cox Plate and his first Hong Kong tilt followed a placing behind a champion in Equinox.

Barrier five will allow the son of Deep Impact to find his feet early under Lane and with a fast-run 2040m an ideal scenario for the seven-year-old, he's a deserving Cox Plate fav.

2024 Cox Plate Next Best Bet - Broadsiding

Godolphin should've had the last three-year-old (Southern Hemisphere-bred) Cox Plate winner, with Anamoe very unlucky not claim the 2021 edition on protest.

Past three-year-old winners in So You Think and Shamus Award recorded similar lead-up efforts in the Caulfield Guineas and Broadsiding was unsuited in that last tilt.

Had the colt saluted in that Caulfield three-year-old feature, then he's arguably the Cox Plate fav and with 2040m in mind, that latest performance was more than a pass mark.

Not only should he benefit from that first anti-clockwise run since his debut, but Broadsiding was just second-up in the Caulfield Guineas, so there's room to progress.

2024 Cox Plate Value Bet - Kovalica

The winning drought since his 2023 Queensland Derby triumph last year is still in effect, however, Kovalica wasn't given many favours by his placements over last season.

A galloper who clearly needs over 2000m+ at the highest level, targeting events like the Golden Eagle and Doncaster Handicap saw him unsuited as a four-year-old.

Kovalica is on track for the Melbourne Cup and he's ticking over very well with that two-mile target in mind, with this another lead-up following his chasing effort in the Hill Stakes.

The market looks right for the 2024 Cox Plate, however, for exotic punters or even those chasing each-way value, this gelding can get home for a top three/four finish.

2024 Cox Plate 2024 Field & Odds

No.	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight	Odds
1	Mr Brightside (NZ)	Ben, Will & JD Hayes	Craig Williams	2	59kg	$8
2	Prognosis (JPN)	Mitsumasa Nakauchida	Damian Lane	5	59kg	$3.40
3	Kovalica (NZ)	Chris Waller	Mark Zahra	9	59kg	$26
4	Royal Patronage (FR)	Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	Michael Dee	3	59kg	$26
5	Docklands (GB)	Harry Eustace	Blake Shinn	1	59kg	$19
6	Pride Of Jenni	Ciaron Maher	Declan Bates	7	57kg	$4.80
7	Via Sistina (IRE)	Chris Waller	James McDonald	4	57kg	$4.40
8	Broadsiding	James Cummings	Jamie Kah	8	49.5kg	$6
9	Evaporate (NZ)	Ben, Will & JD Hayes	Karis Teetan	6	49.5kg	$21