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Caulfield Cup 2024 Betting Tips - Fav & bolters are fancied

alex-marsh
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Last updated: 16 Oct 2024
Alex Marsh 16 Oct 2024
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  • Buckaroo stands out as the best bet despite the distance challenge, with a price of $4.20
  • Positivity, with only 50kg and a promising lead-up performance, is a strong contender
  • Circle of Fire shows potential for a significant run, backed by impressive past performances and favorable odds
Expired
Will Buckaroo run out a strong 2400m? (Getty)
 

The Caulfield Cup is the world's richest 2400m handicap and is one of Australia's three premier spring races.
  • 2024 Caulfield Cup Tips
  • 2024 Caulfield Cup Field & Odds

This $5 million major generally draws both local and international stars, with Japanese and European visitors often taking on the leading Australian contenders.

At $4.20 with Betr, Buckaroo heads the market for the 2024 Caulfield Cup.

2024 Caulfield Cup Tips


2024 Caulfield Cup Best Bet - Buckaroo

The extra distance is an obvious query for Buckaroo, however, he's been a completely different horse since being gelded ahead of this spring campaign.

He recorded back-to-back victories recorded second and third-up, and the last of those was a brilliant 3.5-length triumph in the Group 1 Underwood Stakes at Caulfield.

It's worth noting that 15 of the last 36 Caulfield Cup winners have come via the Turnbull Stakes and he was only narrowly denied by Via Sistina in that key lead-up race.

While Buckaroo is near the top of the weights, he's still very well in given he's carrying much less off recent WFA runs and there isn't a big spread among this line-up.
2024 Caulfield Cup Next Best Bet - Positivity

I suspect that she would be a little outclassed in a strong running of the Caulfield Cup, but Positivity has just 50kg in one of the weaker editions we've seen.

Her lead-up form is hard to fault, with an unlucky miss when runner-up on return before taking out the Naturalism and she was then good without favours third-up.

In a Bart Cummings that favoured the on-speed runners, Positivity was back and covering ground, and she couldn't have done much more under the circumstances.

Four-year-old's have a great record in the Caulfield Cup (14 of the last 30 winners) and with a mare who will stay all day, they should be more positive early with a low weight.
2024 Caulfield Cup Value Bet - Circle Of Fire

This Ciaron Maher-trained import seems back on track for a Melbourne Cup bid, with a more encouraging second-up performance following a plain 1600m resumption.

Aside from the first-up Makybe Diva Stakes flop, Circle Of Fire has hardly put a hoof wrong and the entire will be suited up in distance third-up off the fair Turnbull Stakes showing.

The son of Almanzor lacked the brilliance to threaten over 2000m, however, he did spike third-up last campaign at 2600m before backing-up to win the Sydney Cup.

Circle Of Fire was the Melbourne Cup futures fav after that 3200m Randwick triumph, where he pulled away for a comfortable victory despite covering ground over two miles.

2024 Caulfield Cup Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1Kalapour (IRE)Kris LeesBen Melham 455kg$91
2Buckaroo (GB)Chris Waller Joao Moreira854.5kg $4.20
3Circle Of Fire (GB)Ciaron MaherJohn Allen 1354.5kg $34
4Warp Speed (JPN)Noburu TakagiAkira Sugawara1954.5kg$26
5Huetor (FR)Peter SnowdenLuke Currie754kg $51
6Warmonger (NZ)Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr)Michael Dee 1653.5kg $14
7Eliyass (FR)Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 2153kg $7
8Land Legend (FR)Chris Waller Zac Purton153kg $9
9Young Werther (NZ) Danny O'BrienJye McNeil1052.5kg $20
10Duke De Sessa (IRE)Ciaron Maher Harry Coffey652kg $18
11Knight's ChoiceJohn Symons & Sheila LaxonRobbie Dolan1451.5kg $101
12MuramasaTrent Busuttin & Natalie YoungDaniel Moor551kg $23
13ZardoziJames CummingsAndrea Atzeni1251kg $7.50
14Coco SunTony & Calvin McEvoyKaris Teetan2050.5kg $41
15Deny Knowledge (IRE)Anthony & Sam Freedman Craig Newitt1750.5kg $11
16Valiant King (GB) Chris Waller Teo Nugent1850.5kg$81
17Positivity (NZ)Andrew ForsmanWinona Costin950kg $34
18Sayedaty Sadaty (IRE)Ciaron MaherBen Thompson250kg$16
19eFancy Man (IRE)Annabel Neasham & Rob ArchibaldRon Stewart350kg $67
20eBerkshire Breeze (IRE)Ciaron MaherTBA1550kg $61
21eFrancesco Guardi (IRE)Chris Waller TBA1152kg$67
                                                                                  
Odds courtesy of Betr & correct on 16/10/2024.
 

Verdict

Our tips for the 2024 Caulfield Cup are:

Best Bet1: Buckaroo To Win $4.20 at Betr - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Positivity Each Way $34.00 at Betr - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Circle Of Fire Each Way $34.00 at Betr - 1 Unit
Buckaroo
To Win
$4.20 - 4 Units
The Betting Brand
For Racing Fans

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Bet at Betr
Positivity
Each Way
$34.00 - 2 Units
The Betting Brand
For Racing Fans

Join Australia's trusted online bookmaker with code BETSAU and enjoy exciting new ways to bet. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Betr
Circle Of Fire
Each Way
$34.00 - 1 Unit
The Betting Brand
For Racing Fans

Join Australia's trusted online bookmaker with code BETSAU and enjoy exciting new ways to bet. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Betr

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