2019 Caulfield Stakes Tips - Will Avilius assert Cox Plate dominance?

Justin Darcy has provided his tip for the Caulfield Stakes this weekeend.
2019 Caulfield Stakes Tips & Best Bet
Avilius looks the hardest to beat in Saturday's Caulfield Stakes (Getty Images)

Caulfield Stakes


  • DateSat 10 Oct, 2020
  • RacecourseCaulfield
  • Race Distance2000 metres
  • ConditionsWeight-for-age
  • StatusGroup 1
  • Prize Money$1,000,000

2019 Caulfield Stakes Tips & Best Bet - Saturday, October 12

The Group One Caulfield Stakes is a 2000m weight for age event that is a traditional lead up to the Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate.

In 2015, New Zealander Mongolian Khan placed in the event before winning the Caulfield Cup just seven days later. Two years later champion Winx won the event before taking out her second Cox Plate.

The race has proven to be one of the Spring highlights and, this year is no different with a strong lineup in readiness.

Sydney sider Avilius is set to make his way to the Heath en-route to the Cox Plate while Underwood Stakes runner-up Homesman will also be making his way there.

International galloper Danceteria will try and establish himself as a Cox Plate chance as will European galloper Cape Of Good Hope.

Caulfield Stakes Odds

Horses
Odds
Avilius $2.40
Homesman$3.90
Danceteria$8.00
Gailo Chop$12.00
Dream Castle$12.00
Black Heart Bart$18.00
Gatting$18.00
Odds are provided by BetEasy and are correct as of 9/10/19 - 1.20pm

Caulfield Stakes Best Bet - Avilius @ $2.40

Avilius was simply awesome in the Group One George Main Stakes, beating Dreamforce by two and a half lengths.

He had been running well leading up to this effort, but just had not be justifying his price.

He looks back to his best and the Caulfield Stakes looks a natural progression at a track that he has won at twice before. The 2000m looks ideal and he may prove that he should be our 2019 Cox Plate favourite.

He has drawn barrier seven which looks a perfect gate and he will likely take a position midfield with some cover.

If he runs up to last start, he will assert his dominance and likely be most peoples top tip in the Cox Plate.

Caulfield Stakes Futures Best Bet: Avilius - $2.40 via BetEasy

Caulfield Stakes Value Bet - Danceteria @ $8

The Australian Bloodstock owned galloper boasts the strongest European form you could think of, running fourth behind Enable who has recently finished second in the Arc in France.

The internationals do have a strong recent record in the race with Benbatl and Blair House fighting out last years running while Johannes Vermeer started at $61 in the 2017 edition, running an eye-catching second.

Danceteria comes into the race off the back of a German Group One win and, although this may not be the strongest form, winning form is a positive no matter where it is and it has proven to be a winning formula in Australia.

This race has been a target for the stable as well as the Cox Plate since early this year, so it may another case of the internationals taking out another Group One event.

On the day I think the market may rally behind him, especially in that last 20 minutes, dependent on his behaviour in the mounting yard.

Caulfield Stakes Value Bet: Daneteria - $8 via BetEasy

What time is the first race on Caulfield Stakes Day?

The first race will be run at 12.15pm.

What time is the Caulfield Stakes?

The Caulfield Stakes will be run at 3.50pm.

How can I live stream the Caulfield Stakes?

Visit our live streaming hub for all the information on how to live stream the Caulfield Stakes and all other Australian horse races.

Verdict

We will be playing Avilius in this race and having a bet on Danceteria as we still do not know how good he is compared to the Australian horses.

Best Bet: Avilius @ 2.40 at Beteasy - 15 Units
Value Bet: Danceteria @ 8.00 at Beteasy - 5 Units

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Betting Slip | 11 Oct 2019

Caulfield Stakes

Best Bet

Bet 15 Win 36.00
Avilius

Value Bet

Bet 5 Win 40.00
Danceteria
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