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Flemington Racing Tips For July 18 - Can Proper Rogue bounce back with even luck?

  • Flemington hosts nine races on Saturday
  • The rail sits out four metres
  • The track is currently rated a soft six
  • Can Proper Rogue win second-up?
Flemington Racing Tips - Horse Racing Betting Tips & Selections
Proper Rogue (hitting the front) is our best bet of the day (Getty Images)

Flemington Racing Tips For July 18 - Can Proper Rogue bounce back with even luck?

Flemington hosts nine races on Saturday, with the rail in the four metre position and the track a soft six but drying out for race day.

Our best bet of the day has been unlucky in his three second placings but is a Flemington straight winner, while our next best is short but should be sweet across the line.

The Belzoni Tips (Race 1)

Flemington Roughie - Race 1 No. 2 Snitzkraft

I have never been a fan of this horse, but this is by far the weakest event he has faced in some time.

The inside gate is not a positive, but his run two back over this track and trip behind Prezado reads very well and would see him win this.

Cam Rawiller takes 3kg off his back, bringing him into 58.5kg, a weight that sees him very well in, 2.5kg above the minimum.

The key to him is having a dry surface, anything worse than a soft five and he cannot win, but soft five and better he brings himself right into conclusions.

If the track is dry by race one on Saturday, he looks a great bet.

The Melbourne Town Plate Tips (Race 2)

Flemington Best Bet - Race 2 No. 4 Proper Rogue

Arguably this gelding from Snitzel should be unbeaten, with a record of two wins and three second placings from five starts, with even luck in those defeats who should be five from five.

His from is rather deep, starting from his first starts in June last year, running a length second to multiple city winner Star Surprise.

He is already a Flemington straight track winner and stepping up to the 1200m from the 1000m last start looks so suitable.

He gets Damien Oliver in the saddle and should get a good steer from gate six.

With 56kg, there does not look too many dangers in the race, so he is a clear pick as the best bet of the day at Flemington.

Byerely Handicap Tips (Race 3)

Flemington Next Best Bet - Race 3 No. 1 Alcyone

Had he come up even money, he would clearly be the best bet of the day, stepping up to the 1800m which looks suitable.

He was excellent in the Gibson Carmichael two weeks ago behind the smart Cherry Tortoni, beating home main rival in this race Johnny Get Angry.

He looks every bit of a Derby prospect and this 1800m will give us a true indication of whether he will be a stayer or have the brilliance over a middle distance.

Barrier five is a tick and with the right steer, he is the deserved short priced favourite.

61kg is a big ask, but he does look lengths better than his rivals, which should see him finish right over the top of them here.


Happy Retirement Pay Hyland Tips (Race 8)

Flemington Favourite - Race 8 No. 9 Bartholomeu Dias

He defied a betting drift last start on the heavy track at Sandown to bolt in over 1800m.

A former international, he seems to have acclimatised well after two starts in Australia, two strong runs at that.

He gives every indication that Flemington will suit him, as will the 2000m and barrier eight.

Craig Williams sticks with him which is a positive sign stepping up in grade.

We know he sits near the speed from that last performance and he should be able to find enough to beat his opposition in this race.

Flemington FAQ

What time is the first race at Flemington on July 18?

The first race at Flemington on July 18 jumps at 11.55am.

This is a 1000m Handicap.

What time is the first leg of the quaddie at Flemington on July 18?

The first leg of the quaddie at Flemington on July 18 jumps at 3pm.

This is a 1600m 3YO Handicap.

Where is Flemington racecourse located?

Flemington racecourse is located 7km away from Melbourne's CBD.

Verdict

We will be having 10 units on Proper Rogue and 15 units on Alcyone.
Best Bet: Proper Rogue To Win @3.40 at Sportsbet - 10 Units
Next Best Bet: Alcyone To Win @1.85 at Sportsbet - 15 Units

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Betting Slip | 18 Jul 2020

Flemington - July 18